Despite The Drama, It’s Been Just Another British Summer!
By Paul Homewood
Readers may recall forecasts back in May that we were in for a sizzling summer, along with floods.
The reality has turned out to be much more mundane.
Average daily maximum temperatures rank an unremarkable 27th hottest on record since 1910.
Moreover there is no evidence of the “killer heatwaves”, forecast by the likes of Lord Krebs, becoming more frequent. Indeed, no summers in the last decade have been as hot as years such as 1911, 1933 or 1947.
As for rainfall, this summer was again nothing unusual, ranking 39th wettest. (The succession of very dry summers in the 1970s through 90s can be clearly seen).
Despite the exceptionally wet summer of 2012, there is no sign that our summers are getting wetter, or, for that matter, drier. Year to year variations throughout the record dwarf any statistical trend. In other words, it is weather that dominates, not climate.
The highest daily temperature set on the CET was 31.5C in July. This was the only day over 29C this summer. Temperatures like those recorded in 1976 and 1990 now appear to be a thing of the past.