UAH Update – August 2016
By Paul Homewood
It is now looking increasingly likely that satellite temperatures this year will end up in a virtual tie with 1998.
Although temperatures peaked slightly higher early this year, they have now been below 1998 levels since April.
Although the 1998 El Nino event was slightly stronger, the current one has lasted much longer, and has only just returned to neutral conditions in July. This is likely to mean that temperatures will be lower by the end of the year.
Most model predictions indicate a weak La Nina beginning this autumn, but nothing like the strong event which followed 1998.
Since 1998, according to Woodfortrees, satellite temperature trends have only risen by a statistically insignificant 0.003C a year, (data is up to July). This figure will drop further, as temperatures return to more normal levels in coming months.