Britain Shivers In October
By Paul Homewood
I will admit that I am quick to pick on the UK Met Office when they get something wrong. So, in all fairness, I will have to point out that they got their forecast right for October (well almost!), when they said it would be “slightly colder and drier than normal”. In the event, rainfall was bang on average and it was a lot colder than normal, but, hey, beggars can’t be choosers!
Anyway, back to the numbers. UK mean temperature for the month was 8.2C, which was 1.3C colder than average, and makes it the coldest October since 1993 and the 7th coldest in the last 50 years.
November has started even colder still, and on the CET index, the YTD is now only 0.19C warmer than the 1961-90 baseline. However this baseline is about 0.5C cooler than the 1981-2010 baseline the Met Office uses. Therefore, against the latter, we are running at roughly 0.3C colder for the year, despite a mild start to it.
As already mentioned, rainfall for October was pretty normal.
The current 3-month outlook provided by the Met is for slightly below average temperatures and average rainfall. If they are right, this year will be the second coldest since 1996, beaten only by the exceptionally cold year of 2010