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Vinther’s SW Greenland Temperature Series

October 18, 2016

By Paul Homewood 


In 2006, Vinther et al published a paper, “Extending Greenland temperature records into the late 18thC”. Below is the Abstract:




Since, they have updated the study, to include temperatures up to 2013. The temperature trends now look like this:





As we are well aware, 2010 was an anomalously warm year, but other than that no year this century has been warmer than 1929, 1941 and 1947.


We also know that the last two years in Nuuk have continued the downward trend.





It is clear that temperatures in SW Greenland saw a dramatic shift upwards during the late 19thC, culminating in the 1940s. But since then there is no evidence at all of the climate becoming warmer, simply a cyclical pattern of cooling/warming.  

This, of course, is not what GHG theory predicts.

  1. Bloke down the pub permalink
    October 18, 2016 11:45 am

    So much for Arctic amplification.

  2. October 18, 2016 11:49 am

    Not to keep harping on this, but I will……the only place you find “greenhouse gases” is within the confines of a greenhouse. They are properly referred to as “atmospheric gases” and are perfectly normal. The term “greenhouse gases” was thought up by the climate myth makers to make them seem unnatural and baaaaddddd.

  3. Adrian permalink
    October 18, 2016 2:27 pm

    Oh Paul Paul Paul.

    How wrong you are, ‘…not what GHG theory predicts’.

    It will be EXACTLY what GHG predicts, once we have found out how. GHG theory predicts everything, or nothing, or warming, or cooling, or drought, or floods, depending on stuff.

  4. tom0mason permalink
    October 19, 2016 6:34 am

    But Paul I’m struggling to find your linear regression plot of the averaged last 20 years of adjusted temperatures showing (proving?) the huge warming in Greenland recently.

    Surely only the last 20 years matter in ‘climate science™’.

  5. NeilC permalink
    October 19, 2016 10:39 am

    “As we are well aware, 2010 was an anomalously warm year, but other than that no year this century has been warmer than 1929, 1941 and 1947.”

    Paul, I don’t understand the 2010 temperatures.Was is just Greenland? Was it Northern Hemisphere, if so it isn’t reflected in UK temperature record. It doesn’t appear to be an El Nino effect. Do we have an answer to the “anomalously”?


    • October 19, 2016 11:02 am

      It appears to have been largely limited to Greenland, and only the west side as well.
      Tasilaq on the east was not unusually warm.

      Interestingly, the biggest anomalies were in winter, and to a lesser extent the following autumn.

      It is all likely due to weather blocking. Remember the bitter winter we had from Dec 2009 to Feb 2010

    • AndyG55 permalink
      October 19, 2016 11:54 am

      2010 event shows up in UAH and RSS, in the NH following a deep dip in 2008.

      Slight spike in Australia and NoPol and in slightly in UAH tropics and southern Hemisphere data.

      Not in the USA data or SoPol. though. Actually a big negative spike in UAH USA48.. interesting.

      Seems to be an ocean event of some type.

      I would have to spend some time drawing other regional graphs to say more.

      • catweazle666 permalink
        October 19, 2016 9:28 pm

        Perhaps influenced by the lack of homogeneity of weather stations with respect the different hemispheres and landmasees, and the prevalence of techniques such as “Kriging” AKA “Making Stuff Up” so beloved by the SS “scientists” such as Marcott, Cook the Cartoonist and Nuttyjelly.

        I have always been impressed at the way the maximum warming appears to take place in the areas with the minimum of thermometers.

  6. NeilC permalink
    October 19, 2016 12:08 pm

    I did think it was probably a blocking high west of the UK dragging cold N-NE’ly over west Europe and feeding very warm subtropical S’ly air up to the west of Greenland.

  7. October 20, 2016 12:25 am

    Sunshine. Cloud cover. We say 2% less cĺoud cover equals the RF of CO2. We need a graph of delta sunshine vs delta max temperatures.

    Also: we note winter and night temperatures are what warm the average global temperature value. We need a graph of delta sunshine vs delta winter max daytime and another of delta sunshine vs delta max temperature night.

    If cloud cover is important, we need to ferret the connection out. I don’t know why this aspect of the sun’s influence on our climate has been so poorly reviewed. The moonshine records are intriguing but not conclusive.

    All the photovoltaics – solar panels – should have very hard data on ground receiving solar radiation to be easily tied to local temperature data. If the local data shows a strong correlation, then the possibility of a global connection is hardly difficult.

    Dunno. Seems obvious.

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