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German CO2 Emissions Rise In 2015

March 27, 2016

By Paul Homewood  




The greenies don’t seem very happy about Germany at the moment! From Climate Home:


Germany’s carbon dioxide emissions increased by an estimated 10 million tonnes from 2014 to 2015, in a blow to the country’s claims to climate leadership.

Higher demand for heating oil and diesel, plus use of lignite (brown coal) for power generation, were behind the 1.1% bounce, according to Green Budget Germany.

The think tank warned this set Europe’s largest economy off course for its 2020 target of a 40% cut from 1990 levels. Berlin needs to find 18% cuts in the next five years.

It is an inconvenient analysis to surface the week Germany’s foreign office hosts the Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue, an international conference to promote cooperation on clean energy.

The country has gone all out for renewables, with biomass, wind, solar and hydro accounting for nearly a third of power generation last year.

Yet a 2011 decision to phase out nuclear power within a decade, lent impetus by Japan’s Fukushima disaster, has seen dirty coal maintain a significant share of the energy mix.

As a result, progress on emissions has slowed. A decrease in 2011 was followed by increases in 2012 and 2013.

Graph by Clean Energy Wire

Graph by Clean Energy Wire, data from German Environment Agency (UBA) and Green Budget Germany


The government is considering plans to end coal burning by 2040 or 2050. In January, energy minister Sigmar Gabriel called for patience. He told a conference, in remarks quoted by Euractiv: “When one considers the future of coal, I would urge that you do so less from an ideological standpoint and to think more about the economic consequences.”

Those consequences include eliminating the fuel that still supplied 44% of power in 2014 and closing down lignite mines that employ thousands of Germans.

On the other hand, after 195 countries agreed a global warming pact in Paris last December, the industrialised nation is under pressure to chart a low carbon path.


Note that most of the reduction in CO2 was during the 1990s, in large part because of the shut down of obsolete East German heavy industry. There was also a drop of 8% between 2008 and 2009 as the financial crisis bit.

Moreover, it is unlikely to get any better very soon. Despite the closure of some of the older plants, nuclear power is still providing 16% of Germany’s electricity (latest available BP figures for 2014). Merkel has committed to shut down the rest of the nuclear capacity by 2022, and much of this will need to be replaced by fossil fuel.

  1. knutesea permalink
    March 27, 2016 7:00 pm

    One of the benefits of a smaller world is watching the trend cycle make its way thru pilot tests of extremes.

    Germany is ahead of the curve. One of the first cows in the herd to see the cliff. How they are dealing with it becomes such an eye opener to how others will.

    • ClimateOtter permalink
      March 28, 2016 9:23 am

      Said cow will find themselves being increasingly Pushed forward by the stampede behind them.

  2. John F. Hultquist permalink
    March 27, 2016 7:23 pm

    “… I would urge that you do so less from an ideological standpoint and to think more about the economic consequences.”

    … and don’t bother to think about global warming (or cooling), because no difference will it make.

  3. Rasa permalink
    March 27, 2016 9:00 pm

    Just need to wave the Magic Wand to replace the FF 24/7 baseload electricity generation with ahhh ………some other Baseload electricity?
    There. That wasn’t so difficult?

  4. Green Sand permalink
    March 27, 2016 9:22 pm

    Simples! Use VW diesels!

    The very model of post-modern science!

  5. Dorian permalink
    March 27, 2016 10:42 pm

    Germany will close all nuclear reactors by 2022. Yet next door in France, there are 58 nuclear reactors. And the French are planning on building more. And Merkel did physics at university!

    There is absolutely no common-sense in politics. This whole situation with German is so laughable.

    The world is being run by the insane.

  6. March 27, 2016 11:19 pm

    Here’s a graph with the CO2 emissions in 1990:, ordered by states. Also, there are some elements highlighted regarding the impact that the ocean and naval war had on climate change, which seems to be at least as much important as the CO2 emissions…..

  7. March 27, 2016 11:40 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    Green German Lies

  8. March 28, 2016 3:42 am

    Top German skeptic Piers covered it last week

  9. Alberto Zaragoza Comendador permalink
    March 28, 2016 8:33 pm

    What really matters is CO2 intensity of GDP. Growth of 1.1% in emissions vs 1.7% in emissions, is, well, a decline of 0.6%.

    That is absolutely normal and in fact less than the usual decline associated with increased energy efficiency, i.e. before Energiewende; a more normal rate of decarbonization is between 1 and 2% per year, per unit of GDP.

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