Three Months Of Storms?
By Paul Homewood
There was a time when the Telegraph was a serious paper:
Britain will be battered by three months of storms which could start within days when the biggest Super El Nino in 144 years hits the West.
A Met Office forecast warns of potential flooding caused by more than one and a half foot of rain, with councils and emergency services told to be on standby for what will "more likely than not" become "the strongest ever" El Nino on record.
The forecast – which predicts gale-force winds and freezing -14C temperatures in early 2016 – serves as a grim reminder of the winter of 2013, which wreaked chaos across the UK and left 17 people dead.
The report, obtained by the Sun, says: "The risk of spells of windy or stormy weather is greater than usual. There is clear shift towards above-average rainfall.
"El Nino moderately increases the probability of increased frequency of Atlantic depressions crossing the UK and wetter-than-average conditions."
The Met Office also warned of a severe drop in temperatures in the New Year caused by "sudden stratospheric warnings" where bitter easterly winds chill Britain.
Water streams down the roof of Dawlish Station, Devon Photo: MATT CARDY/GETTY IMAGES
The last El Nino, six years ago, saw the UK crippled by the worst winter for decades with harsh frosts, sub-zero temperatures and heavy snow setting in from early December and lasting until March.
A Met Office spokesperson said: "This year’s El Niño started to grow in April and it has now become a strong, mature event similar to the landmark 1997-8 event.
"Typically, growth will peak around the end of the year and decline during the first half of the following year.
"Currently, the outlook for El Niño is for further growth over the next two months."
Well, maybe not! This is the 3-month outlook, just published last week, which the article refers to:
Above average rainfall? Maybe. A risk of colder weather in January? Well, who would have thought!
But battered by 3 months of storms? Really? And heaven knows what this Super El Nino is, which is going to hit the west in the next few days!
And a foot and a half of rain? Where do they get this drivel? Their article they link to makes no mention of it.
The Met Office is rather more circumspect! This is what the Sun reported:
The Met Office said its forecast was to brief agencies who needed it.
A spokesman said: “There are suggestions of an increased risk of wet stormy weather. But there will be some periods of drier spells.
“It looks like being more unsettled than average, but a bit milder. However there will be cold spells.
“When you forecast this far ahead, it is always more uncertain.”
And what sort of weather did the Super El Nino of 1997/8 bring?
Rainfall for November to January was remarkably unremarkable.
As ever with British weather, be prepared for anything!