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Exceptional Warmth? Not In Central England!

September 27, 2016

By Paul Homewood




There is one more thing to add to the story about the “heatwave” earlier this month, when supposedly we had the highest September temperatures since 1911.

As we know, this claim hinged on two stations at Gravesend and Faversham, which are known to be hot spots and which have data only going back to 1995, along with Heathrow, Northolt and Kew. 

In the rest of the country, nothing exceptional seems to have happened.

While it may be true that a little corner of South East England, which always tends to be the hottest part of the country, had high temperatures, by far the best representation of temperatures in England is given by the Central England Temperature series, which covers a vast swathe of middle England. It is representative of a triangular central area of the United Kingdom enclosed by Bristol, Manchester and London.


The highest CET this month was 25.0C on the 14th, well below the 34.4C set at Gravesend. 

It turns out that such temperatures are far from uncommon in Central England.




Since 1878, there have been 64 days as hot or hotter, about one every two years.

As with the rest of the country, those September days in 1906, and again in 1911, were incomparably warmer than this year. Indeed, the weather on the 14th of this month was so unremarkable that it was not even as warm as September 4th 2013.


Not that you will hear any of this from the Met Office or BBC!

  1. Oliver K. Manuel permalink
    September 27, 2016 7:33 pm

    Thank you, Paul, for this post. Society now faces a major decision. Shall we:

    1. Accept reality, as revealed by the precise measurements and observations on mass (m) and energy (E) by Albert Einstein in 1905 and Francis William Aston in 1922, or

    2. Be enslaved by Carl von Weizsacker’s (1935) and Hans Bethe’s (1936) false model of nuclear binding energy that hid neutron repulsion, the source of energy that powers the Sun and the cosmos?

    There is no third option. Reality vs. Enslavement is the issue in the AGW debate.

  2. songhees permalink
    September 27, 2016 7:37 pm

    I would like to tell you of my latest book, “Human Caused Global Warming”.
    The Biggest Deception in History.
    Available on ‘’ and ‘Indigo/Chapters’.
    Trial date for Dr Michael Mann vs Dr Tim Ball, February 20th, 2017.

  3. tom0mason permalink
    September 28, 2016 4:47 am

    Look just because it wasn’t that warm doesn’t mean others will not endlessly bather-on about human caused climate change, and how extreme the weather has become, with all this strange unprecedented periods of extended calm weather.

    They’re all indicators for the Gruadian, the BooBBC, and the re-precedented Met. Office, etc.

    So watch out, the headlines will come to hit you like hockey stick around the ears!
    Yes, they’ll be a quick extended periods of calmly gale-force dry, hot, deluge droughts following in deep drifts of boiling snow storms — and they’ll be off again conflating transitory local weather effect as the global climate signals indicating man’s climate finger print left by your carbon footprint.

    Ooops I think I’m over coffeenated again.

  4. September 28, 2016 12:16 pm

    mebbe a post on this seeming bust between production and consumption?

    After seeing the “premium” renewable , community focused fluffy marketing spiel from M&S Energy yesterday I think there might be some advertising plagiarism doing the rounds in the “Nice Energy” market.

    Something Amazing !! 100% Renewable Energy and Green Gas.

    Amazing indeed … 100% eh? – really ? – does that mean that the virtue signalling consumers are already enduring power cuts on windless cloudy days? Good Energy are keen to deploy smart metering – only fair that their victims customers get to try out the features innit?

    I really do live in hope on this one. Given the renewable tariffs doing the rounds – I reckon it must be quite a safe bet that there isn’t enough “product”

    • Gerry, England permalink
      September 28, 2016 12:44 pm

      I received an email about Good Energy so for a laugh I had a look. I know my annual consumption so put the figures in and up came a quotation. I looked at the how we did this to find the unit cost and standing charge. Putting these figures into my spreadsheet up came annual costs that were both £40 more than their quotation! Did I opt for tree hugging energy? Er no..even with the £50 Waterstones voucher for joining, it was nearly £400 more than I currently pay.

      I suppose some dim people actually think that what they supply is not renewable and green as it comes from the same grid as everything else. They can only buy energy from those type of suppliers but can’t deliver it to you.

      • September 28, 2016 2:52 pm

        I suspect the renewable ‘rithmetic is broke at quite a basic level.

        I really, really would like to see Good Energy’s smart metered customers switched off if a renewable source was not available.

        I wonder if their provisioning enables them to guarantee a pious energy supply or have the marketeers got ahead of themselves – it would be the sort of schadenfreude that I find quite delicious.

      • September 28, 2016 2:54 pm

        It’s OT I know… but if somebody has a handle on those numbers…..

  5. September 28, 2016 12:23 pm

    Maybe if all the true-believing climate brigade bought “Green energy”, (and at the true premium), the rest of us would have lower bills and they could feel even more sanctimonious.

  6. Bloke down the pub permalink
    September 28, 2016 12:55 pm

    An article about English vineyards in Sunday’s Telegraph, by Ashley Armstrong, claimed that UK average temps have risen by one degree in the last hundred years. Does this tally with your figures?

    • NeilC permalink
      September 28, 2016 2:17 pm

      Bloke down the pub; the last hundred years CET 1916 (9.18 Deg C) 2015 (10.31 Deg C) so technically yes.

      However, from 1868 (147 years ago) (10.38 Deg C) 2015 (10.31 Deg C) the temperature has fallen 0.07 Deg C. It’s all about cherry picking.

      • Bloke down the pub permalink
        September 28, 2016 5:25 pm

        Cheers for that. I’d assumed that the CET had been rising from the LIA.

    • September 28, 2016 4:11 pm

      Not far off

  7. Malcolm permalink
    September 30, 2016 8:35 am

    Here in the Cheshire Gap it has been a less than remarkable year. There have been few nights during the simmer when you could sit out and towards the end of August beginning of September I had to resort to central heating. It goes without saying that I have just had that central heating serviced, not a precaution a necessity. Meanwhile, in the garden, record fruit crops (medlars are the last thing to be harvested) brilliant. Thank you Paul for being to stout in your resolve.

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