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Typhoon Season Update

December 13, 2014
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By Paul Homewood 

 

With the passing of Typhoon Hagupit, I thought it would be a good time to give an update of where the year stands, as regards typhoons. Unlike the Atlantic, there is no “season” for typhoons (which are simply what hurricanes are called in the Western Pacific), as they can happen all year round. However, with no current warnings, let us hope that we have seen them all for this year.

 

Let’s start by quickly reviewing Hagupit, which with 155 mph sustained winds would be classified as Cat 4 on the Saffir Simpson scale. This was, fortunately, while the storm was still out at sea, and it was downgraded to Cat 3 by the time it made landfall.  

Sadly, latest estimates say that 25 have lost their lives, largely to due flooding after heavy rainfall.

 

So far this year, there have been seven super typhoons, higher than the average of 4.1. Super typhoons are defined by JWTF as having sustained wind speeds of >129 Kt, the equivalent of a strong Cat 4 hurricane.

However, seven is not an unusual number, equalled or beaten on eight other occasions since 1959. The two record years were 1965 and 1997, when eleven occurred. The 5-yr average suggests a comparable position to the late 1980’s/early 1990’s, and earlier in the 1960’s.

 

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http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/season.asp?storm_season=2014

2 Comments
  1. December 13, 2014 10:16 pm

    I like the fact that you wrote an article about typhoons. Since they are created in the ocean, I think that we should pay more atention to oceans, too. Not only earth and air are affected by what we call polution but oceans too. So, any type of activity in the ocean, affects the ocean. I read some interesting articles about that on http://www.1ocean-1climate.com. There are some interesting theories about how human activity on oceans influenced climate. When speaking about climate, first of all people should speak about oceans.

  2. Andy DC permalink
    December 14, 2014 4:17 pm

    If you search under “strongest tropical cyclones”, Wikipedia lists all western Pacific typhoons with central pressure of 900 mb or lower. Between 1970 and 1989, there were 25 such typhoons, an average of 1.25 per year.

    If you take the years 2000-2014, there have been only 5, an average of .33 per year.

    But if you listen to alarmist propaganda, they would have you believe that severe typhoons are becoming much more frequent, when in reality, just the opposite is true.

    By the way, the most intense typoon of the modern era was Tip back in 1979, with a central pressure of 870 mb.

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