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Despite The Drama, It’s Been Just Another British Summer!

September 2, 2016

By Paul Homewood 




Readers may recall forecasts back in May that we were in for a sizzling summer, along with floods.

The reality has turned out to be much more mundane. 





Average daily maximum temperatures rank an unremarkable 27th hottest on record since 1910.

Moreover there is no evidence of the “killer heatwaves”, forecast by the likes of Lord Krebs, becoming more frequent. Indeed, no summers in the last decade have been as hot as years such as 1911, 1933 or 1947.


As for rainfall, this summer was again nothing unusual, ranking 39th wettest. (The succession of very dry summers in the 1970s through 90s can be clearly seen).

Despite the exceptionally wet summer of 2012, there is no sign that our summers are getting wetter, or, for that matter, drier. Year to year variations throughout the record dwarf any statistical trend. In other words, it is weather that dominates, not climate. 





The highest daily temperature set on the CET was 31.5C in July. This was the only day over 29C this summer. Temperatures like those recorded in 1976 and 1990 now appear to be a thing of the past.



  1. September 2, 2016 6:36 pm

    This pleasant warm summer was 16.4C in the CET record. 350 years ago today (Sept 2, 1666), the Great Fire of London started. That summer was 16.6C in CET and probably drier than 2016. 1976 made 17.8C in the CET record. From 1659 onwards, there are many examples of pleasant warm summers just like the one we experienced in 2016. If global warming is having an impact on UK climate, it doesn’t appear to be during summertime.

    • September 2, 2016 8:55 pm

      Now coming from a Yank in Northern part of US, I heard just this morning that the month of August was the warmest in history; I didn’t think so and I’m 78 and feel the heat and the cold more readily than younger men.

  2. Broadlands permalink
    September 2, 2016 6:36 pm

    Sounds like the forecast was a lot of hot air?

  3. tom0mason permalink
    September 2, 2016 7:13 pm

    But it is set up to be the planet’s 2nd hottest year ever!
    I’m sure NASA will not let me down.

    • September 2, 2016 7:53 pm

      As long as they ignore the satellite record you should be OK 😐

    • September 2, 2016 8:37 pm

      Ever is an awfully long time.

      • Bloke down the pub permalink
        September 3, 2016 10:35 am

        And Evah is even longer according to NASA.

  4. don penman permalink
    September 3, 2016 6:19 am

    It has been quite a cool Summer as I have measured it with few days much over 20 degrees centigrade and yet we are told that it has been warm by weather experts, they are trying to lead people into thinking that we had a warm summer just because we had a few warm days. What does it matter that you cant make accurate predictions if you can alter peoples perception of what happened. I think that having a cooler Summer could be as reliable an indicator of then having a cooler winter as anything else because we Know that temperatures must fall now.

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