UK Winters Not Getting Warmer Or Wetter – Will Someone Tell Comrade Harrabin?
By Paul Homewood
Another dishonest piece from Comrade Harrabin:
The Met Office says there is a direct link between the warmth and the record rains that brought widespread floods across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England.
The UK was in a warm and moist tropical air mass for most of the month, bringing unseasonably mild conditions to England and Wales, although Scotland and Northern Ireland were colder at times.
In other words, the record rains have not been caused by warm weather, as Harrabin would like his readers to believe. Instead, the jet stream has brought air which is both warm and moist.
He then goes on to claim that December was the wettest on record, which, as we now know, is not true.
But it is the nonsense that he quotes from Adam Scaife and Myles Allen which is particularly interesting:
Prof Adam Scaife, head of medium-term prediction at the Met Office, said: "The mild, wet weather is coming to an end – not this week but in a while.
"This December has really been out of the ordinary. We think climate change has played a part in the extreme temperature and rainfall – but only a minor one.
"It’s not feasible for climate change to have increased temperatures as high as they have been – the jet stream has been the main driver of conditions, bringing winter storms.
"Warmer air can hold more moisture, and we expect winters to become warmer and wetter with climate change – especially in the North. But we wouldn’t expect the sort of weather we’ve had in December to become normal in the UK for many decades."
Prof Myles Allen, from Oxford’s department of atmospheric physics, said: "There is no such thing as a new normal with climate change.
"Climate change is not a transition to a new normal. It’s a trend. Decembers like this will be what we expect in a couple of decades’ time."
Unfortunately for their theories, there is no evidence that UK winters are getting wetter.
Or, for that matter, warmer.
Perhaps, for his next little piece, Harrabin might like to check the figures himself, and then ask Messrs Scaife and Allen where their theories have gone wrong!