UK Regional Rainfall Trends
By Paul Homewood
The Met Office publish rainfall data by district back to 1910, so how do the trends differ from one part of the country to the other?
As might have been expected. there is a north/south split, with rising trends in Scotland and N. Ireland, but very little change in England and Wales.
Maybe more surprising is the lack of any real difference in trends between west and east, as far as England/Wales is concerned.
The changes in Scotland are quite large, particularly in the west and north. Geographically, Scotland represents a significant area within the UK.
As a result, the UK as a whole shows an increasing trend of 52mm/C, about a 5% increase. Yet, England & Wales on their own show a very small decline.
When we hear claims that rainfall in the UK is increasing, we should not fall into the trap of assuming that this applies to the whole of the country. For most of it there has been no increase at all.
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Is there a comparable graph for the Republic of Ireland I wonder? Lazy of me but somebody may know .
Not from Met Office data
Not provided by the UKMO.
The UK is such a small country, and rainfall is so random. I don’t think any regional trends can be considered significant.
Also, as far as I know, the UKMO don’t measure rainfall over the sea, which means the picture is incomplete.
The increase appears to be post 1970s
Pesky Climate Stability.
0.5mm per year increase for Scotland.
We’re doomed, Doomed, I tell ye!
Not so much catastrophic, more like catatonic in practice.
This observation appears to apply across the board in climate science.