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An Early Spring?

May 4, 2016

By Paul Homewood 




How many times have we heard this year about an early spring, flowers blooming early and so on?

Perhaps it is just my imagination, but every time we get a mild or sunny day or two, we get the same old mantra trotted out year after year.

Well let’s see what the Met Office figures actually tell us.




After a mild January, temperatures since have actually been below average across the country.

Taking the four months as a whole, mean temperature of 5.1C is spot on the 1981-2010 average, and lower than many other years in the record. Indeed, there have been 45 other years which have been warmer or as warm.





Meanwhile, my daffs have only just started flowering!

  1. A C Osborn permalink
    May 4, 2016 10:36 am

    They will say whatever they can get away with while conditions “suggest” they could be correct and then they will just change their story when challenged with contradictory data.
    But the seeds have been planted in Sheeples brains.
    I am absolutlely amazed at how many people have literally been “brainwashed” by the continuous bombardment of half truths, exaggerations, propaganda and outright lies.
    It started in schools about 15 years ago and has been unrelenting from there on.

  2. May 4, 2016 10:38 am

    I used to be able to find a link to the current annual growing season data for UK but can no longer find it. Only data I can find now is MO spreadsheet with data up to 2012

  3. Nordisch-geo-climber permalink
    May 4, 2016 10:55 am

    There are two competing parties here:
    1. Those who read about weather.
    2. Those who experience it.

    As a climber and outdoorsman in the UK Lake District of long experience who watches the weather and climatic effects closely, I know the weather is colder than it was 35 years ago from my own climbing experience. 2015 was the coldest summer we had for many years. Spring 2016 has been unduly cold.
    Yet if I read the BBC, Metoffice or popular press I would possibly be told exactly the opposite.

    2015 was one of the coldest summers for 30-40 years and everyone across the area will tell you so. Fact. The intellectually bankrupt can say what they like about interpreting the science but it does not make it the truth.

  4. May 4, 2016 12:21 pm

    I had daffs out the week after New Year but all the naturalised daffs are just finishing I’ve only just put out early broad beans and am leaving climbing French beans a bit longer. The really interesting thing is that there are still plenty of holly berries around so it can’t have been that hard a Winter.

  5. Ex-expat Colin permalink
    May 4, 2016 1:18 pm

    “Ne’er cast a clout till May be out”. And still stands since the 18th century.

    Still getting frosts in the W. Mids so I have cloches laid on and a green house working. Don’t follow the Met Office because it knows little of changes that can be significant. Part of my standing risk avoidance to all government things..and will continue for a very long time. No maybe, might, could, possibly verbiage accepted.

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