Yet Another Met Office Fail!
By Paul Homewood
h/t Billy Liar
Yet another disastrous Met Office fail!
Back in May, they forecast an above average hurricane season in the North Atlantic.
And the outcome?
Let’s just compare the numbers again.
And still, the useless Slingo keeps her job?
Bookmark this, for the next time some plonker tells you that hurricanes are increasing.
A feature of recent tropical storm seasons has been the contribution of short-lived storms,
which reach tropical storm strength for only 2 days or less, to the total tropical storm count.
During the 2013 season, only 2 out of 13 tropical storms were classified as short-lived
(Andrea and Fernand). However, 10 of the remaining 11 storms were at tropical storm
strength for a total of 4 days or less. Recent studies, such as Landsea et al. (2010), have
examined the connection between tropical cyclone duration and annual storm counts. They
found that the occurrence of short-lived storms in the Atlantic Hurricane Database
(HURDAT, Jarvinen et al., 1984) has increased dramatically, from less than one per year in
the late nineteenth–early twentieth century to about five per year since about 2000. The
reason for the increase in short-lived storms is likely due to modern satellite technology and,
in particular, continuous coverage of tropical storm activity in the eastern tropical Atlantic,
without which many of the short-lived storms may have gone undetected.
Well, blow me down!. I never would have guessed that!