Fools And Their Money
By Paul Homewood
Fools and their money! Yahoo reported a couple of weeks ago:
Gamblers hoping to cash in on record temperatures this Easter may be disappointed.
With large parts of the UK enjoying sunshine at the weekend and some places having their warmest day so far this year, bookmaker Coral has seen a flurry of bets for Easter being the warmest since records began and has cut the odds on it being a record-breaking Easter from 3/1 to 2/1.
It is only a fortnight since rival bookmaker Ladbrokes predicted snow somewhere in the UK at Easter, something the Met Office has described as “unlikely”.
Forecaster Marco Petagna said temperatures were currently close to average and he doubted it would be unusually hot or cold for Easter Sunday on March 27.
He said the current warm weather will continue for the next 7-10 days but it could get colder towards the end of the month, with sleet in high places.
Why are people so gullible? Have they been so indoctrinated to believe that global warming is sending temperatures through the roof?
I mean really, odds of 2/1, just because the sun has come out?
The reality is mean temperatures for during March have never veered far from average either way.
Given the fact that Easter changes its date every year, I have absolutely no idea what the record temperature would be. But the hottest March 27th on CET was in 2012, when maximum temperatures peaked at 19.5C.
There has been noticeable trend to higher temperatures in recent decades.
The Met Office won’t update daily temperatures until next month, but yesterday, the BBC showed temperatures between 7C and 10C for central England.
The Met Office also show a highest temperature for the UK of 12.8C in Hull.
Interestingly, the all time record temperature for March was set on 29th March 1968 in Mepal, Cambridgeshire.
Given that many Easters fall in April, I think we can safely assume that yesterday was one of the colder ones!