Paul Hudson Falls At Last Hurdle

By Paul Homewood

 

h/t A C Osborn

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/posts/Met-Office-global-forecasts-too-warm-in-13-of-last-14-years

 

The BBC’s Paul Hudson comments on the continued warm bias in the Met Office’s global temperature forecasts.

Rather disappointingly though, he uncritically rehashes a couple of the excuses put about to explain the temperature standstill.

 

1) Lack of observational data in the Arctic.

This, of course, is the nonsense put out by Cowton & Way. GISS, through their 1200km smoothing of temperatures, fill in all of the Arctic, but still have exactly the same pause as all the other datasets.

 

2) The ocean ate my heat

The Met Office paper, that Paul refers to, states plainly:

 

The scientific questions posed by the current pause in global surface warming require us to understand in much greater detail the flows of energy into, out of, and around the Earth system. Current observations are not detailed enough or of long enough duration to provide definitive answers on the causes of the recent pause, and therefore do not enable us to close the Earth’s energy budget. These are major scientific challenges that the research community is actively pursuing, drawing on exploration and experimentation using a combination of theory, models and observations

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/q/0/Paper2_recent_pause_in_global_warming.PDF

 

The message could not be clearer. Even if the heat has gone into the oceans, it simply would not be possible to measure it. At least the Met Office are honest enough to admit this, and the fact that therefore this is no more than a theory.

They also admit that they have not the slightest idea of why global warming has stalled.

It is extremely disappointing that Paul Hudson does not make this clear himself.