It Could Only Happen To The Met Office!
By Paul Homewood
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2013/jun/18/climate-uk-weather-summer-rain
Only two weeks ago, the Guardian warned us:-
Don’t worry, summer is on its way – but you might have to wait until 2023.
As the prospect of another gloomy Glastonbury and wet Wimbledon looms, leading climate scientists have warned that the UK could be set for a further five to 10 years of washout summers.
The grim conclusion was delivered after an unprecedented gathering of scientists and meteorologists at the Met Office in Exeter to debate the range of possible causes for Europe’s "unusual seasonal weather" over recent years, a sequence that has lasted since 2007.
Many will have hoped for news of sunnier times ahead. But after experts brainstormed through the day they delivered the shock finding that the UK could be in the middle of a 10-20 year "cycle" of wet summers. The last six out of seven summers in the UK have seen below-average temperatures and sunshine, and above-average rainfall.
And bang on queue –
Wall to wall sunshine!
Thank you, Met Office. Now if you could just forecast rain for the week after next, as I am on hols then.
Trackbacks
- It Could Only Happen To The Met Office! | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT | Cranky Old Crow
- Hedging Forecasts | Digging in the Clay
Comments are closed.
A major bait and switch is a foot. lol
This is a fairly good summer in SE England so far. Late spring was not too bad either. Yeah its going to be bad for the fifty years starting next year but tomorrow we are having the barbie to end all barbies! In fact it will be our first and probably last BUT we are going to celebrate the end of the global warming scam big time. Barbie, barbie barbie.
Oh what it could have been if Global Warming were true! Tomorrow we shall pretend that it is – Met Office permitting.
Yes, the best thing to do is to assume the opposite of what the MO predict.
Of course, it’s all down to “global weirding”.
I hear that Slingo is to hold another emergency meeting to work out what is going on!
If I did my conversion correctly, that is saying temperatures in the high 70s or low 80s Fahrenheit. I wish our summers were like that!
Reblogged this on CraigM350.
Many years ago, so the story goes, a man claimed he could predict the sex of an unborn baby. A couple would visit him and, in exchange for a small fee, he would give his prediction. But in a book he would write the reverse of what he had forecast. So if the couple returned to complain he would simply show them the book and say that they must have misheard him.
The Met Office is (according to the BBC) predicting a warm July:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-23132027
But on their own website, in their forecast issued on 27th June, they predict lower than average temperatures for July:
I don’t know who is more stupid – them for thinking they can fool us, or us for paying them over £200 Million pounds this year for such lamentable advice!
Of course, the 3 month outlook was issued a whole week ago and was full of caveats and probabilities which make it almost useless.
“Although spells of hot weather are still possible, these are less likely than would typically be expected at this time of year.”
No matter what summer is like, the MO will claim they predicted it.
“This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.”
Unusual future weather can’t be forecasted on the basis of past observations, and the models are useless beyond 7 days. And what on earth is the “expert judgement” based on, if not observations and models – pure guesswork?
QC – Quality Control! Sligo’s nightmare.
Speaking of words that begin with ‘q’, and don’t, it’s “Bang on cue”, not “queue”. The reference is to timing of lines in a play, not the lines to buy a ticket.
I was wondering who would spot that one first!
Corr:
Sligo’sSlingo’s