UAH Update – May 2016
By Paul Homewood
UAH numbers are now out for May, and show another big drop, down from 0.71C in April to O.55C.
Although they peaked higher than the 1997/98 event, UAH temperature anomalies have dropped below for the last two months, and are now virtually back to January’s numbers.
In 1998, temperatures remained high through to October, but SSTs have plunged in the Equatorial Pacific in the last three months and there is a massive pool of colder water just below the surface.
In simple terms, there is no more warm water left to feed air temperatures, so we are likely to see temperatures continuing to drop for the next few months.
Because of time lags, if La Nina conditions do arrive by late summer/early autumn as most models are predicting, we won’t see the full effect on global temperatures until the end of the year.