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Russian Scientists Forecast Colder Climate

October 31, 2013

By Paul Homewood

 

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http://rbth.co.uk/news/2013/10/14/global_warming_over_in_central_asia_cooler_period_ahead_-_scientists_30786.html

 

Studies of the bottom sediments in lakes in Siberia, Kazakhstan and Mongolia testify to the forthcoming cooler period in Central Asia, senior researcher of the Russian Academy of Sciences Siberian branch’s V.S. Sobolev Institute of Geology and Mineralogy Andrei Daryin said.

"We think temperatures in South Siberia stopped climbing in 2010-2011 and a decline is about to start," Daryin told reporters on Monday.

 Russia launches Year of the Environment

More: Russia launches Year of the Environment

In his opinion, regional temperature measurements supported the prognosis.

The ten-year survey covered a historical period of approximately 3,000 years, the expert said. Synchrotronic analysis revealed bottom sediment changes of practically every season.

"We are working in the seasonal dimensions: spring, summer, fall," Daryin said.

Microelements found in the sediment reflect corresponding climatic conditions: the thickness of snow, rainfall, temperatures, lake salinity, which depends on the thickness of the ice shield, and so on, he said.

The reconstruction of the climate in compared chronological periods is based on dendro-material analysis – data may be obtained from the wood comparison in different annual tree rings but this method yields less information about climate of the past epochs because trees do not grow all the year round.

Instrumental temperature measurements, which usually lead to global warming conclusions, have been being done on a regular basis only for the past 150 years, and the earliest information was gathered in Europe 370 – 380 years ago, the scientist said.

Daryin said the research showed whether the latest rise in temperatures was something unique or not.

"Whenever we look a thousand years back, it appears that the situation is not that unique. A temperature rise comparable with today’s parameters already happened 1,000 years ago," he said.

In fact, climate change cycles correlate with solar activity, the expert continued.

6 Comments
  1. Brian H permalink
    November 1, 2013 12:53 am

    Once again, data discounts CO2. Not a surprise.

  2. November 1, 2013 1:22 pm

    I see Piers Corbyn is crowing about success in predicting the storm http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No46.pdf
    and on FB he just said “WASN’T OCTOBER EXCITING? WAIT TILL U SEE NOVEMBER – BI,Eu,USA!” (ah British Isles ) . Is he predicting cold ?

    – Interesting to see he agrees with everything the Met Office say about IPCC AR5 ..NOT

    Click to access WANews13No39.pdf

  3. November 1, 2013 3:48 pm

    Reblogged this on CraigM350.

  4. Ken permalink
    November 1, 2013 4:01 pm

    “Climate change cycles correlate with solar activity”. Simply brilliant. But, the sun is so far away. Is that even possible?

  5. Jeffery permalink
    November 1, 2013 4:51 pm

    An innocuous statement by itself, the reality that trees do not grow in the winter suggests that while dendro-material may indicate summer temperatures have shfited, they say nothing about winter temperatures, and even less than nothing about “global average temperature.”
    Am I overreacting to this?

  6. winter37 permalink
    November 2, 2013 5:59 pm

    So Daryin is apparently happy with the present(nothing unusual) climate.But in the Year of the Environment link, up pops Igor Chestin of the WWF to warn of danger to the Polar Bears.The tentacles spread everywhere, but not on gas rigs it seems.

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