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UK Met Office uses graphical tricks to hide the pause

February 11, 2015

By Paul Homewood


Reposted from Jo Nova.


The UK Met Office went to some effort to graph the last 160 years, from hottest calendar year to coldest.

Name the scientific reason:

1. Because the order of the calendar years is important.

The graph reveals mysterious patterns  — Years ending in 3, 4, or 5 are more likely to be hotter. Years containing a six are statistically more likely to be green.


2. Because climate models show a linear rise in temperatures, and no “pause”, and this graph does too. Glance at it sideways and be afraid!

The Met Office used to say one year doesn’t mean anything, only long term trends matter.

Now they graph the noise.

Thanks to Barry Woods for pointing me at this, and carefully putting the years back in their chronological order in the graph below.


See the pause? See the noise?

  1. February 11, 2015 12:32 pm

    This is clearly a marketing rather than a scientific graph.

    That is, it cunningly hides the truth while not lying.

    I wonder why???

  2. February 11, 2015 3:18 pm

    For fun, reverse the color scheme on the graph and make hot blue and cold red. People will be so confused. Marketing.
    Why does the rearranged graph start at 1963? There are decades of below normal temperatures before that?
    Why is the average used now calculated during the industrial period when CO2 goes up and yet we don’t see the anomaly getting smaller? If CO2 is the culprit, shouldn’t the CO2 effect already be visible in the 61 to 90 average and the differences become smaller?

    • February 11, 2015 5:50 pm

      It appears that the 1st graph lists the 50 Hottest/Coldest years, and the 2nd graph just shows the last 50 years. Hence the difference in start dates.

  3. February 11, 2015 3:22 pm

    Maybe the MO has taken on a graduate from UEA’s “School of Creative Writing”?

  4. Paul permalink
    February 11, 2015 3:23 pm

    They are crooks, obfustication before clarification.
    I wonder what their bonus’s were for last year.

  5. February 11, 2015 3:29 pm

    Reblogged this on Power To The People and commented:
    Crooks in Charge of Climate Science Now

  6. Kirk Allison permalink
    February 11, 2015 5:50 pm

    Isn’t the average trend line in the lower chronological graph also rising? I would add a regression line. It is the long run average that is most of interest. It will be interesting to see what happens in the next five years.

  7. tom0mason permalink
    February 11, 2015 6:04 pm

    The only long term trend that matters to the Met Office is the public’s acceptance of the message. Thankfully the public is becoming less compliant as the Met Office has become increasingly banal in the messages it sends out.

    How’s the accuracy of The Met Office’s long term weather forecasting?
    Is it improving year on year?
    Is this TAXPAYERS’ money well spent?

    • 1saveenergy permalink
      February 12, 2015 12:09 am

      I love the way the met office score each daily forecast for only the first 36 hours, and the threshold they use for a correct forecast is +/- 2°C.

      Yet they confidently predict global temperature 85yrs ahead +/- 0.2°C.

      I think emphasis on ‘CON’

  8. February 11, 2015 11:00 pm

    Reblogged this on the WeatherAction News Blog.

  9. tom0mason permalink
    February 12, 2015 5:32 am

    This latest venture by the Met Office is an unparalleled and unique obliquity of irrationalization that is an original rarely witnessed beyond the tranquil assurances of a sanatorium.

  10. February 13, 2015 4:54 am

    Reblogged this on Globalcooler's Weblog.

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