Global Sea Ice Well Above Normal In January
February 16, 2015
By Paul Homewood
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2015/02/vary-january/
From the “What NSIDC forgot to tell you department”.
Who would have guessed that global sea ice area was well above normal for nearly all of January!
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.global.anom.1979-2008
As it has been for most of the last two years.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg
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So long as we have the ice-sheets further warming is highly unlikely. However if there’s anything to worry about it’s catastrophic cooling:-
http://scottishsceptic.co.uk/2015/02/15/toward-a-new-theory-of-ice-ages-xiv-putting-it-all-together/
To the degree that Arctic has experienced warming in recent years, peer reviewed studies in 2005 and 2009 cite China dust and black carbon as major cause: 2/25/2005, co-authored by James Hansen, “Distant origins of Arctic black carbon: A Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE experiment,” Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Dorothy Koch and James Hansen. Greenland also gets Asia BCs per this study: “”The largest contribution to BC (black carbon) deposited on Greenland is from south Asia.”…[35] From 1980-1995, “BC emissions from developed countries have declined and aircraft are apparently not to blame. However, during this time BC emissions from China and India have nearly doubled.” A 2009 peer reviewed study by Drew Shindell cited both China BC and US Clean Air Acts (of 1970s and 1990) as significant cause of Arctic and Northern Hemisphere warming since 1976: 4/8/2009, “Aerosols May Drive a Significant Portion of Arctic Warming,” nasa.gov/topics: “Researchers found that the mid and high latitudes are especially responsive to changes in the level of aerosols. Indeed, the model suggests aerosols likely account for 45 percent or more of the warming that has occurred in the Arctic during the last three decades. The results were published in the April issue of Nature Geoscience.”…More on Clean Air Acts with NASA graph: 4/8/2009, “Half of recent arctic warming may not be due to greenhouse gases,” Houston Chronicle, Eric Berger.
Is the WMO backtracking?
Reasons for temp increase in rural areas-
http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/statistical_depictions_of_climate.php
“These changes can also occur to weather stations that are still in rural locations and are often harder to detect. For instance, the growth of trees around a farmstead that maintains a weather station alters the local wind flow and temperature patterns, and so reduces extreme wind speeds and the incidence of frosts (where they occur). The trend in the observations reflects the changes in the microclimate of the farmstead while the general climate may not have changed”
NOTE” ” may not have changed”
I am never keen on the use of the phrase “normal” for anything to do with weather and climate Paul. Average would be fine I suppose and more readily understood by the general public I think. Alarmists use the word normal all the time and they know exactly why they are doing it.
Every month my bank account swings from zero to X as funds arrive and leave and the average is roughly X/2 but obviously even that is a not right – you would have to look at daily balances etc. etc. BUT what is NORMAL? (I don’t have to tell a bean-counter any of this of course Paul)
The point I am making is that many folks I know assume that if rainfall (for example) is twice the average or half the average then this is not NORMAL.
As for sea ice – well the AGW crowd are largely ignoring it at present because its behaviour isn’t very helpful to their predictions. The odd religious zealot still shouts that it is all melting and will be gone next week or the week after – these are people who have a fixed view that is never influenced by reality.
Agreed
There was more sea ice on the globe in 2013 and 2014 than there was in 1984.