A Sizzling Summer?
By Paul Homewood
Readers may recall the battle of the weather forecasters a month ago.
While the Met Office “experts” forecast we could be sizzling in 33C temperatures this summer, amateur weatherman, David King, who uses nature to arrive at his forecasts, came to a much different conclusion:
I cannot agree with the Met Office’s prediction that we will see temperatures as high as 33 degrees this summer,” says 76-year old King, a retired Metropolitan Police constable who ‘reads’ plants, animals and the British countryside to forecast upcoming weather patterns.
“I instead predict that June will be a wet and windy month, and we will only see the hotter weather arrive in the last two weeks of July. And, whilst it might get to 33 degrees then – anything is possible! – I’d say that perhaps 30 would be a better guess.”
One month into the contest, it appears to be Mr King who is romping ahead.
Maximum temperatures for June of 18.8C in England were unremarkable, tieing as 42nd warmest on record since 1910, tied with the likes of 1910 and 1936. The 1981-2010 average for June is 18.6C.
Daily maximum temperatures in Central England briefly reached 24.8C on the 6th, but for most of the month were below average.
Rainfall was also above average, as Mr King predicted, as the Met Office confirm:
At the start of June, Britain’s weather was dry and settled, but often cloudy away from sheltered western areas, with north-easterly winds bringing low cloud in from the North Sea. Showers and thunderstorms increasingly broke out inland after the 5th, although there was further warm sunny weather at times, particularly in the west. From the 10th onwards, the weather was generally unsettled, wet and cloudy with low pressure often in charge. There were also thundery downpours at times, and heavy rain and thunderstorms caused significant disruption in the south-east on the 23rd.
Without wanting to blow my own trumpet, my own forecast at the time on May 28th was remarkably prescient!
Dry, sunny conditions for the next couple of weeks, but because of cold Atlantic waters, temperatures will remain unexceptional. Jet stream forecasts suggest a wet and windy spell mid-June.
Thereafter, I suspect dry, sunny, but relatively cool conditions will dominate. Forget about anything like a record hot summer.
Of course, there are still two months to go, and it would be rare if there was not a week or two of hot weather somewhere down the line. However, there is no sign of any unusually hot weather on its way, according to the Met Office 3-month forecast: