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More Alarmist Drivel

December 5, 2013

By Paul Homewood




And now the weather forecast for tomorrow, and the next 30 years……..


But don’t blame the Daily Star, it’s Sir Brian Heap and our friends at the European Academies Science Advisory Council again who are coming out with this nonsense.


Many people could die as extreme weather becomes common.

There will be more freak winds like the October storm, which killed four people.

Heatwaves will be lethal and the sea level will rise, leaving coastal towns at risk of being swamped by storm surges.

Sir Brian Heap, president of the European Academies Science Advisory Council, said he felt “obliged” to issue the warning after a new study by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.


He even gets in a mention of the Philippine typhoon.


It comes on the back of Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines, which has killed more than 5,000 people.

Sir Brian said: “Given the tragic events this year in the rest of the world and the recent IPCC report, EASAC feels obliged to draw attention to the growing impact of extreme weather in Europe.”

The continent’s leading experts had made a detailed study of likely extreme weather, he said.

Sir Brian warned: “From the major loss of lives in heatwaves to the economic and human costs of floods and storms, the implications are worrying.

“They present the European Union and Member States with significant challenges in preparing Europe for a future with greater frequency of extreme weather.”

LETHAL: Sea storms and colossal waves will batter towns and villages.


Of course, the IPCC could find no evidence that extreme weather was increasing, but why let facts get in the way of a good story. Facts like these:

  • The October storm he refers to was the sort that comes along every couple of years or so.
  • There is a wealth of evidence that the UK and the rest of northern Europe were much stormier during the Little Ice Age, (when, surprise surprise, it was COLDER than now).
  • There is absolutely no evidence that British heatwaves are becoming either more frequent, or more intense.
  • Tide gauges around the UK show that sea level has been slowly and gradually rising during the last century, as it has been for thousands of years since the ice age. In the last 10 years, there has been no increase at all.
  • UK winters are not becoming colder, or “more extreme”. According to Met Office data, UK winter temperatures, having recovered from the exceptionally cold winters of the 1960’s and 70’s, are back to the same level as they were a century ago.


Perhaps Mr Heap might care to explain why the Medieval Warming Period was described thus:-


For five centuries, Europe basked in warm, settled weather, with only the occasional bitter winters, cool summers and memorable storms. Summer after summer passed with long, dreamy days, golden sunlight and bountiful harvests. Compared with what was to follow, these centuries were a climatic golden age.


This description comes from the renowned climate historian, Brian Fagan’s excellent book, “The Little Ice Age”. (It is worth pointing out that Fagan is a “believer in AGW”).


Does Heap really believe that recent years have seen anything to come close to the North Sea Floods of 1953, which the Royal Society described as the “the worst natural disaster to befall Britain during the twentieth century”?

Has any storm since been as strong in southern England as the Great Storm of 1703?

Or the “Grote Mandrenke”, that killed at least 25000 in 1362, carved out the Zuider Zee, and was “characteristic of the unsettled and changeable weather in northern Europe at the beginning of the Little Ice Age.


The EASAC, that Heap heads, describes itself as “formed by the national science academies of the EU Member States to enable them to collaborate with each other in providing advice to European policy-makers.”

Intriguingly, their website tells us about its funding.

It is funded by the member academies and by contracts with interested bodies.

Interested bodies? One wonders where the EU fits into all of this?


We tend to look back on medieval science as something to be scorned, but will future generations also look back the current collection of incompetents and apparatchiks, and wonder how they were allowed to get away with such self serving nonsense? Proper climate scientists, such as Hubert Lamb, who did so much to advance our knowledge of the earth’s climate during the 20thC, must be turning in their graves.


Plagues and Pestilence.

In other news today, Mr Davey Dopey, Minister for the Department of Illogical Medieval Superstitions, (DIMS), announced that Witch Burning targets would be increased by 20%.

Mr Dopey explained that this was necessary to avoid an increase in plagues, pestilence and outbreaks of boiling frogs falling from the sky.

  1. Keitho permalink
    December 5, 2013 11:14 am

    This endeavour to portray weather events as “supernatural”, having been caused by our burning of stuff is quite clever. Nobody actually remembers the weather of yesteryear so are open to the suggestion that things have never been so bad.

    The efforts of the media to continually stoke this perception are very effective too. The coverage of a hurricane in New York, floods in Brazil and Pakistan, a Typhoon in the Philippines makes people think it is all happening more often than ever even when they have no experience of the weather in those far away places.

    We are being manipulated by these people with the objective of stopping us from burning stuff. The extent of this manipulation is such that you realise it has nothing to do with climate or weather, it is about social and economic systems. More specifically about dismantling those systems that have brought about so much wealth and human progress and replacing them with something else. In the light of such frantic and determined propaganda there can be no other conclusion surely.

  2. December 5, 2013 12:38 pm

    One can only hope that the public aren’t as stupid as the BBC and other “journalists” think they are.

    • philjourdan permalink
      December 5, 2013 1:19 pm

      Sadly, I think too many are.

  3. philjourdan permalink
    December 5, 2013 1:18 pm

    Of course. AGW causes hot and cold! There never was a winter storm like this one before AGW.

    Yea, //sarc.

  4. edmh permalink
    December 5, 2013 2:50 pm

    Having made so many dire predictions of the impending adverse climate catastrophes from overheating, Global Warming / Climate Change advocates fail to accept that a climate change towards a cooler climate is more likely to lead to more intense adverse weather.

    There is good reason to expect this, simply because the energy differential between the poles and the tropics is bound to be greater inn a cooling world and that in itself leads to less stable atmospheric conditions.

    Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming advocates fail to explain how reduction of man-made atmospheric CO2 can ever can help to control Climate Change towards a cooling world.

    Recent past warming has probably lead to the reduction of hurricanes. But now we are on a downwards slope. So in future expect adverse weather events to get worse.

    Look at the sunspot record.

    • Brian H permalink
      December 6, 2013 11:02 am

      Yep, more cooling → more storms, contrary to what Believers believe.

  5. December 5, 2013 3:42 pm

    Reblogged this on CraigM350 and commented:
    There is a wealth of evidence that the UK and the rest of northern Europe were much stormier during the Little Ice Age, (when, surprise surprise, it was COLDER than now).
    Exactly! But trying to tell the witch finder general that – when his job depends on finding witches – may lead to you being dipped in the river.
    Another shameless example from the ambulance chasing climate vultures.

    • Jimbo permalink
      December 5, 2013 4:20 pm

      That’s right. See here for more great storms of the Little Ice Age. Temperature gradient thingey.

      • December 5, 2013 4:23 pm

        Thanks Jimbo. Hadn’t seen that comment of yours before. Yet more reading to do 😀

    • Sparks permalink
      December 5, 2013 5:43 pm

      “…ambulance chasing climate vultures.”
      That’s a new one, lol

  6. winter37 permalink
    December 5, 2013 5:10 pm

    Your comment,second paragraph:I would have thought the opposite.Am I wrong and why?

    • December 5, 2013 7:26 pm

      In a warming world, the poles should warm up faster then the Tropics, and cool more in a cooling world.

      Hence the temperature differences between poles and tropics are theoretically greater in a cooling world.

  7. Jason Calley permalink
    December 5, 2013 7:08 pm

    Will this CAGW wind be so mighty…

  8. winter37 permalink
    December 7, 2013 6:52 pm

    Thanks Paul.

  9. Nathaniel Chase permalink
    January 22, 2015 10:27 am

    What can we do to get people to stop believing the rot that’s being talked anout Exxon and Gazproms vital operations on the East Siberian Arctic Shelf? The place is a gas bonanza, an oil rush. We can easily beat Saudi Arabia. My friend in the biz says we won’t even have to drill soon.

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