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Arctic Ice Growing Rapidly

September 15, 2016

By Paul Homewood 




It is now safe to confirm that the minimum Arctic sea ice extent has now been passed this year, with an area of 4.083 million sq km on 7th September.

This is 22% greater than in 2012, despite two major storms in August that led to break up of ice.

The ice has been regrowing remarkably rapidly for the last week, and already stands above the start of the month. Tentatively, we may be seeing one of the fastest September growths on record.




This was also one of the earliest minimums on record, indeed the earliest since 1997. This is a good indication of just how cold it is in the Arctic at the moment.


Already, ice extent is above that of 2007 on the same date, as well as 2012.




  1. Joe Public permalink
    September 15, 2016 5:53 pm

    With two days to go, it’s almost as though mother nature is sticking two fingers up at ….

    • Sara Hall permalink
      September 15, 2016 6:15 pm

      I shall be watching with some interest to see if any section of the Arctic ice grows into such an appropriate outline over the coming weeks…

  2. Mark Hodgson permalink
    September 15, 2016 6:51 pm

    Not that it’s reported that way on the BBC website (posted one hour ago): “Second lowest minimum for Arctic ice”

    I wonder if they’ll catch up?

  3. 1saveenergy permalink
    September 15, 2016 6:51 pm

    The ship of fools got out just in time, they’d done their home work.

    • September 15, 2016 7:04 pm

      No. They got very lucky, and knew they were in potential trouble weeks ago. The Laptev sea ice delay nearly did them in.

    • Nigel S permalink
      September 15, 2016 8:09 pm

      Luck and Rudolf Diesel.

      • September 15, 2016 10:44 pm

        Plus 2000 liters of fuel, resupplied 3 times during the voyage. Murmansk, Barrow, Tuk. Probably Nuuk will make 4 times. 86 HP Perkins, making per the Northabout Irish site 7 knots at 1800 rpm. 1800 is a quite standard 80% max efficiency ‘cruise’ rpm. Was exactly the same with my 27hp Yanmar on my Hunter 35.5 sloop. Of course, we only carried about 40 liters.

      • September 16, 2016 8:35 pm

        They should have relied on renewables and not increased their carbon “footprint” – hypocrites !

      • AndyG55 permalink
        September 22, 2016 8:13 pm

        And of course daily access to satellite sea ice charts didn’t hurt.

        At the time they came through the NW Passage, every other route was blocked.

        The main channel through McClure Strait. was blocked by multi-year sea ice

        Larsen’s 1944 route was totally impassable

        Amudsen’s 1903 route was solidly blocked

        Even the southern route through Fury/Hecla was blocked.

        Somehow they just managed to choose, well in advance, the one single route that allowed then through.

  4. September 15, 2016 6:54 pm

    The southern NWP route is now closed at the NE exit, with northern Prince Regent Sound blocked by 9/10 ice in freeze up mode. Exactly where they barely made it through after hours of probing on 9/12. Northabout made it through NWP with just two days to spare. Had they taken the planned 2 days resupplying in Barrow rather than 1, and the planned one day call at Cambridge Bay (meeting up with Polar Bound), they would not have made it out and would have had to turn around and overwinter at Cambridge Bay. It was that close.

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 22, 2016 8:17 pm

      Because of the availability of satellite sea ice charts, they knew they were in trouble and had to go as fast as possible to get through.

      They had a 92HP Perkins and two 15HP outboard motors.. I suspect they had all going flat chat.

      They certainly were not sailing.

      All they succeeded in proving was that satellite sea ice charts are a massive help..

      and that there is still one heck of a lot of sea ice up in the Arctic.

  5. September 15, 2016 7:34 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    “This was also one of the earliest minimums on record, indeed the earliest since 1997. This is a good indication of just how cold it is in the Arctic at the moment.”

    Weren’t we assured, under one of the principal tenets of CO2-induced global warming theory, that “polar amplification” would be the most obvious fingerprint of increased CO2 emissions? 🤔

    Record cold and expanding ice down at the other pole, Antarctica, needs a theory check too perhaps!

  6. Nigel S permalink
    September 15, 2016 8:11 pm

    A timely reminder to get some new snow chains, thanks!

  7. September 15, 2016 9:24 pm

    I wonder what Professor Wadhams has to say?

    • Ian Campbell permalink
      September 16, 2016 1:09 pm

      “cough, splutter,,,” would about do it!

    • AndyG55 permalink
      September 16, 2016 9:05 pm

      Speaking of Wadhams.

      I have coined a new measure of Arctic sea ice area..

      1 Wadham = 1 million km²

      Please try to use this new unit as appropriate.

  8. September 15, 2016 9:25 pm

    Yes, it will be interesting to see how the rest of Sept. plays out with such an early minimum. Remember that climatologists look at the average for the month. MASIE results are similar, though the smallest extent was 4.1M on Sept. 10 (a 1 day dip). I think at least in MASIE dataset, 2016 may catch up to 2015, as well as beating 2007 by a lot.

  9. September 15, 2016 9:56 pm

    Professor Madwash here: just a minor setback, I’m sure.

  10. September 20, 2016 11:14 pm

    The Mini-Ice age approaches, and the world will be stunned when they realize how much they have been lied to.

  11. September 21, 2016 10:27 pm

    after a slight global warming there is a flash freeze for years after.. this is proven by geologist research of the areas.. this is the normal pattern of weather.. period


  1. Arctic Ice Rebounding Rapidly | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
  2. The BBC On Thick Ice Again… | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)
  3. Ship of Fools Expedition Escapes Arctic Freeze by Skin of its Teeth - Principia Scientific International

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