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A Brief Journey into the Dark Art of Rapid Extreme Weather Attribution | Climate Scepticism

August 3, 2016

Jaime Jessop exposes the unscientific nonsense of extreme weather event attribution (with an honourable mention for this serial offender!)

  1. August 3, 2016 10:46 am

    The antidote to such feverish reporting is provided by Mike Hulme in a publication: Attributing Weather Extremes to ‘Climate Change’: a Review.

    He has an insider’s perspective on this issue, and is certainly among the committed on global warming (color him concerned). Yet here he writes objectively to inform us on X-weather, without advocacy: real science journalism and a public service, really.

  2. August 3, 2016 10:48 am

    It’s colour me unvalidated climate models all the way down.

  3. Jackington permalink
    August 3, 2016 1:33 pm

    I don’t know what to make of this; is it sarcasm or just tosh? He dismisses your efforts as the work of an amateur but admits he is not a professional. Why did I bother reading it?

    • wert permalink
      August 3, 2016 3:48 pm

      Well, it has a very good point on probability.

      The fact that an event is attributed to global warming by model runs, or by being not inconsistent with model runs, does not imply the kind of event has become more common lately.

      Thus, the attribution is rather a property of the climate model and has no direct real world implications by itself.

    • August 3, 2016 4:34 pm

      You’re confused Jackington. Please re-read the article – and maybe my profile too. Thanks

  4. John F. Hultquist permalink
    August 3, 2016 9:03 pm

    My Irish grandmother would say, “Jaime sounds very much like your grandfather. He dislikes everybody.”

  5. August 3, 2016 9:14 pm

    Hot Tip via Philip
    – When is a £7m zero carbon eco-school not a “zero carbon eco-school” ?
    When it’s a pile of rubble that is to be rebuilt Telegraph
    built 2010 with leaky roofs from beginning..”vacated in the summer of 2014″
    last I heard council was suing the builders.
    But whatever happens that construction CO has been spent !

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