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The Official Iceland Temperature Series – 2015

January 12, 2016
tags:

By Paul Homewood     

  

iceland_thumb

 

In most parts of Iceland, last year was the coldest since 2000, in marked contrast to 2014.

The Iceland Temperature Series below is built up from the seven following sites, which have long running, high quality temperature records back to 1931 and earlier. They also present a reasonable geographic distribution. It is also important to note that the temperature data has been carefully homogenised over the years by the Iceland Met Office, to adjust for station moves, equipment changes etc. (For more detail, see here).

 

Reykjavik

Stykkisholmur

Akureyri

Grimsstadir

Storhofoi

Teigarhorn

Haell

 

 

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http://en.vedur.is/climatology/data/

 

The warm years of the 1930’s and 40’s, and much colder ones that followed clearly correlate with the AMO cycle. Although the warmth has been more persistent in the last decade, only one year, 2014, has been warmer than those earlier years.

There is no evidence to suggest that temperature trends will increase in the next few years, and much to suggest that Iceland will suffer from a return of a very cold climate once the AMO turns cold again.

 

We can see the same patterns in the individual stations below:

 

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Needless to say, the adjusted GISS versions below bear no comparison.

 

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 http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data/

17 Comments leave one →
  1. markl permalink
    January 12, 2016 5:54 pm

    Excuse my cynicism but does this mean Iceland hasn’t swallowed the AGW pill and corrupted their data? “Carefully homogenised” tingles my skeptic bone. I’ve noticed several Scandinavian/Northern European countries don’t buy into the AGW hysteria with the same fervor and belief as their Southerly neighbors.

    • January 12, 2016 6:04 pm

      IMO expressly disagrees with what GISS has done to their data. Citations in essay When Data Isn’t in my latest ebook.

    • rwoollaston permalink
      January 12, 2016 6:07 pm

      In my experience, the Nordic people are typically very honest and don’t suffer fools gladly. I’m certain the adjustments they have made to the temperature series would have genuinely reflected changes in sites etc, rather than being made to fit a theory. Rather than sticking their heads above the parapet, they’ll just carry on telling the truth in a quiet way such as this.

    • January 12, 2016 6:09 pm

      IMO also publish the raw data, and at most stations there is very little adj.

      The only significant change is at Reykjavik, during the war years when it moved onto a roof top in the middle of town. Afterweards, it moved back again to its original site.

      The key, of course, is that there is no need at all for GHCN/GISS to make their own adjustments, as the IMO have already made any necessary changes based on very well recorded and preserved metadata

  2. Adam Gallon permalink
    January 12, 2016 6:13 pm

    http://en.vedur.is/climatology/articles/nr/1213
    Looks like Iceland’s been slowly warming for 200 years.

  3. Adam Gallon permalink
    January 12, 2016 6:16 pm


    And why Climastrologists love starting history in 1979 when discussing polar sea ice?

    • January 12, 2016 6:54 pm

      I don’t speak Icelandic (or whatever language this is), can you tell me what the chart shows? Is it sea ice?

      • January 12, 2016 8:21 pm

        Mean temps at Akureyri, which is one of the more Northerly sites and thus more”arctic”.

      • Bloke down the pub permalink
        January 12, 2016 8:31 pm

        Annual temperature in Akureyri

      • January 12, 2016 8:41 pm

        So it seems to show warming since the 1800’s?
        Also the data seems to end around 2004?
        Why mention polar sea ice, when the graph doesn’t show it.

      • January 12, 2016 8:46 pm

        Because 1979 was a very cold year with a large amount of ice knocking around.

  4. Bloke down the pub permalink
    January 12, 2016 8:37 pm

    There is no evidence to suggest that temperature trends will increase in the next few years, and much to suggest that Iceland will suffer from a return of a very cold climate once the AMO turns cold again.

    The Icelanders don’t need to fear a return to colder times, Gavin will just wave his adjustment wand and make it warm again. Sort of reminds me of the joke about the baby polar bear.

    • January 13, 2016 12:13 pm

      Inquiring minds need to know about this baby polar bear.

      • Bloke down the pub permalink
        January 13, 2016 1:40 pm

        Baby polar bear says to his mum, ‘Am I really a polar bear?’
        Mummy polar bear looks askance and replies, ‘What an odd question! I’m a polar bear, your dad’s a polar bear, of course you’re a polar bear. If you don’t believe me, ask your father’.
        So baby polar bear goes to his father and asks ‘Am I really a polar bear?’
        ‘What a question for a son of mine to ask’ says daddy polar bear. I’m a polar bear, your mother’s a polar bear, your grandfather is a polar bear, of course you’re a polar bear. If you don’t believe me, ask your grandfather’.
        So baby polar bear asks his grandfather, ‘Granddad, am I really a polar bear?’ Of course you are lad’, replies granddad, ‘why do you ask?’
        ‘Because’, says baby polar bear, ‘my feet are bloody freezing!’

  5. January 12, 2016 10:15 pm

    Could you digitally sum the GISS Icelandic anomalies and subtract from them the Icelandic, Icelandic anomalies and see what effect GISS has on the whole Icelandic record for Global Temp purposes?

  6. Ian George permalink
    January 13, 2016 5:28 am

    Hare is the original ‘raw’ data (v2) for Reykjavik from GISS (data which has now been archived).
    http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/show_station.cgi?id=620040300000&dt=1&ds=1
    Quite an adjustment.

  7. January 13, 2016 5:35 pm

    Reblogged this on ajmarciniak.

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