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Indonesia Doubles Coal Use, Ratifies “Climate” Treaty

October 19, 2016

By Paul Homewood 







Tony Heller noted this juxtaposition of news from Indonesia this month.

So perhaps it is time to recall just what it was that Indonesia agreed to in the Paris Agreement.

My full analysis of Indonesia’s INDC, which the Carbon Tracker website rated as “Inadequate” from last November is here. But the gist of it is this:




The BAU case projects emissions of 2881 GtCO2e by 2030:




Therefore, a cut of 29% leaves a target of 2046 GtCO2e, still well above 2005 emissions of 1800 GtCO2e.


But this is not the whole story.

As the above makes clear, land use change accounts for 63% of all emissions, totally dwarfing the burning of fossil fuels. This figure reflects the enormous amount of forest that has been cut down, often to make room for palm oil and pulp wood plantations. On top of that, annual dry-season fires that are illegally started to clear land for plantations also release vast amounts of greenhouse gases, particularly when they burn peatlands that store large amounts of carbon.

At best, Indonesia’s INDC implies that such forest clearances will be racked back, and there is certainly no commitment to restore tropical forest lost. There is absolutely no commitment at all to reduce emissions from the burning of fossil fuels.

But even this appears to be an optimistic and naive assumption, as Carbon Tracker report:


Major issues with deforestation data and emissions

While the Indonesian Government’s data shows relatively stable deforestation emissions for the last decade, independent scientific sources indicate a strong increase in deforestation over the same time period. This has happened despite the fact that Indonesia has, temporarily, (2010–2016), prohibited the clearing of primary forest and the conversion of peat lands.

While the Government BAU projections for the future show emissions from deforestation as constant – or slightly decreasing over time – this does not appear to reflect the reality on the ground at present, which points towards increasing deforestation. We find that extrapolating the trend of forest cover loss from one recent study which shows a 20% increase in deforestation annually between 2001 and 2012, results in projected emission levels of above 1.7 GtCO2/year from LULUCF by 2030, roughly twice as high as all emissions in the sector under the Indonesian Government’s BAU.  A draft version of Indonesia’s INDC indicated plans to protect 12.7 million hectares of forest areas by designating it to social forestry, ecosystem restoration, conservation and sustainable use (Government of Indonesia 2015). The final INDC no longer mentions these plans.



So Indonesia’s INDC is based upon worthless promises to reduce deforestation, while the consumption of coal, oil and gas is allowed to climb rapidly.

Little wonder then that coal consumption there has doubled since 2010, and tripled since 2005.



  1. markl permalink
    October 19, 2016 6:27 pm

    Makes no difference. All the world will see from the MSM is India has ratified the treaty. Propaganda and nothing more.

  2. October 19, 2016 6:41 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    Meanwhile, the politically correct, climate-obsessed, eco-brainwashed West continues to destroy their economies, pursuing useless “unreliable” energy – wind and solar – that do not reduce global emissions, at all.

    Such energy fantasies simply increase the cost of doing business, making industry uncompetitive, shifting jobs and ’emissions’ offshore to third-world countries where environmental regulations and working conditions are substandard, leading to real environmental and social issues, like forest destruction, air particulate pollution and sweat shops.

    Draconian Climate policy, formulated by unelected global elites at Paris-like gabfests, really are “killing the planet to save it.”

  3. October 19, 2016 6:43 pm

    Indonesia is getting a free ride as is India, China and the rest of the “developing world”. No doubt they are hoping (expecting!) a share of the $100 billion a year that the developed nations are supposed to be coughing up – though it’s looking as though the collection plate is rather under target. With Hillary expected to be in the White House I see no quick end to this. Who in the West will stand up against this?

  4. October 19, 2016 7:16 pm


  5. Green Sand permalink
    October 19, 2016 9:08 pm

    Why National Grid chiefs promote indigenous intermittent generation:-

    ‘World’s longest subsea power link to generate at least £1.3bn income for National Grid’

    • BLACK PEARL permalink
      October 19, 2016 9:45 pm

      How much power is lost in such a long interconnect

      • Green Sand permalink
        October 19, 2016 10:12 pm

        Don’t know, but it wont concern NG. The legal induced commitment to ensure intermittent supply a preference ensured NG access to a guaranteed revenue empire. Rode the government policy cash cow, guaranteed investment to produce a no risk long term guaranteed revenue.

        Guess who is the underwriter?

        NG know the present infrastructure could supply the UK with a secure, cost effective, electricity supply. But the intermittent ensure NG’s empire will grow.

  6. bushwalker permalink
    October 19, 2016 9:51 pm

    Indonesia is a big coal exporter. I doubt such a large increase could come from consumption alone. Perhaps the figures refer to coal “production”.

  7. dangeroosdave permalink
    October 19, 2016 11:04 pm

    Here’s a chart – $$$ Received for Ratification of Climate Change / $$$ Penalized for Missing Goals

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