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Your Time Is Up “Professor” Wadhams

September 17, 2016

By Paul Homewood 

 

image

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/sep/17/arctic-collapse-sea-ice

 

Time’s up, so-called Professor Wadhams.

It is now exactly four years ago that you forecast the demise of Arctic sea ice this summer:

 

One of the world’s leading ice experts has predicted the final collapse of Arctic sea ice in summer months within four years.

In what he calls a "global disaster" now unfolding in northern latitudes as the sea area that freezes and melts each year shrinks to its lowest extent ever recorded, Prof Peter Wadhams of Cambridge University calls for "urgent" consideration of new ideas to reduce global temperatures.

In an email to the Guardian he says: "Climate change is no longer something we can aim to do something about in a few decades’ time, and that we must not only urgently reduce CO2 emissions but must urgently examine other ways of slowing global warming, such as the various geoengineering ideas that have been put forward."

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/sep/17/arctic-collapse-sea-ice

 

So, what does the Arctic actually look like now?

 

CICE_combine_thick_SM_EN_20160916

http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icethickness/thk.uk.php

 

Of course, this was not the first time you made a fool of yourself, was it? At various times in the last few years, you have issued many predictions of ice free Arctics by 2013, and then 2015.

Even as recently as June this year, you were still forecasting:

“The Arctic is on track to be free of sea ice this year or next for the first time in more than 100,000 years”

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/arctic-could-become-ice-free-for-first-time-in-more-than-100000-years-claims-leading-scientist-a7065781.html

 

Be honest. You are not actually very good at your job, are you?

31 Comments leave one →
  1. September 17, 2016 5:47 pm

    Sent this email to serial failure Wadhams on Friday

    Dear Professor Wadhams.

    Another of your annual predictions fails. Miserably.

    What was it you said- 1 million km2?
    Well it looks like it has bottomed out at 4 million km2. You are only out
    by a factor of 4.

    ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/NH_seaice_extent_nrt_v2.csv

    I’m still on for a £1,000 bet next year on sea-ice not going below 1 million
    km2. Hey, what the heck- let’s make it £2000.

    In other words “put up or shut up”.

    Regards and best,

    Dr D Keiller.

  2. ralfellis permalink
    September 17, 2016 6:17 pm

    Quote: “The Arctic is on track to be free of sea ice this year or next for the first time in more than 100,000 years”

    Except, of course, the Arctic would have been free of ice in the summer all through the warm Holocene maximum, just 8,000 or so years ago. So all Wadhams is proving here, is that he is an fresher masquerading as an academic. But in my experience, this is standard fare for our modern neo-academia. Having gone through the peer review process, for my recent scince paper on ice ages, I was shocked by the general ignorance of some in the profession.

    One professor (of biology?) said that because the concentration of CO2 (and presumably O2) did not change with altitude, plants (and animals) could not become progressively asphixiated with altitude. Yes, a professor who did not understand the difference between a concentration and a partial pressure. I did invite said professor to go to the top of Mt Everest, to see if this was true or not. While another professor of physics said that the axis of the Earth was seperate from the geographic north pole, and the axis circumnavigated the north pole during the precession of the equinox.

    Wadhams is diplaying the same symptoms – a professor who has bluffed his way up the greasy pole of academia presumably through displaying the correct lefty politics, rather than understanding much in the way of real science.

    R

    • Billy Liar permalink
      September 17, 2016 6:49 pm

      Dr Brian Cox, TV evangelist for the climate movement, and so-called physicist told a child on a radio phone-in that the phases of the moon are caused by earths shadow on its face:

      http://motls.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/brian-cox-and-lunar-phases.html?m=1

    • Toss permalink
      September 18, 2016 2:54 am

      Thank you for your honesty. I wish more scientists were as honest. I believe we’re heading for a cool down globally from the literature I’ve read from solar research and the natural ocean oscillations. If correct science will take a blow because of scientists like wadham

  3. RAH permalink
    September 17, 2016 6:32 pm

    I look at Wadhams as proof that things in academia are just as bad in the old country as they are in the new.
    http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/user/pw11/

  4. September 17, 2016 7:35 pm

    “It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
    http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/21810-it-is-difficult-to-get-a-man-to-understand-something

  5. September 17, 2016 7:36 pm

    If in my job in the real world I had been as incompetent as Wadhams I would very quickly have been handed my P45. What is at about academia (or the civil service) that allows incompetence to flourish and even reach the top of the tree?

    • September 17, 2016 8:49 pm

      Tenure or equivalent. Just like in youth sports there are no longer winner trophies, only participant trophies.

  6. AndyG55 permalink
    September 17, 2016 8:48 pm

    ” for the first time in more than 100,000 years””

    Wadhams seems to be also very ignorant about the first 3/4 of the Holocene.

    Biodata and other proxies indicate that was actually ice free in summer for large periods of time.
    (not this fake zero of 1 million km²)

  7. September 17, 2016 8:54 pm

    The Amazon page of his book : A Farewell to Ice: A Report from the Arctic – 1 Sep 2016..has a preview of a line in the book
    “by the time this book is published, the Arctic may be free of ice for the first time in 10,000 years.” (it was mentioned in the R4 Today interview)
    Does he waistcoat, and run around checking his pocket watch muttering “Oh dear! Oh dear! We shall be too late!”?

    Anyway here’s the book blurb

    Most of the scientific establishment predict that the North Pole will be free of ice around the middle of this century. As Peter Wadhams, the world’s leading expert on sea ice, demonstrates in this book, even this assessment of the future is optimistic.

    Wadhams has visited the Polar Regions more often than any other living scientist – 50 times since he was on the first ship to circumnavigate the Americas in 1970 – and has a uniquely authoritative perspective on the changes they have undergone and where those changes will lead. From his observations and the latest scientific research, he describes how dramatically sea ice has diminished over the past three decades, to the point at which, by the time this book is published, the Arctic may be free of ice for the first time in 10,000 years.

    Wadhams shows how sea ice is the ‘canary in the mine’ of planetary climate change. He describes how it forms and the vital role it plays in reflecting solar heat back into space and providing an ‘air conditioning’ system for the planet. He shows how a series of rapid feedbacks in the Arctic region are accelerating change there more rapidly than almost all scientists – and political authorities – have previously realised, and the dangers of further acceleration are very real. (yeah right)

    A Farewell to Ice is a report from the frontline of planetary change in the Arctic and Antarctic by a leading authority, presenting incontrovertible scientific data, but always in clear language which the layman can easily understand. It is one of the most important books published in recent years about the existential challenge which human civilization now faces.

    So far the book only has 11 reviews all from his fan club of CAGW True Believers

    It calls out BBC ‘balanced reporting’ on climate change for what it is – pandering to climate change flat earthers in the pay of some parts of the US oil industry

    There is ONE real world and then there are the fantasy lands of the dooms day cults.

  8. September 17, 2016 9:05 pm

    ‘Currently the ice area is well over 4 Wadhams (1 million sq kilometers) thick. (One reader suggested using “Wadhams” as a unit for sea ice area in order to honor Peter Wadhams’s spectacularly failed prediction of an ice free Arctic by now.)’ – From Notrickszone today.

    • John Palmer permalink
      September 17, 2016 10:22 pm

      What a splendid idea!
      Artic sea ice thickness (or otherwise) really should be expressed in ‘Wadhams’ – and referenced to the great man’s repeated failures.

  9. tom0mason permalink
    September 17, 2016 10:17 pm

    Wadham, poor dear, more to be pitied than blamed, caught as he is in a delusional echo-chamber of his private virtual world.
    “Nurse! The restraints please… “

  10. September 18, 2016 12:02 am

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

  11. Jimmy Haigh permalink
    September 18, 2016 12:22 am

    One of the commenters on Steve Goddard’s site suggested using the “Wadhams” as a unit of areal measurement equal to 1 million square miles. Which I thought was nice.

    • Jimmy Haigh permalink
      September 18, 2016 12:24 am

      Sorry – one million square kilometres. And other commenters here posted on it first. But it is a splendid idea!

    • The Old Man permalink
      September 20, 2016 12:11 am

      I’ll do my part to get the Wadham out into the general lexicon.. very good!

      https://notonmywatch.com/?p=807

      -the old man.

  12. NeilC permalink
    September 18, 2016 6:13 am

    The problem is, no matter how wrong Wadham’s predictions are, the green/liberal/left politicians will still listen to an academic from oxbridge. Sad!

  13. September 18, 2016 8:07 am

    Reblogged this on Wolsten.

  14. Gerry, England permalink
    September 18, 2016 10:06 am

    I think the rest of the warmist gang have abandoned Wadhams as even they realise he is talking drivel and damaging their cause. He even went as far as to claim that big oil funded hitmen were killing warmist ‘scientists’ after 3 deaths a few years ago. One happened just where I worked when a cyclist was tangled with a tipper truck and lost.

  15. September 18, 2016 10:25 am

    I wonder if IPCC will adopt the Wadhams:

    http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/press-releases/ipcc-wg1-ar5-authors.pdf

    Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis Coordinating Lead Authors, Lead Authors and Review Editors
    Chapter 1: Introduction:

    Review Editors: Yihui DING CHINA, Linda MEARNS USA, Peter WADHAMS UNITED KINGDOM

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/earthcomment/3305457/Berks-at-NERC-snub-Peter-Wadhams-again.html

    “Berks at NERC snub Peter Wadhams, again”

    Fred Pearce on the apparent snubbing of Britain’s top oceanographer by the Government’s Natural Environment Research Council

  16. September 18, 2016 11:25 am

    Wadham’s ice decline stopped a decade ago.

    Having passed day 260, the average date for annual Arctic ice minimum, the outlook is more ice than 2007, and close to 2008 or 2011.

    https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2016/09/17/arctic-plateau-continues/

  17. September 18, 2016 1:38 pm

    Reblogged this on Patti Kellar.

  18. September 18, 2016 9:05 pm

    It appears to me that the Don Keiller and Ron Clutz comments above are the nails in the coffin of this professor’s credibility. It is frightening that he seems to be regarded as a leading expert when his knowledge is so clearly wanting.

  19. September 19, 2016 2:31 pm

    “One of the world’s leading ice experts”!! Er, hardly! World leading Nincompoop more like.

  20. September 20, 2016 6:07 am

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    Another failed climate prediction from a failed climate ‘expert’.

    Time to make climate charlatan’s like Wadham’s responsible for the blatant alarmism they spread. Falsehoods and fear-mongering that is gobbled up by alarmist mainstream media – BBC, ABC, CNN, Guardian et al and swallowed wholesale by a gullible public.

  21. September 24, 2016 2:48 pm

    Maybe someone can explain why the Midwest, USA is getting pounded with so many monsoon like rains?

    This past week, parts of northern Iowa got 10″ of rain in one afternoon. Here in Missouri, we’ve been getting pounded with heavy rains in the 4-9″ variety several times a year, an event that was unheard of 40 years ago.

    At the same time, California is in the sixth year of drought while the Midwest is getting swamped.

    Something has changed and we need to find out what it is, like cutting way back on the clear-cutting of hundreds of thousands of Amazon, Gabon and NW USA rain forests that is releasing an absurd amount of moisture back into the atmosphere.

Trackbacks

  1. Your Time Is Up “Professor” Wadhams |  SHOAH
  2. Climate Exaggeration Is Ruining Science | The Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF)

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