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Gummer Wheels Out More Alarmist Propaganda

June 30, 2015

By Paul Homewood  

 

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-33315125

 

From the BBC:

 

The UK must take urgent action to prepare for the impact of climate change, the government has been warned.

Ministers should focus on the future risks of heatwaves and flooding, says the Committee on Climate Change.

Its report said more needed to be done to keep emissions on track, although the government said it was committed to meeting its climate change target.

It also warned a decision to stop onshore wind farm subsidies early could potentially add £1bn a year to bills.

The report by the Committee on Climate Change looked at progress towards meeting carbon emission targets and how the UK is preparing for climate change risks.

Chairmen Lord Deben and Lord Krebs said measures were needed to address increased flood risk to homes and to protect farmland from declines in productivity.

Lord Krebs said: "By the 2050s the sort of heatwaves we might experience in the next few days will be the norm, a typical summer."

The committee also called for action to make homes and buildings safer during heatwaves.

"Just as we’ve been encouraging on the mitigation side retrofit of loft insulation and so on, we need to think how to develop passive cooling measures maybe tinted glass, shading, again as is common in other countries," Lord Krebs said.

Lord Deben added that decisions on carbon-cutting policies needed to be made "urgently" to give companies time to invest.

The committee is also advising the government to:

• Extend funding for low-carbon electricity generation to 2025

• Continue support for efficient, low-emission vehicles

• Develop new infrastructure that is resilient to the impacts of climate change

• Act to counter the decline in productive farmland.

The committee said the government has a duty to explain to the public how it intends to replace the energy from wind turbines in the countryside.

 

No surprise that Lord Deben is still banging the alarmist drum! Let’s pick up on two of his claims:

 

1) Heatwaves

This hoary old chestnut is wheeled out every year, usually when the sun comes out.

Heatwaves have neither become more common nor intense in recent years. The two hottest days in the Central England Temperature series were in 1976 and 1990, reaching 33.2C, and the summer of 1976 remains unbeaten for the number of days of 30C and over, with nine such days, far more than other, recent hot summers.

In contrast, there have only been three days of 30C and over in the last decade. (On current predictions, we might just creep up to 30C tomorrow).

 

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

 

 

2) Agricultural Yields

 

According to DEFRA’s own statistics, wheat yields have been steadily rising since 1980.

 

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https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/11/06/warmest-year-brings-record-harvests-for-uk/

 

Whether this would have been better or worse without the slightly warmer UK climate since then, who knows.

What we do know is that the wet and mild winter last year, combined with a nice warm summer, led to record harvests, as even the Guardian was forced to admit:

 

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image_thumb24

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/11/06/warmest-year-brings-record-harvests-for-uk/

 

A fact which DEFRA also confirmed:

 

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 https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/11/06/warmest-year-brings-record-harvests-for-uk/

 

 

 

We also know that between 1950 and the 1970’s, when the Earth was cooling down, the growing season in Britain was shortened by two weeks.

 

All of the evidence suggests that agricultural productivity in the UK has benefitted from a warmer climate, and not the reverse. 

 

 

And Finally!

It really does take the biscuit when Gummer/Deben complains that offshore wind is more expensive than onshore, as he, more than anybody, has been trying to force both down our throat for the last few years.

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15 Comments
  1. June 30, 2015 11:11 pm

    Good on you Paul. Keep the pressure on these ……. fraudsters.

    • Kartoffel permalink
      July 1, 2015 10:22 am

      The real challenge : controlling the weather just like They will control climate at the Paris conference … St. George killing the dragon.

  2. AndyG55 permalink
    June 30, 2015 11:51 pm

    Maybe with a bit more warming, they will be able to grow a worthwhile grape crop up near Hadrian’s wall.. like during the MWP.

    Cold area grapes do nice whites. Pinots from Tassie are yum !!

  3. John F. Hultquist permalink
    July 1, 2015 5:21 am

    I note that your UK wheat yield graph begins its upward climb about 1950.
    A chart for US crops would be similar. Two things help explain this timing and, I suspect other major countries have relevant activities.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Land-grant_university
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G.I._Bill

    After WWII many things happened (links above; among others) to stimulate agricultural research. Basic food crops such as wheat and corn benefited early on. More recently fruit, apples and such, have new & better varities and much higher production per area. Wine grapes have benefited as well from better knowledge. Capitalism contributed.
    High density – close spacing, alternate lean, short stature:
    http://www.goodfruit.com/wp-content/uploads/8b5e0439f9a529fc3fe95c3109f66c29.jpe

    • July 1, 2015 5:43 pm

      JH, the UK wheat yield shows directly the result of Nobel Prize winner Norman Borlaug’s two ‘green revolution’ breakthroughs: dwarfing and rust resistance. It also shows something quite worrying. Once the new strains were fully adopted/locally adapted, yield improvement basically stopped. This is true worldwide, and is also true for rice, potatotes, pulses, and many other major crops like alfalfa. At present only row crops soybeans and maize (corn) do not (yet) evidence natural yield limits, thanks to GMO (which many oppose). Wrote extensively about this and its implications in Gaia’s Limits.

  4. July 1, 2015 6:52 am

    The pseudo-science fiction
    Is quite scary stuff,
    Thankfully real world observations
    Are calling their bluff.
    http://rhymeafterrhyme.net/real-world-observations-a-threat-to-us-all/

  5. July 1, 2015 7:26 am

    The Global Warming lobby are obviously on flat out attack now. The “I” yesterday had 3 articles about how the hot snap is a harbinger of global warming doom if we carry on burning carbon and one especially stupid long one about crop yields falling and desertification.

    I wrote my fifth letter to them about their proselytizing, but like the others, it won’t get published, as their science editors are all green-welly men. If the media keep repeating the mantra without opposition people will believe them; but I have no idea how to stop them.

  6. July 1, 2015 7:36 am

    Note that the CCC claim that not continuing to invest in massively over-subsidised wind turbines will cost an extra £1 b / year: what planet are they on and who will lose this £1b/year ? Surely it is now widely agreed that wind power is costing everyone and giving little real benefit when stand-by generating costs are allowed for, it only exists because of guaranteed prices.

  7. July 1, 2015 8:51 am

    Deben (or Gummer as he used to be known) has been heavily invested in renewables for some time now. It’s surprising he is allowed to spout this nonsense without an inquiry into his personal interests.

  8. Derek permalink
    July 1, 2015 9:14 am

    Obviously Deben (Gummer) has ignored the Met Office report on the coming little ice age due to solar output reducing as I understand it.

  9. July 1, 2015 10:51 am

    Reblogged this on the WeatherAction News Blog.

  10. Richard Bell permalink
    July 1, 2015 1:28 pm

    Well said …… When I constantly see dumb headlines about heat waves in the UK all I could think was …… dose no one remember 1976 , so thank you for reminding us of that. ALSO …… I am a Brit living in Southern California ( with US family in Tucson Arizona ) ……. We very happily live with temperatures in the 8o’s / 90’s and if you want HOT try living in Arizona with regular 100 plus days …… Again when I read the Mad British Weather headlines it makes me think how nuts the press is !!!
    Thank you Paul ….. keep up the GOOD work .

  11. tom0mason permalink
    July 1, 2015 6:22 pm

    Paul,
    I am surprise that you could doubt and cast aspersions on one of the grandest of the political insiders that is Lord Deben. Please allow me to speak-up for this extraordinarily elite political animal.
    His renowned talent and acumen in advancing his personal ambitions on the altar of public scientific misunderstanding are many and legion. Who could forget how, as John Gummer MP, he almost single-highhandedly lead the reluctant British nation to a better scientific understanding of the risks of BSE (mad cow disease), both at the time and long into the future. With his obvious noteworthy scientific knowledge, he’s insulated his political needs and want for state remuneration from real world problems.

    As Lord Deben he has used all opportunities afforded him to voice as loudly as possible through the press and speeches in Parliament, that Britain need to enrich itself, and his immediate family and friend, by ensuring that, no matter what the cost, the nation can afford more windfarms. His truly remarkable history of doing the right thing to attain the very maximum of state funding for windfarms, no matter how little it hurts himself, his family and friends is as remarkable as it is well known.

  12. July 1, 2015 6:31 pm

    Warm days are BAD BAD BAD.
    People slow down at work and that reduces GDP. Who knows they may do sensible things like they used to in Spain and Greece (and where did that get them?) they may actually stop working for 4 hours in the hottest part of the day.
    Too many warm days in an area/country not much used to it and who knows what happens to production. If GDP stalls then it looks like we are going back to a recession. Can’t have that can we?
    Less production = less profit = less tax = increased government deficit.
    Solution: stop the warm days.
    As they say in some places:
    If you want to stop global warming turn up the air conditioning.

  13. cheshirered permalink
    July 1, 2015 9:36 pm

    One hot day and we have Chris Rapley about to come on to Newsnight to scare the populace witless.

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