Skip to content

Met Office Stung By Criticism, But Fail To Answer Questions Raised

December 11, 2015

By Paul Homewood     

 

image

http://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2015/12/11/climate-change-and-weather-caught-in-a-media-storm/

 

The Met Office has responded in typically self serving fashion to recent criticism in the media:

 

December so far has been characterised by intense media discussions about climate change and its relationship to weather.

Early in the month, the Met Office welcomed the BBC Trust report, which recognised there was a serious breach of their editorial guidelines and that the What’s the Point of the.. Met Office programme, aired in August, had failed to make clear that the Met Office’s underlying views on climate change science were supported by the majority of scientists.

Trustees considered audiences were not given sufficient information about prevailing scientific opinion to allow them to assess the position of the Met Office and the Met Office position on these criticisms was not adequately included in the programme.

In the wake of Storm Desmond, there have been further media comments about the relationship between climate change and weather.

On Monday, in a blog, we were very clear not to link the record-breaking rainfall with climate change.  This is what Professor Dame Julia Slingo, Met Office Chief Scientist has said: “It’s too early to say definitively whether climate change has made a contribution to the exceptional rainfall. We anticipated a wet, stormy start to winter in our three-month outlooks, associated with the strong El Niño and other factors.

“However, just as with the stormy winter of two years ago, all the evidence from fundamental physics, and our understanding of our weather systems, suggests there may be a link between climate change and record-breaking winter rainfall. Last month, we published a paper showing that for the same weather pattern, an extended period of extreme UK winter rainfall is now seven times more likely than in a world without human emissions of greenhouse gases.”

So, we have been clear: it’s not easy to link a single weather event to climate change, but last weekend’s record rainfall aligns with the pattern highlighted by our scientists. The Met Office expects an increase in heavy rainfall associated with climate change and this is an active area of research. A recent paper by the Met Office’s Mike Kendon highlights several key findings connected with rainfall records:

  • Since 2000 there have been almost 10 times as many wet records as dry records.
  • Remarkably, the period since 2010 accounts for more wet records than any other decade – even though this is only a five-year period. It also includes the winter of 2013/14: the wettest on record.

Guided by peer-reviewed science, the Met Office recognises the climate is changing, and with that comes an expectation that more records will be broken.

 

So still they try to link Desmond to climate change, while at the same time insisting that they are doing no such thing.

Meanwhile, they totally fail to respond to the real and widespread criticism that Storm Desmond was not in anyway unprecedented, or even unusual.

As for their arm waving reference to their paper supposedly showing that extreme winter rainfall is seven times more likely, all it proves is that if you feed a model with the assumptions you want, it will also give you the answers you want.

 

 

Have the Met Office really got nothing better to do?

11 Comments leave one →
  1. December 11, 2015 6:33 pm

    The BBC has been airing listener complaints on the radio 4 Feedback programme that some its output has FAILED to link every flood to climate change, in order to put pressure on politicians to do something about it. Despite the complaints, the BBC (aided by the Met Office) continues to be the broadcast propaganda wing of the Green party.

  2. Tom O permalink
    December 11, 2015 6:57 pm

    I thought I recently say a post where it stated that the little ice age was preceded by increased wet and stormy weather. With the temperature actually not increasing but apparently dropping, in spite of the data manipulation, it seems to fit into a pattern, doesn’t it? Then again, any kind of pattern can be thought to be fitted by the weather if you have a good enough imagination .

  3. December 11, 2015 7:09 pm

    Please gave a go at the Feedpack prog. which was purely a strawman argument, put up from some FoE/Greenpeace muppet in order to allow Harribin to spew more nonsense:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b06r8gmz

    (Take any blood pressure medication before listening!).

  4. Dorian permalink
    December 11, 2015 7:11 pm

    So let me get this right. The Met Office takes local data (that is data from the British Isles), and extrapolates that to the whole world. But when it is shown categorically that the Middle Ages Warm Period, was global, we can not state that temperatures were warmer locally. I think I’ve got that correct. Its very hard for me as a trained scientist to think illogically.

    Furthermore, taking only the first 10 days of this December, the Met Office says it is proof that this entire December is one which is breaking all records, for not just this December -which is not even 1/3rd of the way finished- but also illustrates that this entire year has record breaking extreme weather events. I need to get that straight in my head, let me write that again: that what happens in 10 days in December, is proof of what has happened for 365 days of the whole year. I am typing this crap, but believe you me, I having a really tough time doing it!

    I have learnt one valuable less in all this. I thought it was tough and laborious in writing scientific papers and documents. But its no where near as hard to write stupid, idiotic, illogical clap trap, and in such a way so that it sounds totally feasible and intelligent. That is really hard to do! It takes some really moronic genius to do this, day in and day out. I take my hat off to this climate morons, they really do have a skill. I suppose every society needs morons, that way, it keeps the rest of us grounded and grateful that God blessed us with sanity.

    • Dorian permalink
      December 11, 2015 7:27 pm

      Oops, I made a mistake. The Met Office wasn’t using the first 10 days of data in December, I just realized it was even less, something like the first 4 or 5 days of the month. British weather of a few days seems to be able to dictate the climate of the whole planet! Damn its hard to write this crap! I feel as if a brain aneurysm or something happening in my head.

      What a load of rubbish the Met Office is pumping. Ah, now I feel better, its nice to write with sanity.

  5. December 11, 2015 7:30 pm

    It’s quite possible that there are changes to climate happening. Whether such changes would be on a shorter or longer term basis, nobody can know for sure.

    But that doesn’t mean they have to be man-made, or even due to CO2 at all, which is the implication people like the Met Office want to steer people towards.

  6. rah permalink
    December 11, 2015 8:42 pm

    Yes they have better things to do. For example, get their defending minions out to eliminate from the record a comedic radio program which questioned why the MET even exists: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3355441/QUENTIN-LETTS-vaporised-BBC-s-Green-Gestapo.html

  7. December 11, 2015 9:09 pm

    Its perfectly clear. We can’t say there’s any link between climate change and the floods, it just makes them 7 times as likely.

  8. December 12, 2015 8:58 pm

    Reblogged this on ajmarciniak.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: