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Spring on track to be coldest for 30 years

May 24, 2013
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By Paul Homewood




Early figures from the Met Office show spring (March, April and May) 2013 is on course to be the coldest in the UK since 1979.

Estimates of the mean temperature for the whole season have been made based on data from 1 March up to 15 May as well as an assumption of average conditions through to the end of this month. The final figures could therefore be different, depending on the temperatures we actually see up to the end of May.

The estimates suggest the mean UK temperature for spring will be around 6.1 °C, which would make it the 6th coldest spring in national records dating back to 1910 and the coldest since 1979 when the mean temperature was 6.0 °C.

  1. Joe Public permalink
    May 24, 2013 10:33 am

    We’re gonna regret reducing our warmth-inducing CO2 emissions.

  2. May 24, 2013 10:59 am

    The way things are going, it could be even colder than 1979.
    It will be interesting how it fits into the CET record, although I am waiting until all the (real) figures are in!

    • May 24, 2013 12:29 pm

      I get the impression that the South had a relatively warm start to the month, which reflected in the CET.

      Here in Yorkshire, we were no better than average, so my guess is the UK figures will look cooler than CET.

  3. Marco permalink
    May 24, 2013 2:50 pm

    Just across the Canal in The Netherlands we are on track for the coldest spring since 1962. It will probably be in the top 5 since records began in 1901. The first 5 months of 2013 are all well below the 30 year norm (1981-2010).

  4. Joe Public permalink
    May 24, 2013 3:13 pm

    I’ve visited lots of pages at the Met Office site, but can’t locate their historic Seasonal predictions.

    i.e Their predictions for Spring 2013, made during Autumn 2012 & Winter 2012/3.

    Can you help, please?

  5. tckev permalink
    May 24, 2013 5:30 pm

    So, any predictions for the hottest summer ever? This year? Next year?

    At the beginning of the year the UK Met Office seemed to think it would be a hot year this year.

    Umm, good at prediction aren’t they?

  6. tckev permalink
    May 24, 2013 9:46 pm

    The UK government has just released it advice for heatwave.

  7. Sparks permalink
    May 25, 2013 8:13 pm

    Reblogged this on Sparks.

  8. June 1, 2013 6:12 pm

    The May CET figure is 10.4c, i.e. 0.8c below the 1961-90 mean.
    The official average for spring is 6.87c, the joint 29th lowest, along with 1883 and 1741.
    That is, using the MO ranked data file, which extends to 2 decimal places. Using the unranked file, it is equal to 1962 at 6.9c, but the figure for 1962 to 2 decimals is 6.93c.
    Using the figures to 2 decimals, it was therefore the coldest spring since 1892 according to CET.
    Consequently it is possible that 2013 will turn out to be colder than 1962 in the 1910 UK temperature series.

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