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Polar Vortex Common In The 19thC

February 28, 2015

By Paul Homewood  

 

2014-11-11_0918

 

 

I came across a chapter in Hubert Lamb’s “Climate, History and the Modern World”, which has more than a bit of topical relevance.

 

We are all well aware of the extremely cold winters in the eastern half of the States, both this year and last. This has coincided with warm winters in the west, the sort of extreme weather which warmists would like to blame on “climate change”.

 

Well it turns out that they had the same weather patterns in the 1850’s and 60’s, and the reason was just the same – a meridional jet stream.

 

Scan

HH Lamb – Page 253

 

 

Lamb believed that this meridionality was actually more common during the Little Ice Age, and there is plenty of evidence of the same phenomenon during the cooling period of the 1960’s and 70’s. 

 

Is the latest incarnation of this just weather, or an indication of a return to a colder era? Either way, it won’t stop junk scientists blaming it on “global warming”.

18 Comments
  1. February 28, 2015 11:30 pm

    Reblogged this on the WeatherAction News Blog and commented:
    At that time carbon emissions from the Industrial Revolution were increasing causing Arctic Amplification and the resulting Jetstream kinks that are happening ‘too fast’. Jennifer Francis will be along with a paper blaming us in 3…2..1… 😉

    • March 1, 2015 6:36 am

      I did my M.A. thesis at Miami University (Ohio) on the agricultural and industrial revolutions in the US Midwest, beginning with the first migrations west of the Appalachians prior to 1860. My study concentrated on the period 1860 to 1920.

      Until 1860 there was very little industry, essentially using agricultural inputs. The population of the mid-west was mainly rural and agricultural. Thus, CO2 emissions from 1830 to 1860 were negligible.

      There were canals, but the railroads were not developed in the midwest until around 1860 or so. It was not until about 1890 that the Midwest could be see to be firmly set on the path to industrial development. The steady growth of the horse population of cities was seen as a prime environmental hazard.

      Even then there was no electricity generation. Not until 1920 or so that any person now alive would feel comfortable living in a midwestern city.

      The greatest environment improvement in cities came from the replacement of horses and their manure by motor vehicles. Before the internal combustion engine, cities were vast latrines for horses.

      Nobody much disputes the claim that CO2 emissions were negligible in North America until at least 1950.

      • Billy Liar permalink
        March 3, 2015 8:06 pm

        Before the internal combustion engine, cities were vast latrines for horses.

        So, a bit like Mackinac Island now? It’s hard to forget the smell of chocolate fudge mixed with horse manure wafting down Main Street on a fine summer’s afternoon.

  2. March 1, 2015 12:12 am

    Thanks to collapse of the AGW fable, arrogant world leaders that are now going down!

    Relax and enjoy this re-enactment of a classical play on the “Conflict between Arrogance and Reality !”

    In the closing scene, Big Brother will learn to recite the prayer of the King of Siam in public:

    “O Waa Ta Goo Siam.”

    [The prayer automatically translates into English when repeated aloud and magically restores sanity to arrogant world tyrants.]

  3. Gary H permalink
    March 1, 2015 12:33 am

    When’s the last time that it [Polar Vortex] pushed far south, destroying the citrus crops in the Rio Grande Valley in Texas and in South Florida?

    Previously known as:

    Arctic Express

    Polar Express

    Siberian Express

    Winter

    Bad Deal

  4. Rud Istvan permalink
    March 1, 2015 1:06 am

    Paul, a great find. Please let your countryman TonyB know. He is the Lamb expert. The more we dig, the more we find. In our own unique ways.

  5. March 1, 2015 1:41 am

    Hmm, wonder if it had anything to do with low solar activity at the time? LOL

  6. March 1, 2015 3:39 am

    Reblogged this on Sierra Foothill Commentary and commented:
    More cold for the East. More records to break. We are on the cusp of some big changes.

  7. Will permalink
    March 1, 2015 9:56 am

    The 1963 BBC documentary on the extremely harsh UK Winter of 1963 is available on Youtube. At 45min 44secs into the documentary there is a rather nice graphic of a meridional jet stream – the stated cause of the harsh weather. And of course, the Winter of ’63 coincided with a solar minimum.

    The big freeze (@45min): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QM6_GqVWjA#t=2746

    & here’s a link to a Met Office paper on top down solar modulation of the North Atlantic or Arctic oscillation: lasp.colorado.edu/sorce/news/2012ScienceMeeting/docs/presentations/S2-01_Ineson_sorce2012.pdf

  8. March 1, 2015 11:14 am

    A natural result of global cooling is that at some places it will get cooler..
    Get used to it. The climate is changing.

  9. emsnews permalink
    March 1, 2015 1:13 pm

    This isn’t ‘climate change’ it is global cooling. The cooling manifests itself first in this sort of cold cycle that is centered over the Hudson Bay. And Antarctica cools, too which is definitely is doing right now.

    This cold cycle will last at least 30 years. Possibly be another little ice age.

    • March 1, 2015 2:05 pm

      “this cold cycle will last at least 30 years. Possibly be another little ice age”

      So, the climate is changing?

    • March 1, 2015 2:46 pm

      Not to be picky, but, please don’t confuse natural climate swings- climate change, in other words- with the ‘climate change’ the alarmists talk about. ‘possibly be another LIA’ IS climate change as the world has known it for a billion years. What the alarmists mean by ‘climate change’ is ‘absolute catastrophe.’

      • March 1, 2015 4:53 pm

        Hi Otter

        I don’t want to be alarmist, but I am afraid that natural climate change can [also] bring somewhat of a disaster. Hitler easily came to power during a time of hyper [food] inflation. To quote from my final report towards the end of it:
        It really was very cold in 1940’s….The Dust Bowl drought 1932-1939 was one of the worst environmental disasters of the Twentieth Century anywhere in the world. Three million people left their farms on the Great Plains during the drought and half a million migrated to other states, almost all to the west: http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/res/div/ocp/drought/dust_storms.shtml
        I find that as we are moving back, up, from the deep end of the 88 year sine wave, there will be standstill in the change of the speed of cooling, neither accelerating nor decelerating, on the bottom of the wave; therefore naturally, there will also be a lull in pressure difference at that > [40 latitude], where the Dust Bowl drought took place, meaning: less weather (read: rain). However, one would apparently note this from an earlier change in direction of wind. According to my calculations, this will start around 2020 or 2021…..i.e. 1927=2016 (projected, by myself and the planets…)> add 5 years and we are in 2021.
        Danger from global cooling is documented and provable. It looks we have only ca. 7 “fat” years left……
        WHAT MUST WE DO?
         We urgently need to develop and encourage more agriculture at lower latitudes, like in Africa and/or South America. This is where we can expect to find warmth and more rain during a global cooling period.
         We need to warn the farmers living at the higher latitudes (>40) who already suffered poor crops due to the droughts that things are not going to get better there for the next few decades. It will only get worse as time goes by.
         We also have to provide more protection against more precipitation at certain places of lower latitudes (FLOODS!), <[30] latitude, especially around the equator.

      • Gary H permalink
        March 1, 2015 6:35 pm

        Yes. However when they say GW, or CC, what they are actually saying (their view) is AGW or ACC.

        According to the warmists, naturally occurring GW, or CC, does not exist any longer. Everything is man-made.

  10. March 1, 2015 5:40 pm

    Of course, the Earth’s climate has been following cycles of cooling and warming, throughout it’s history. Now we are living in the holocene era, a period of gradual warming of the climate, following the ice age, which has ended over ten thousand years ago.
    Some are saying that the climate is changing in a more rapid manner startig with the 20th century, mainly because of human influence. The greenhouse emissions are the most pointed cause of climate change, especially global warming. Some other theories point to the oceans, which are considered to be the main influence on global climate. The two world wars of the past century, especially the naval battles are thought to have had an important role in changing the climate. I’ve found some interesting info on the matter on http://www.warchangesclimate.com.

    • March 1, 2015 8:43 pm

      when an article starts off by saying “presumably yes” all alarm bells must be ringing? Trust only your own results! My results indicated that more greenery does trap heat (e.g. Las Vegas) and where they cut the trees away it does get cooler (e.g Tandil, Argentine).
      Overall, this “trapping” heat effect is not great compared to the effect of the change in energy that is allowed through the atmosphere due to the brightening sun, but, yes, it is there and it is noticeable. Generally speaking , the bombs/ atomic bombs that were exploded 1945-1975 may have caused a decrease in greenery and this therefore may have contributed to the cooling effect that was experienced until 1945-1975.How great this effect was, is difficult to say, but my guess is that it could not be more then 10%.

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