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Bill Nye Makes A Fool Of Himself Again

May 22, 2013

By Paul Homewood

 

It seems Bill Nye has been attempting to link the Oklahoma tornado with climate change. Interviewed by Piers “Moron” Morgan on Monday night he was asked:-

 

As a scientist, when you hear about the size, scale, power, devastation of this tornado, what does it tell you about the ongoing debate about climate change?”

 

Nye replied that climate change had to be considered after a catastrophic weather event like the devastating tornado in Oklahoma. He also claimed 10 of the last 12 years are the “warmest years recorded.”

Thunderstorms are driven by heat and a tornado is a super thunderstorm — result of a super thunderstorm. So you’ve got to figure that if there’s more heat driving the storm then there’s going to be more tornadoes. Now this is the kind of thing that is worth investigating,” he added.

 

Perhaps the Science Guy should have checked a few facts, before he made an idiot of himself again.

 

1) Tornadoes have been declining since the 1970’s.

 

image

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/05/08/long-term-tornado-trends/

 

 

2) Stronger tornadoes have also declined.

 

EF3-EF5 Tornado Counts

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/severeweather/tornadoes.html#history

 

3) NOAA’s scientists don’t agree.

According to the tornado experts at NOAA:-

 

Does global warming" cause tornadoes? No. Thunderstorms do. The harder question may be, "Will climate change influence tornado occurrence?" The best answer is: We don’t know. According to the National Science and Technology Council’s Scientific Assessment on Climate Change, "Trends in other extreme weather events that occur at small spatial scales–such as tornadoes, hail, lightning, and dust storms–cannot be determined at the present time due to insufficient evidence." This is because tornadoes are short-fused weather, on the time scale of seconds and minutes, and a space scale of fractions of a mile across. In contrast, climate trends take many years, decades, or millennia, spanning vast areas of the globe. The numerous unknowns dwell in the vast gap between those time and space scales. Climate models cannot resolve tornadoes or individual thunderstorms. They can indicate broad-scale shifts in three of the four favorable ingredients for severe thunderstorms (moisture, instability and wind shear), but as any severe weather forecaster can attest, having some favorable factors in place doesn’t guarantee tornadoes. Our physical understanding indicates mixed signals–some ingredients may increase (instability), while others may decrease (shear), in a warmer world. The other key ingredient (storm-scale lift), and to varying extents moisture, instability and shear, depend mostly on day-to-day patterns, and often, even minute-to-minute local weather. Finally, tornado recordkeeping itself also has been prone to many errors and uncertainties, doesn’t exist for most of the world, and even in the U. S., only covers several decades in detailed form.

 

4) Global temperatures stopped rising 16 years ago.

Global temperatures last year were lower than the average of the previous ten years.

Last month was even colder, and was the 3rd coldest April this century.

 

5) USA is having coldest Spring in years.

March/April are the coldest in the US since 1996, and are more than a degree colder than the 20thC average.

 

multigraph

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

 

6) Oklahoma & The South are also much colder than normal

The South Region of KS, OK, TX, AR, LA & MS are 2.4F degree colder than the 20thC so far this Spring.

 

multigraph

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

 

7) Temperatures in the Gulf lower too.

In April, sea temperatures in the Gulf were also well below normal.

 

nmaps

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/nmaps.cgi?year_last=2013&month_last=4&sat=4&sst=3&type=anoms&mean_gen=04&year1=2013&year2=2013&base1=2000&base2=2010&radius=1200&pol=reg

 

8) Cold dry air from Canada

According to NOAA, the tornado was caused by cold, dry air sweeping down from Canada mixing with warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico.

1349v1_20130520-AirTemp

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/MediaDetail2.php?MediaID=1349&MediaTypeID=1

 

Warm, moist air is usual at this time of year. Such cold air is not.

 

9) Record tornado lows last year

In 2012, tornado numbers were some of the lowest on record. Last year also saw the warmest Spring on record in the US.

 

multigraph

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

 

10) EF5 Tornadoes occur once a year on average

Since 1950, there have been 59 F5/EF5 tornadoes, virtually one a year on average.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/05/22/oklahoma-tornado/

 

11) Tornadoes still well below normal this year

Despite the latest outbreak, tornado numbers are running at less than half the usual level so far this year.

 

ptorngraph

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/ptorngraph.png

 

 

A Pair of Fools

We don’t expect any better from Piers Morgan , who was a dismal failure at the Daily Mirror, even before he was sacked for publishing hoax photos.

As for Bill Nye, it seems that wearing a bow tie is more important than checking facts. If he is the “face of science”, heaven help us all!

Does anybody actually take him seriously?

15 Comments
  1. May 22, 2013 5:37 pm

    Does anybody actually take him seriously?

    Piers Morgan does, but then given Piers Morgan’s credentials, that is one endorsement I would not want,.

  2. Steve Case permalink
    May 22, 2013 7:32 pm

    Morgan brought the topic up.

  3. Keitho permalink
    May 22, 2013 8:18 pm

    It is actually quite painful to see grown men behaving like silly children. Just look at the historical record and then shut up. Bill Nye and Piers Morgan, two silly children.

  4. May 22, 2013 9:32 pm

    BBC News Science Editor David Shukman yesterday, on the subject of tornadoes:

    “America’s worst tornado struck back in 1925 – more than 600 people were killed. So tornadoes are nothing new, and so far there’s no evidence, over the past century, that climate change is causing more of them”.

    A refreshing lack of climate alarmism, from the BBC! (On this occasion, anyway.)

    • May 24, 2013 8:48 pm

      I caught that report, or one similar, and it made me sit up and blink. I was waiting for all the normal doom-mongering and nearly choked on my biscuit when I heard his response.

      He’ll be collecting his P45 at this rate; his bosses won’t like him missing an open goal such as that.

  5. May 22, 2013 11:41 pm

    Climate change caused our drought…climate change caused the rain…climate changed caused our 100+ temperatures…climate change caused our snow and ice…Wow in school I learned of the coming Ice Age and Seasons…

  6. Iron Maiden permalink
    May 23, 2013 3:34 am

    Morgan’s ratings on MSNBC aren’t exactly the highest on that station.
    MSNBC is a very poorly rated news station primarily watched by a left wing hardcore audience.
    Nye is on Piers Morgan’s show, on MSNBC.
    Who takes him seriously?
    Obviously, not too many.

  7. May 23, 2013 10:20 am

    Reblogged this on Thoughts on America.

  8. grumpyKoz permalink
    May 23, 2013 4:57 pm

    It’s also interesting to see that the tornado activity period is roughly equal to the period between sunspot minimums. HMMM. I wonder if humans are affecting the sun.

  9. adrianvance permalink
    May 25, 2013 3:26 am

    I am a physical scientist and US Patent holder (7,855,061) and very up on the “global warming” issue, concluding it is a fraud for public money that has netted the scoundrals $106 billion that I can document.

    I have seen Bill Nye on TV and tried to correspond with him many times directly and through his agent/publicist. All letters and emails have been ignored. They have indluced the following information:

    The Medieval Warming Micheal Mann erased to make his “hockey stick” was several degrees warmer than anything now anticipated and it was 500 years of great abundance for the world.

    The Vostock Ice Core data analysis show CO2 increases follow temperature increases by 800 years. That makes temperature change cause and CO2 change effect; not the other way around. Finally…

    CO2 is a “trace gas” in air, insignificant by definition. It absorbs 1/7th as much IR, heat energy, from sunlight as water vapor which has 80 times as many molecules capturing 560 times as much heat making 99.8% of all “global warming.” CO2 does only 0.2% of it. For this we should destroy our economy?

    Carbon combustion generates 80% of our energy. Control and taxing of carbon would give the elected ruling class more power and money than anything since the Magna Carta of 1215 AD.

    See The Two Minute Conservative via Google or: http://adrianvance.blogspot.com and when you speak ladies will swoon and liberal gentlemen will weep.

  10. Andy DC permalink
    May 26, 2013 9:45 pm

    Very well done. How do these mental incompetents get important media positions? Whatever the weather, the scam must go on.

  11. Impossiburu permalink
    June 6, 2013 2:32 am

    HAARP and geoengineering did this.

  12. Anti-War James permalink
    September 24, 2013 6:41 am

    According to your chart, the past few years have been warm. In fact, the second to last year on the chart is the warmest year on the chart.

    • September 24, 2013 9:36 am

      And tornadoes were also at near record lows last year as well.

    • August 24, 2014 5:52 am

      Yes, over the last 100 years or so there has been a slight warming of the entire globe, including land and ocean temperatures, and when I say slight, we are talking less than 2 degrees over that period of time. Here is the problem, the earth has been around for billions of years, and we are saying that because we have accurate data from about the last 130 of those years (and that is being very generous), that we can possibly make accurate predictions about the future temperatures and state of our climate. However, to date none of the climate change computer models has been able to accurately accomplish this. To put it another way, assuming the earth is 4.55 billion years old, as we are commonly told, using the last 100 years of data only accounts for 2.1978022e-8 or .000002%, about two millionth of a percent of the time the planet has been around. And we are going to use this as the basis to create some of the most expensive and intrusive legislation ever conceived? That would be like taking a poll of 150 people and claiming that the results represent the view of the entire world.

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