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UK Regional Rainfall Trends

September 25, 2015

By Paul Homewood 

 

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The Met Office publish rainfall data by district back to 1910, so how do the trends differ from one part of the country to the other?

 

 

 

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As might have been expected. there is a north/south split, with rising trends in Scotland and N. Ireland, but very little change in England and Wales.

Maybe more surprising is the lack of any real difference in trends between west and east, as far as England/Wales is concerned.

The changes in Scotland are quite large, particularly in the west and north. Geographically, Scotland represents a significant area within the UK.

As a result, the UK as a whole shows an increasing trend of 52mm/C, about a 5% increase. Yet, England & Wales on their own show a very small decline.

When we hear claims that rainfall in the UK is increasing, we should not fall into the trap of assuming that this applies to the whole of the country. For most of it there has been no increase at all.

 

 

 

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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/datasets

8 Comments
  1. Tommy Roche permalink
    September 25, 2015 4:27 pm

    Is there a comparable graph for the Republic of Ireland I wonder? Lazy of me but somebody may know .

  2. September 25, 2015 4:29 pm

    The UK is such a small country, and rainfall is so random. I don’t think any regional trends can be considered significant.
    Also, as far as I know, the UKMO don’t measure rainfall over the sea, which means the picture is incomplete.

  3. Tommy Roche permalink
    September 25, 2015 4:32 pm

    The increase appears to be post 1970s

  4. Joe Public permalink
    September 25, 2015 5:40 pm

    Pesky Climate Stability.

  5. Kon Dealer permalink
    September 25, 2015 5:44 pm

    0.5mm per year increase for Scotland.
    We’re doomed, Doomed, I tell ye!

    • roger permalink
      September 25, 2015 10:17 pm

      Not so much catastrophic, more like catatonic in practice.
      This observation appears to apply across the board in climate science.

Comments are closed.