Skip to content

It’s Going To Be Hot (Even If It’s Cold!)

November 19, 2013

By Paul Homewood


Readers won’t need reminding that, here in the UK, we have been inundated with warnings of hot summers, warm winters, droughts and floods, all courtesy of a warmer climate.

For instance, the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment, published by DEFRA last year, talks of


The UK’s National Risk Assessment (which looks at a range of risks from a number of sources) already recognises current severe weather and major coastal and inland flooding as significant risks to this country.7 The CCRA projects that these will pose an increasing threat as the climate changes. Other climate risks and also opportunities are projected to become more significant during the 21st century. By the 2080s, the UKCP09 projections for different parts of the UK suggest:-

an increase in average summer temperatures of between about 1°C and 8°C; an increase in average winter rainfall volumes of between around 3% and 70%; a projected change in average summer rainfall volumes ranging from a decrease of about 60% to an increase of about 10%; and by 2095 a projected rise in sea levels around London, for instance, of between about 20 cm and 70 cm.


So you maybe would have thought they might like to revisit some of their projections, after the Met Office reported on the latest IPCC Report that:


For the UK, the report projects a decline in the Atlantic Meridional Circulation (AMOC) – the conveyor of warm water, the Gulf Stream, which keeps our climate mild.


After all, even if such a change may only mitigate some of the projected increase in UK temperatures in the 21stC, it would surely have a significant effect on DEFRA’s plans, and public policy in general. And if such a decline were to lead to a drop in current temperatures, the implications for the UK would be huge.

Under such a scenario, the current planning for a warmer climate could prove to be disastrous.

So what are they all doing about it? Zilch, as it turns out. I asked both DEFRA and the Met Office under FOI if they were going to revist the CCRA or the “Climate: Observations, Projections & Impacts” paper published by the Met Office in 2011.

Their replies were a bit opaque, and very similar. First, DEFRA’s:





And the Met’s:





In other words, TRUST THE MODELS!!

It appears that they will allow nothing to undermine their obsession with warming. As a country, I think we deserve better.

  1. Brian H permalink
    November 19, 2013 4:16 am

    Well, the MET, source of the cooling warning, is a “stakeholder”. So that’s all right, then.

  2. November 19, 2013 6:58 am

    They use the same exact words. How peculiar.

  3. higley7 permalink
    November 19, 2013 1:35 pm

    What these clowns do not understand is that it is cooling that slows down the Gulf Stream. When the water cool, it becomes more viscous and flows more slowly. It ramps up when warm as it is less viscous. This, indeed is a positive feedback mechanism for the UK’s climate.

  4. Andy DC permalink
    November 19, 2013 5:39 pm

    Uness you are a teenager, we will be all dead and buried in 2080, along with the charletons making these “forecasts”. So no matter what they predict, no one can prove they will be wrong during their lifetime, thus no price for them to pay for being such imbeciles. I can predict that space alients will take over the earth by 2080 and no one can prove I will be wrong.

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: