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Dessler Says Texans Must Get Used To The Weather They Have Had For The Last 100 Years

September 23, 2012

By Paul Homewood



At the height of the Texas drought last summer, Andy Dessler, the Texas A&M climatologist, told us

As you sit by the pool and sweat this summer, one book you should be reading is The Impact of Global Warming on Texas (University of Texas Press, June 2011, second edition). This book, written by a group of Texas academics, is a sober analysis of our state’s vulnerability to climate change — and the things we can do about it.

It is a particularly appropriate read as we suffer through the hellish summer of 2011. While it is unknown exactly how much human activities are contributing to this summer’s unpleasant weather, one lesson from the book is clear: Get used to it. The weather of the 21st century will be very much like the hot and dry weather of 2011. Giving extra credibility to this forecast is the fact that the weather extremes that we are presently experiencing were predicted in the first edition in 1995.


So is it getting hotter in Texas, or for that matter drier?


NOAA, National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service

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Climate At A Glance

Annual Temperature

Annual 1901 – 2000 Average = 65.04 degF
Annual 1895 – 2011 Trend = 0.00 degF / Decade




Climate At A Glance

Annual Precipitation

Annual 1901 – 2000 Average = 27.92 Inches
Annual 1895 – 2011 Trend = 0.02 Inches / Decade



So, Texans, be warned. If you don’t pay your carbon taxes, you’ll keep getting the same weather that you always used to get!

  1. Brian H permalink
    September 24, 2012 9:19 pm

    The sin of linear extrapolation of short runs is committed frequently in ‘Climate Science’. But extrapolating one year into a one-century run surely takes the cake.

    • October 15, 2012 7:15 am

      Brian H,

      Sorry but you are over my head on this one. Would you please point out where Mr. Homewood extrapolated a datum point for one year into a century run?

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