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G7 To Save The World (But Not Yet!)

June 9, 2015
tags: ,

By Paul Homewood   

 

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http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/06/08/g7_summit_climate_change_world_should_phase_out_fossil_fuels_by_2100.html

 

From Slate:

In a joint declaration from the G7 summit, leaders of the world’s richest countries called for a global phase-out of fossil fuels for the first time on Monday. That sounds great, but unfortunately, they’re talking about a lax timescale—“over the course of this century.”

 

The whole idea that we can plan on what the world should be doing next century is, of course, ludicrous and naive. After all, if they had tried the same thing back in 1930, what sort of society would they have envisaged?

Would they have foreseen computers and the internet, mobile phones, widespread car ownership, air travel for the masses, nuclear power, and all the other things we have at hand? Or would they have laid down some plan based on bakelite wireless sets and steam trains?

 

We are regularly told how we must act now before it is too late; not in 20, 50 or 100 years time. Whatever effect CO2 has as a greenhouse gas, it is logarithmic, so, by the end of the century, whatever they do then will be largely irrelevant.

 

Meanwhile, back in the world, we should perhaps just remind ourselves how much we all rely on these evil fossil fuels, and how difficult it will be to replace them. Below is the IEA table showing latest available figures from 2012 for primary energy supply.

 

All these wonderful renewable energy sources, which we keep on being told will save the world, are contained in that 1.1% red zone, marked “others”. (This excludes hydro, which is shown separately).

 

 

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http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/KeyWorld2014.pdf

 

 

Their projection for 2035, based on new policies under consideration, shows an increase in demand to over 17000 Mtoe, most of which will be sourced from fossil fuels. (The 450 scenario is pure fantasy at this stage).

 

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http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/KeyWorld2014.pdf

 

Welcome to the real world.

14 Comments
  1. June 9, 2015 4:28 pm

    Our grandchildren will wonder
    How did it all begin,
    And how by such an obvious deception
    Were we all taken in!

    http://rhymeafterrhyme.net/mother-nature-is-laughing-shes-having-such-fun-to-see-just-how-gullible-weve-all-become/

  2. Bloke down the pub permalink
    June 9, 2015 5:20 pm

    We are regularly told how we must act now before it is too late; not in 20, 50 or 100 years time. Whatever effect CO2 has as a greenhouse gas, it is logarithmic, so, by the end of the century, whatever they do then will be largely irrelevant.

    Which end?

  3. June 9, 2015 5:54 pm

    For once I must disagree. Here we are not being told ” we must act now before it is too late; not in 20, 50 or 100 years time,” the timescale has changed to “over the course of this century.” This is a step back and it seems likely that realisation is beginning to dawn that it is all a fool’s errand. I expect to see more moves away from fossil fuels, necessary to save the faces and careers of the Warmists presently in charge of throwing taxpayer funds at the aforementioned errand but they will come progressively slower until probably another source of fossil fuel free but economically sound real energy will reach deployment stage, perhaps molten salt thorium reactors and this will be used to cover their blushes as wind turbines and solar cells are quietly discontinued.

  4. Green Sand permalink
    June 9, 2015 7:11 pm

    Yep reality is sinking in:-

    “…….By 2040, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) predicts the world will need to produce 111m bpd of crude to meet world demand. That represents another 20m bpd on top of existing output which means the world needs to find and develop and additional 800,000 bpd of oil a year on average to keep up with supply. To put that challenge into perspective, this figure represents repeating the US shale oil boom all over again, or finding a developing a new North Sea 20 times over……”

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/11611387/Shells-Arctic-voyage-marks-beginning-of-peak-oil-era.html

  5. Slightly Cross of East Anglia permalink
    June 9, 2015 8:15 pm

    What do want? No use of fossil fuels!
    When do we want it? err…2099 …maybe, perhaps.

    Sound of football being kicked not so much into the long grass but more like deep into the forest in the hope everyone forgets it is there in a few years

  6. catweazle666 permalink
    June 9, 2015 9:18 pm

    So, ““over the course of this century.”

    Wow, that really is what I call ‘kicking the can down the road’!

  7. John F. Hultquist permalink
    June 9, 2015 10:44 pm

    Bakelite was introduced to the world at the same time as my parents! They witnessed many technological advances. Mom missed out on the personal computer era and Dad missed the smart-phone.
    Here is what saddens me: Unless there is a major advance in human longevity I will not be around to witness the second half of this century. Coal, oil, and gas seem to be much in my future.

  8. avro607 permalink
    June 9, 2015 10:46 pm

    The scary bit is that these people are supposed to be intelligent,and responsible for the wellbeing of millions of people.Cannot they see that the path they are taking with the big Green Lie as the signpost will take the developed world back to the Middle Ages.

  9. AndyG55 permalink
    June 10, 2015 9:10 am

    Hopefully the people in the real positions of power in the developed countries have started to realised the FACTS.

    1. Coal is the cheapest form of electricity.

    2. The world’s population is going to increase

    3. To advance, countries need a solid, reliable consistent energy/electricity supply

    4. The expanding population will mean more food will be needed.

    4. The ONLY nature food creation process is the combination of CO2 and H2O by photosynthesis.

    5. The world is currently at a VERY LOW atmospheric CO2 level for the needs of an expanding population.

    This absurd CO2 demonisation MUST END if the world is to survive. !!

    CO2 in any possible atmospheric level is totally and absolutely BENEFICIAL to the whole planet !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • AndyG55 permalink
      June 10, 2015 9:11 am

      CO2 in any possible MAXIMUM atmospheric level is totally and absolutely BENEFICIAL to the whole planet !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  10. June 10, 2015 9:20 am

    There was a report on BBC R4 World at One, on Chinese CO2 emissions and global temperatures, saying that China might start reducing it’s emissions sooner than previously thought. About 22 minutes in:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b05xd504

    Unfortunately it confused CO2 emissions with air pollution which is a completely different issue. I expect more of this confusion in the future.

    This article by Roger Harrabin is slightly less confusing:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-33040965

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