Letter To My MP
By Paul Homewood
I have written to my MP, Angela Smith as follows:
With regard to the Climate Change Act and decarbonisation targets, can I start by asking if you are aware of the following:
1) Legislation has already been passed for the Fourth Carbon Budget period of 2023-27, which commits the UK to reduce GHG emissions by 52% from 1990 levels.
2) The Committee on Climate Change is now recommending this be increased to a cut of 57% for 2028-32.
3) On the other hand, the EU’s commitment, included in its INDC (Intended Nationally Determined Contribution), is only for a cut of 40% from 1990 by 2030. This pledge will be the EU’s specific commitment to the Paris Climate Treaty.
4) The Paris Agreement specifically acknowledges that the various INDCs submitted will lead to a projected GHG annual level of 55 GtCO2e by 2030. This is an increase on the latest estimate available, which was 49 Gt in 2010, and a huge increase over the 2005 figure of 37 Gt
5) UK emissions of GHG amount to little more then 1% of global emissions, and therefore any reductions made in the UK will have virtually no effect globally.
6) The cost, ultimately payable by householders, for this decarbonisation is massive. The OBR project a cost of £13.6bn for 2020/21. This is an increase on the current year’s cost of £3.6bn.
7) The Committee on Climate Change forecast that these costs will increase by another £4.8bn by 2030, if their targets are to be achieved.
8) The UK has already achieved a cut of 32% in GHG since 1990. Latest projections from DECC suggest that we will have cut by 40% by 2017.
Bearing the above points in mind, what is the justification making bigger cuts than our EU partners, never mind the rest of the world which will be increasing emissions?
Do you agree that we should revise legislation to reflect a cut of 40% by 2030 and thereby avoid the massive extra costs projected?
As she is Labour, I will probably get more sense out of a brick wall! But you never know.
It may be useful though if others wrote similarly to their MPs. There are, I suspect, more than a few Tories who are sceptical of the Climate Change Act, and it might just trigger a few reactions. If nothing else, I doubt very much whether most MPs are familiar with all of the above facts.
Others have tried a different tack in the past, attacking the science. Unfortunately these came straight up against the brick wall, with a pretty much stock reply, penned by DECC, containing the usual rubbish about 97%s, settled science, blah blah.
So perhaps it is time to concentrate efforts on the economics and politics.
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