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Global Temperature Update – June 2014

July 30, 2014

 

By Paul Homewood

 

 

  RSS UAH HADCRUT4 GISS NCDC
June 2014 0.35 0.30 0.62 0.62 0.72
Change from last month +0.06 -0.03 +0.03
-0.14 -0.02
12 month running average 0.22 0.24 0.53 0.65 0.66
Average 2004-13 0.23 0.19 0.47 0.59 0.59
12 month average – 1981-2010 Baseline 0.12 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.24

 

 

A bit of a mixture this month, with some up and some down, but very little change in the 12 month averages, which remain slightly above the 2004-13 average.

 

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Mid Year

As we’re at mid-year, it’s worth taking a look at how the Jan – June figures stack up against recent years.

 

We have heard a lot about “record months” recently, which have not been borne out by the satellite datasets. But even on the surface sets, the first six months of this year does not appear exceptional, as we can see when we plot the Jan to June numbers for GISS back to 1997.

 

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The start to this year only ranks 5th behind 1998, 2002, 2005 and 2010. Although 1998 and 2010 were major El Nino years, significantly 2002 was ENSO neutral, while 2005 was only a weak El Nino year, similar to recent months.

 

Analysis of the satellite data shows that there is nothing remarkable about the start of this year at all.

 

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On RSS, this year ranks as tie 8th, while UAH shows tie 5th. Both show this year well below the peaks of 1998 and 2010.

10 Comments
  1. David permalink
    July 30, 2014 9:33 pm

    Thanks for the update Paul.

    Perhaps worth pointing out that June 2014 was the warmest June on record in both the NOAA and HadCRUT4 datasets. (The NOAA global record starts in 1880 and the HadCRUT4 data starts in 1850.)

    In GISS it was the 3rd warmest June; but GISS extrapolates data over the poles, and Antarctica was much colder than average during June 2014. This likely reduced the GISS global average slightly.

    Overall, it’s safe to say that June 2014 was one of the warmest Junes since instrument records began.

  2. Todd Stoudt permalink
    July 31, 2014 9:34 am

    Does your side of the argument provide such data to the general public Or do they hide their data?

    Sent from my iPad

    >

    • July 31, 2014 9:59 am

      What data?

    • August 1, 2014 8:54 am

      Todd, I for one don’t know what you are talking about.
      Can you be more explicit?

    • August 1, 2014 9:40 am

      Todd,

      We are doing our darndest to get the data in the public domain. This is the whole point of blogs such as mine.

      • showmethedata permalink
        August 9, 2014 2:23 pm

        Paul, someone, and I know who, has sent this question in my name. I asked them this question in a private e-mail asking them for data supporting their belief in AGW. It seems that they have cut and pasted my question to them and posted it here under my name. I have just realised this, trying to get caught up on my article saving.

      • August 9, 2014 6:37 pm

        He’s used your email address, except with a “1” in front of the number.

    • David permalink
      August 10, 2014 8:24 pm

      Todd,

      If your question was a reply to my comment (comment 1), then of course the global data sets referred to are freely available for download.

      Paul provides links in the monthly updates section.

      Rgds

      • showmethedata permalink
        August 12, 2014 4:06 am

        David,

        My question was directed at a non participant to this discussion. The person I meant to send this to gets their info on this topic from Al Gore and the BBC, frequently forwarding BBC articles written by Matt McGrath as proof that AGW is real and actually happening.

        I intended to send this article to them so that they could see an actually discussion on the topic using actual data and asked if the people they quote can produce the same.

        Again, I replied instead of forwarding by mistake. My question was not directed at anyone in this thread.

  3. Todd Stoudt permalink
    August 10, 2014 2:34 am

    Paul,

    Thanks for pointing this out. It was my mistake! I meant to forward this on to the person in question but accidentallly replied to you instead.

    I wanted them to see what a data supported argument looked like and asked for the same from them, but missent it.

    My mistake.

    Thanks again.

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