Does Slingo Work For NOAA?
June 22, 2013
By Paul Homewood
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130321_springoutlook.html
Back at the end of March, NOAA published their Spring Outlook, forecasting warm weather.
Perhaps, they have started using the Met Office’s models!
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In the headline, are the last two words superfluous?
The images „Contiguous U.S., Temperature, March – May“ indicate record low condition for March-May 1917. This is worth noting, as this low value has a strong link to extreme unusual sea-ice extent deep into the North Atlantic (presumably the only time during the last 150 years); see
___North Atlantic sea ice June 1917: http://www.arctic-warming.com/hottopics/20100130/indian-drought-1918-north-atlantic_clip_image020.jpg
More in a 2010 paper: „Did the North Atlantic play a role in the tumultuous weather conditions and the Indian drought in 1918?”, http://www.arctic-warming.com/indian-drought-1918-north-atlantic.php , outlining ”…. From about March to June 1917 the sea ice covered the entire Northern North Atlantic from the Jan Mayen to Bear Islands (Fig. 8a – 8d), having created a comparable situation as in April 1866 (Fig. 7), if not worst, as the high sea ice cover lasted in 1917 throughout the entire summer.“
Did this exceptional sea ice condition come from nowhere? Maybe, or should one ask (and invesitigate!), whether a fierce naval war around Great Britain, culminating in April 1917 when about ten merchant ships were torpedoed and sunk every day, could have contributed?