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Slingo Forgets About Colder, Drier Winters (Till Next Time That Is)

March 26, 2014
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By Paul Homewood

 

image

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/2014/uk-drivers-and-impacts

 

Now that the Met Office have changed their minds yet again, and tell us that:

 

the UK is expected to see more frequent milder, wetter winters

 

perhaps Julia Slingo might admit that she got it all wrong last year, when she warned us that global warming was :

 

“loading the dice towards colder, drier winters”.

 

 

image

http://www.itv.com/news/update/2013-04-10/met-offices-urgent-inquiry-into-arctic-effect-on-uk-weather/

 

 

 

 

Otherwise, people might she she was making it all up as she went along!

9 Comments
  1. John F. Hultquist permalink
    March 27, 2014 3:17 am

    A couple of years ago the MET got a big new computer.
    Then, I think, they got big cash awards.
    Then they found some new facts.
    Stick the new facts into the new computer and go out and party.
    Wait until the new computer makes new forecasts.
    Report new forecast without comparing it to the real world.
    It that’s making stuff up, then they are guilty.
    What else can they do – they don’t know what is going on.
    ——

    “she she” – oops! ‘think she’ ??

  2. Green Sand permalink
    March 27, 2014 7:52 am

    First, I asked Stephen Belcher, the head of the Met Office Hadley Centre, whether the recent extended winter was related to global warming. Shaking his famous “ghost stick”, and fingering his trademark necklace of sharks’ teeth and mammoth bones, the loin-clothed Belcher blew smoke into a conch, and replied,

    “Here come de heap big warmy. Bigtime warmy warmy. Is big big hot. Plenty big warm burny hot. Hot! Hot hot! But now not hot. Not hot now. De hot come go, come go. Now Is Coldy Coldy. Is ice. Hot den cold. Frreeeezy ice til hot again. Den de rain. It faaaalllll. Make pasty.”

    http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/seanthomas/100222487/when-it-comes-to-climate-change-we-have-to-trust-our-scientists-because-they-know-lots-of-big-scary-words/

  3. March 27, 2014 8:02 am

    From the latest MO report:

    “As yet, there is no definitive answer on
    the possible contribution of climate change to the
    recent storminess, rainfall amounts and the consequent flooding.
    More research is urgently needed to deliver robust detection
    of changes in storminess and daily/hourly rain rates.”

    I may be wrong, but isn’t that a little different to what Julia Slingo was
    saying a few weeks ago?

    Maybe it’s just a question of emphasis.

  4. Green Sand permalink
    March 27, 2014 9:15 am

    “Extreme weather events” increasing?

    ” Insurer reports a profit for last year of £3.2bn, its best annual result since 2009 due to a drop in catastrophes…..

    ……..Profits increasd 14pc year-on-year as catastrophe claims fell by 52pc in what Lloyd’s said was an especially “benign” year. …

    ……..The fall in claims came despite the flooding that hit large swaths of the UK and meant that, while in 2012 the world’s oldest insurance market paid out 91.1p in every £1 it took in premiums, last year the payout rate fell to 86.8p……”

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/10725118/Lloyds-of-London-reports-best-profit-in-four-years.html

  5. March 27, 2014 12:44 pm

    An item about CO2 by Roger Harrabin, in the oceans on “Today” programme;

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b03yqj2z

    About 38 minutes into the programme.

    Not much detail but there is more on Newsnight tonight.

    I wondered what the concentrations were, near the CO2 vents.

  6. March 28, 2014 3:51 pm

    Paul:

    You should start a thread where you collect “Slingoisms”: she seems to spout whatever is the flavour of the day based on the current weather – all of which is, of course, in her world view, inextricably linked to the horrors of anthropogenic global warming…

    People could sift through her comments and public statements and I suspect a nice collection of contradictory claims could be compiled.

    Cheers.

  7. March 29, 2014 3:41 pm

    Here’s a start for some Slingoisms and Slingo-claims. This is extracted from a PowerPoint presentation given on 21 October 2013 to the Trades Union Congress. Accessible at: http://www.tuc.org.uk/economic-issues/past-and-future-events/industrial-issues/workplace-issues/green-growth-no-turning

    From Slide 4
    “IPCC 4th and 5th Assessment Reports:
    Warming is unequivocal
    ‘Pauses’ in warming are expected and understood”
    [The word “understood” clearly means something different in Slingo-speak]

    From Slide 6
    “Assertion that we survived the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age ignores the rapid increases in the world’s population and in the sophistication of our current civilisation.”
    [Well, at least she acknowledges the MWP and LIA – but apparently our forebears were of hardier stuff than we…]

    Slide 8
    “Increasing confidence that human emissions are increasing the risk of some types of extreme events
    Report by UK and US scientists looking at extreme events in 2012
    Half of the extreme events studied displayed some evidence that human induced climate change was a contributing factor.”

    NOTE: specific examples included: USA heatwave 2012, Iberian drought winter 2011/12, Arctic sea ice minimum 2012 [not sure how this fits], Australian rainfall 2012, NZ rainfall winter 2011, and Hurricane Sandy.

    Slide 9 – the big prediction.
    “Global warming >2˚C is likely for scenarios with little mitigation of emissions. No mitigation leads to a world more than 4˚C warmer than pre-industrial times”
    Note – she later clarifies that this 4 degrees is by 2099.

    Slide 10 deals with sea level rise – she’s expecting it to speed up. Slide 11 should be looked at closely – it seems she’s calling for more public disorder based on CAGW.

    Slide 13 – Summary with the big finish.

    “Climate change is unequivocal. It is extremely likely that human influences have been the dominant cause of the observed warming since 1951.
    There is already evidence that climate change is leading to more extreme weather events that affect a world that is increasingly exposed, vulnerable and interdependent
    Current trajectories of carbon emissions take us towards a world 4˚C warmer than the present by the end of the century
    If warming due to human emissions is to be limited to 2˚C, total emissions need to be limited to 1000 Gigatonnes of Carbon. About half of this has already been emitted.”

    • Brian H permalink
      September 10, 2014 8:19 am

      ian005
      March 29, 2014 3:41 pm

      Here’s a start for some Slingoisms and Slingo-claims.

      “Assertion that we survived the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age ignores the rapid increases in the world’s population and in the sophistication of our current civilisation.”

      Um, increases in sophistication PERMIT increases in population by making it possible to deal better with climate and weather.

      Slingo has no clue when she’s defeating her own POV.

      • quaesoveritas permalink
        September 10, 2014 8:32 am

        I assume she meant that we are now too sophisticated, and have too large a population to survive such periods now.
        Sound illogical to me,

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