This professor says devastating climate change will be irreversible unless fossil fuels are abandoned by 2030
By Paul Homewood
h/t Paul R
You’d be excused for thinking it was a piece of Greenpeace propaganda, but this junk comes from Professor Gareth Wyn Jones, joint author of the Land Use and Climate Change Report.
Wales may get cooler and several coastal areas will flood, warned Professor Gareth Wyn Jones.
All fossil fuels should be abandoned by 2030 or devastating climate change will be irreversible, an expert has warned.
Gareth Wyn Jones, Emeritus Professor at Bangor University, said coastal areas of Wales will flood if climate change continues.
The joint author of the Land Use and Climate Change Report said urgent change is vital to stop global warming.
Paradoxically, some areas, including Wales, may temporarily cool as a result of climate change, he said.
He added the changes will be unstoppable as parts of the earth become more arid and a few others, Wales among them, get wetter and colder.
The professor has advised international governments on agriculture in dry areas.
Refugees fleeing famine, drought and strife caused by the greenhouse effect will join those fleeing wars as countries worst affected by global warming become unable to sustain life.
Professor Wyn Jones said the signing of the new UN climate deal on April 22 was a diplomatic triumph but “no guarantee of climate salvation”.
He warned: “The longer we leave it the greater the risk becomes of something serious happening.
“Coastal parts of Wales, the Gwent Levels, Llandudno and coastal towns like Fairbourne in Gwynedd will flood.”
Emeritus Professor Gareth Wyn Jones of Bangor University
He is frustrated at the lack of action from governments and individuals although some countries are taking the threat seriously.
He said: “The Dutch are discussing legislation that cars purchased after 2025 will have to be electric.
“You won’t be allowed to buy a petrol-fuelled car. I would like the Welsh and British governments to do something similar.
“We need to improve public transport and be stronger on sharing cars and using electric or fuel cell cars.”
The professor also called on the Welsh Government to beef up planning laws, saying energy could be saved by:
- Requiring all new buildings to have face south-facing roofs to allow solar panels;
- Insulating all new buildings to much higher levels;
- Discouraging petrol and diesel cars in favour of electric or fuel cell ones;
- Electrifying the railways;
- Building more local small hydro and wind plants to produce power;
- Encouraging communal wind farm, biomass fuel and hydro power schemes.
He said individuals can help by:
- Not taking long-haul flights and taking holidays more locally;
- Never heating unused rooms and not turning central heating to more than about 18°C;
- Switching off lights and equipment when not in use;
- Using energy efficient LED light bulbs;
- Driving energy-efficient cars and walking, cycling and taking public transport more;
- Installing solar panels;
- Insulating homes and workplaces
Professor Wyn Jones, who has worked in parts of Syria now under ISIS control and areas of Nigeria controlled by Boko Haram, said social and political unrest was sparked by increasingly dry, hot conditions causing crop failure and drought. With many of these areas now unstable, nuclear power is not the answer, he added.
He said people in Wales need to take the threat seriously or face a changed world with people on the move, flooding and unstable climates.
He said: “It is difficult to get the message about climate change across to people because it is a risk for the future. We are hard wired to make the best of where we are so thinking what the world might be like in 25 years is difficult.
“The political cycle of four to five years doesn’t help because long term action is needed for long term climate health. But the really good news is that we have the technologies to make the changes and we could enjoy better health and stronger communities as a result. Its not a trade off between jobs and the environment – just look at Denmark.
“The reports are that the Greenland ice sheet is melting rapidly. So while some places will get hotter as sea levels rise, the one place that’s not likely to warm suddenly is Wales.
“We might get cooler because the Gulf Stream, which keeps Wales warmer, may slow and the jet stream become more wavy, bringing down cold arctic air.”
Let’s take a closer look at some of his loopier predictions:
1)“Coastal parts of Wales, the Gwent Levels, Llandudno and coastal towns like Fairbourne in Gwynedd will flood.”
I looked at the case of Fairbourne back in February, where official predictions of 1 meter sea level rise this century have destroyed property prices there.
The reality is that around the coast of Wales, just as with the rest of the UK, sea levels are rising at a rate of about 7 inches/century, and have been for a century or more with no acceleration at all.
Most of Llandudno sits at about 10 meters above sea level, and will likely suffer no more damage than the occasional storm swept high tide which already occurs from time to time.
Monthly Sea Levels at Llandudno
2) The reports are that the Greenland ice sheet is melting rapidly
As we know, this claim is based on a few days of warm weather last month.
Temperatures in Greenland were just as high in the 1930s and 40s as now, and there was no meltdown then.
And they were certain much warmer there in the Medieval, Roman and Minoan Warm Periods, not to mention most of the period since the end of the ice age. The ice did not disappear then, and certainly won’t now.
3) Paradoxically, some areas, including Wales, may temporarily cool as a result of climate change
This claim is based on the thoroughly debunked “Gulf Stream failure” scenario.
In reality, temperature trends in Wales have stabilised in the last two decades, whilst rainfall trends are similar to what they were a century ago.
You would be excused for wondering why the good professor forgot to tell you all of this.
4) Help reduce CO2
His list of all of the things individuals and governments can do to save the planet ignores the fact that the UK’s emissions of CO2 amount to just 1% of global ones.
We could turn the country into N Korea tomorrow, and it would not make an ounce of difference to global warming.
5) Abandon fossil fuels by 2030
I presume he is aware that fossil fuels currently supply 86% of the world’s energy. And that, even with all of the Paris Treaty commitments built in, this is still expected to be 80% by 2035.
I also presume he is aware that China, India and most of the rest of the developing world will, according to their own plans, increase CO2 emissions in the years up to 2030.
Does he know that in Denmark, which he holds up as the renewable paragon, fossil fuels still supply 76% of energy consumption?
And is he aware of the human catastrophe that would follow the sort of sudden abandonment of coal, oil and gas?
Perhaps it is time Prof Wyn Jones got himself a proper job.