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Yet Another Met Office Fail!

February 12, 2014

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Billy Liar

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/tropicalcyclone/seasonal/northatlantic2013

 

Yet another disastrous Met Office fail!

 

Back in May, they forecast an above average hurricane season in the North Atlantic.

 

And the outcome?

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/b/0/verification2013.pdf

 

 

Let’s just compare the numbers again.

 

  Met Forecast Actual
Hurricanes 10-14 2
Tropical Storms 10-18 11
ACE 76-84 31

 

 

And still, the useless Slingo keeps her job?

 

 

Footnote

Bookmark this, for the next time some plonker tells you that hurricanes are increasing.

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/b/0/verification2013.pdf

 

A feature of recent tropical storm seasons has been the contribution of short-lived storms,
which reach tropical storm strength for only 2 days or less
, to the total tropical storm count.
During the 2013 season, only 2 out of 13 tropical storms were classified as short-lived
(Andrea and Fernand). However, 10 of the remaining 11 storms were at tropical storm
strength for a total of 4 days or less. Recent studies, such as Landsea et al. (2010), have
examined the connection between tropical cyclone duration and annual storm counts. They
found that the occurrence of short-lived storms in the Atlantic Hurricane Database
(HURDAT, Jarvinen et al., 1984) has increased dramatically, from less than one per year in
the late nineteenth–early twentieth century to about five per year since about 2000
. The
reason for the increase in short-lived storms is likely due to modern satellite technology and,
in particular, continuous coverage of tropical storm activity in the eastern tropical Atlantic,
without which many of the short-lived storms may have gone undetected.

 

 

Well, blow me down!. I never would have guessed that!

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5 Comments leave one →
  1. Scott Scarborough permalink
    February 13, 2014 1:53 am

    Someone should form a competition between the Met Office predictions and a Monkey throwing it’s shit against a wall that has various weather predictions on it. If a piece of shit hits a prediction, that is the prediction that is compared to the Met Office prediction.

  2. catweazle666 permalink
    February 13, 2014 2:35 pm

    “And still, the useless Slingo keeps her job?”

    And, to go along with her ~£140,000 salary, drew a hefty “performance bonus” of around £30,000 too.

    • TheJollyGreenMan permalink
      February 14, 2014 12:07 pm

      And who can deny that she is extremely smart, She maneuvered her butt into such a lovely non-job. She has my respect, getting paid more than the Swazi Queen, and equally effective.

Trackbacks

  1. Yet Another Met Office Fail | The Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF)
  2. Met Offices misslyckade långtidsprognoser - Stockholmsinitiativet - Klimatupplysningen

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