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Met Office Computer Saving Millions Of Lives!

September 17, 2013

By Paul Homewood

 

computer_1470337c

 

When the UK Met Office unveiled their new £33 million supercomputer four years ago, Steve Foreman, their Chief Technology Officer in charge of the project, attempted to justify it by saying

It will help save millions  of lives by predicting severe  weather and global climate  change”.

http://www.thisisexeter.co.uk/Met-Office-s-new-30m-supercomputer-help-save-lives-worldwide/story-11802280-detail/story.html#axzz2f3uQNxzV

Millions? A quick search of the official International Disaster Database, maintained by the World Health Organisation, shows the number of deaths from severe weather events in 2012:-

 

Disaster Type No of Deaths
Storm 3102
Flood 4452
Extreme Temperature 1758
TOTAL 9312

http://cred01.epid.ucl.ac.be:5317/?after=2009&before=2012&dis_type[]=Mass+movement+wet&agg1=dis_subtype&agg2=

 

Even much better warning systems could only hope to save a small proportion of these lives, so where does Foreman get his millions from, particularly since just four years later the Met need a new supercomputer.

Why are such deluded people put in charge of large amounts of taxpayer money?

 

Update

Just to clarify, Foreman’s statement is quoted in the Exeter Express & Echo.

http://www.thisisexeter.co.uk/Met-Office-s-new-30m-supercomputer-help-save-lives-worldwide/story-11802280-detail/story.html#axzz2f3uQNxzV

 

The original Mail story contained a similar statement, but was not attributed.

6 Comments
  1. September 17, 2013 11:13 am

    Looking at the Daily Mail Article, I can’t see where it attributes that statement to Steve Foreman. What it does say now is:

    “The Met Office says the machine will improve day-to-day forecasting but will still not guarantee accuracy.
    But it will help save millions of lives by predicting long-term patterns in global warming and forecasting extreme weather events such as typhoons and hurricanes.”

    It goes on to attribute some quotes to Steve Foreman but not the words you quoted and the current wording is also slightly different to what you quoted.

    I wonder if this has been changed since the original article was posted.

    Of course, whoever made it, the claim is based on future predictions of “extreme weather events”, and presumably a dramatic increase in those events. Of course, even if such events do increase, we will never know how many lives would have been lost if the computer hadn’t forecasted them.

  2. Joe Public permalink
    September 17, 2013 1:34 pm

    Meanwhile, in the UK alone, thousands of extra deaths occur directly as a result of erroneous info fed by the MO to politicians for the latter to determine energy policy based upon that incorrect data.

  3. September 17, 2013 2:54 pm

    There were an estimated 24,000 excess winter deaths in England and Wales in 2011/12 – an 8 per cent reduction compared with the previous winter.

    Seems WHO don’t count winter as extreme temperatures so what do they define as extreme?

    • September 17, 2013 4:39 pm

      Actually, they probably define mild weather, i.e. above average temperatures, as “extreme”, in the weird and wonderful world of “climate change”, as do DEFRA:

      http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/23146

      So on this perverted logic, a lower number of deaths in winter, due to above average temperatures, would be a serious problem.

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