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NSIDC Confirm 10 Year Pause In Arctic Summer Ice Extent

October 7, 2016


There has been a lot of misinformation about the imminent disappearance of summer Arctic ice.


Only a couple of weeks ago, the Met Office were crowing about “declining Arctic sea ice”.



In reality, as NSIDC confirm, average Arctic sea ice extent in September has continued the flatlining of the last decade.


This of course is far too short a period to be of any significance, any more than the period of 1979 – 2007. Will the pause in Arctic continue? Will the “death spiral” recommence? Or will we see a cyclical increase in Arctic ice, just as we did when the AMO turned cold in the 1960s?


Who knows. What we do know is that alarmist claims of imminent Arctic ice collapse are without substance.

  1. October 7, 2016 10:11 pm

    Telegraph: Experts said Arctic sea ice would melt entirely by September 2016 – they were wrong

    Complete with a pic of what looks like a fire-breathing polar bear – I kid you not.

  2. October 7, 2016 10:35 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    The holy grail of global warming alarmism – the Arctic – in a decadal pause, following the multi-decadal global temperature pause! Ouch.

  3. tom0mason permalink
    October 8, 2016 5:07 am

    From the graphic it seems that the current low is part of an 80-90 year cycle. Maybe it’s the influence of the Gleissberg 88-year solar cycle?
    I know, it would be crazy to think that the sun controls this planets weather so maybe the CO2 levels affect the sun? 😆

  4. October 8, 2016 6:54 am

    ‘Experts said Arctic sea ice would melt entirely by September 2016 – they were wrong’
    However, the article is still full of lots of alamists giving their consensus view (including Bob ‘fast fingers’ Ward).
    “there was now ‘overwhelming consensus’ that the Arctic would be free of ice in the next few decades”.
    We all know about scientific consensus.

    • Harry Passfield permalink
      October 8, 2016 9:51 am

      Quite right, Philip. Nature abhors a vacuum – and vox pop.

      • Harry Passfield permalink
        October 8, 2016 9:51 am

        Sorry: ‘Phillip’.

  5. October 8, 2016 8:09 am

    Meanwhile alarmists studiously ignore the long-term increase in Antarctic sea ice.

    Is there an inverse relationship between Arctic and Antarctic sea ice?

    • October 9, 2016 10:58 pm

      A couple of friends went to Tamsin’s Antarctic ice collapse lecture. Before they went I explained “they’ll probably do this trick : Bang on about Arctic Ice loss, skim over Antarctic overall ice game .and rush onto one part of the west Antarctic ice-shelf where there is glacier loss, for some unknown reason like underwater volcano”
      … One friend told me that is exactly what happened. The other friend was so annoyed at having his green dream busted..that he won’t speak to me anymore.

  6. October 8, 2016 8:39 am

    If the 60year cycle really exists (as the evidence strongly suggests), then around 2010, was the peak of the warming. So 2040 will be another peak cooling. It is just possible that CO2 warming might be significant enough to substantially reduce that cooling – but it’s almost certain that the degree of warming alarmism will steadily drop over the next few years as we move from a 30 year period of natural warming, to a thirty year period of natural cooling.

    However …. always ready and will to use any trend to create alarm and line their own pockets … look forward to Hanson et al. “we’re all heading toward global cooling” alarmism resurfacing in the next decade.

    Indeed, the irony is that we are heading toward cooling (sometime in the next 2000 yrs) and it will significantly impact our civilisation – but then climate has always significantly impacted us.

  7. Gerry, England permalink
    October 8, 2016 12:25 pm

    Excellent post on WUWT regarding the Arctic ice cycle and saying that it changed in 2007. It is now on the way back up as part of a 60 year cycle – as I have always heard from the pre-eminent scientists – so with the satellite data we have been looking at the down cycle. This will be another blow to the scam. In contrast it will be interesting to see if the Antarctic starts to decline as they seem to be asynchronous.

  8. October 9, 2016 1:47 am

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

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