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October – March Rainfall in England

April 3, 2014

By Paul Homewood


The Met Office have published the precipitation statistics for March, so we can take a look at the “Winter 6-Months”, October to March, for England.




This last period ranks the third wettest since 1910, behind 2000/01 and 1929/30, while the green trend line is essentially flat. Meanwhile the 10-Year average is close to the long term average, with no sign of increasing.

The wettest 10-Year period was 1911 to 1920, closely followed by 1994 to 2003.


Across the southern half of the country, which has borne the brunt of the wet weather, we see a similar picture.




Again, 2000/01 remains the wettest, with 2013/14 this time slightly wetter than 1929/30. As with the national plot, the trend is essentially flat, and the 10-Year trends appear to be normal , with no sign of increasing.

Again, the wettest 10-Year period was 1911 to 1920.


Nobody questions that it has been an exceptionally wet winter in England, but the evidence shows that it has not been unprecedented. Neither does it show that winters are becoming wetter, or are likely to in future.

Instead of trying to find connections to “climate change”, Slingo and her pals might be better employed in analysing what caused the early years of the 20thC to be so wet. They might actually learn something.

  1. TinyCO2 permalink
    April 3, 2014 7:42 am

    The current trend is for the met office to declare it the warmest decade on record, to disguise the lack of warming. If we did the same thing with UK rainfall, the scary headlines would be meaningless.

  2. Keitho permalink
    April 3, 2014 7:58 am

    The only thing unprecedented about the rainfall this last winter was the media coverage of it. The manipulative message that the MSM carries is that everything is getting worse because of the stuff we burn.

    In my opinion it is not about what we burn but what we do with that energy that is under attack. Why though? The answer is I don’t know.

  3. Anoneumouse permalink
    April 3, 2014 8:26 am

    Woe, woe and thrice woe Senna the soothsayer strikes out again.

  4. quaesoveritas permalink
    April 3, 2014 8:48 am

    Until recently, the South was enduring a drought and we were told that aquifers would take many year to refill.
    With British weather, things tend to average out, bur according to the new definition, it’s all “climate change”.

  5. Andy DC permalink
    April 3, 2014 1:51 pm

    Warming would bring less rain Remember all those pictures showing England growing oranges with the semi-arid climate of Spain?

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