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Met Office & Daily Express Share The Booby Prize!

December 8, 2013

By Paul Homewood

 

image82

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/10/30/to-snow-or-not-to-snow/

 

Back in October, the Daily Express, courtesy of its buddies, Exacta Weather and Vantage Weather Services, was forecasting Britain’s “worst winter in decades”, with major snowfalls in November.

 

Meanwhile, the Met Office put out their 3-month outlook on 25th October, forecasting the likelihood of temperatures well above normal.

 

image_thumb

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/11/01/met-forecast-warm-november/

 

So who was right? Well, as it turns out neither!

 

Met Office figures for November show that mean temperatures in the UK were 0.7C below the 1981-2010 average.

 

2013_11_MeanTemp_Anomaly_1981-2010

 

And as for snow? Well, there was not much of that as the Met report:

 

November 2013

The month opened with some generally unsettled and wet weather. The westerly weather type meant there were relatively few dry days, but also few frosts. From mid-month there was a shift to more settled, but colder weather with plenty of sunshine as high pressure systems dominated. The country experienced the first widespread frosts and some early-season snowfalls in the north.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries

 

So, all in all, nothing out of the ordinary, just another British November. But forecasting that does not sell newspapers.

Meantime, the latest Met 3-month outlook forecasts “below average” temperatures for December, (which current CET shows is running at about 1C warmer than normal!)

Booby prizes all round I think!

2 Comments
  1. Billy Liar permalink
    December 8, 2013 6:28 pm

    The Met Office can have another booby prize for their errant ‘North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2013’. Can’t wait for their ‘Tropical cyclone forecast verification – northern hemisphere 2013’ document.

    I don’t think we’ll be seeing a news item like this:

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2009/tropical-storm-forecast

    GloSea appears to have lost its mojo since 2009.

  2. Brian H permalink
    December 9, 2013 3:55 pm

    “How many ways can we be wrong?” Operating guidelines for climate journalists and prognosticators.

    More pictures of boobies would be good, though.

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