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NOAA Make False Claims Again

October 21, 2014

By Paul Homewood

  

image

 http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/9

 

 

According to NOAA, last month globally was the hottest September on record, 0.04C warmer than September 2005.

They apparently know the global temperature to such an exact amount, despite having no temperature data for most of the world’s landmass.

 

 

201409

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/map-land-sfc-mntp/201409.gif

 

Conveniently, of course, they forget to mention the margin of error, which is +/-0.12C.

 

image

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/9

 

Allowing for the margin of error, September 2014 is statistically tied with 14 of the last 18 years, as the chart below shows.

 

image

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series/global/globe/land_ocean/1/9/1880-2014

 

 

Sometimes, margins of error are misunderstood, but GISS summed it up well in their report on 2010 global temperatures.

 

Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie.

http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20110112/

 

If GISS understand this, why do NOAA continue to publish false claims?

4 Comments
  1. Green Sand permalink
    October 21, 2014 11:14 am

    Looking at the northern oceans, could September be a last hurrah?:-

    Then again we are heading towards the most likely time of the year for an El Nino to develop, will it, won’t it, what effect will it have?

    Time will tell.

  2. October 21, 2014 4:23 pm

    It seems to me that global surface temperatures used to be important (e.g. Mann Hockey Stick and 1998 record) and then they became unimportant (i.e. the pause) and ocean heat content become more important and now they are becoming important again.

    It’s almost like they move year to year and take whatever gives AGW the best visibility and that’s the news of the day. They haven’t had much this year to hang their hat on; few hurricanes and tornadoes, Arctic sea ice up, no heat waves this summer, etc. So I guess selecting one global temperature data set and claiming a record is all they have. Do you think most regular folks know there are other global temperature data sets (e.g. UAH, RSS).

    And as an engineer, the fact that they claim to know the average global temperature over the entire earth to +/- 0.12C seems rather miraculous to me.

    Do I sound cynical and bitter?

    • Paul permalink
      October 22, 2014 6:12 am

      No, you sound like a realist!

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