Harrabin Gets It Wrong Again!
By Paul Homewood
It has not been a very auspicious start to the year for Roger Harrabin.
First he is widely mocked for his naive radio broadcast about Donald Trump.
Then he is caught out falsely claiming that India is aiming for 40% of its energy from renewables by 2030. He should, of course, said 40% of its installed power capacity, thus confusing electricity with energy, and generation with capacity. (An easy mistake for an graduate with a degree in English to make!)
Anxious to redeem his reputation, he tweets:
Unfortunately the Paul Homewood he links to is not me! (CLUE – I do not have a twitter account)
The other Paul Homewood must be getting a bit confused.
The saintly Roger links to a report by Climate Home. However, he might have been better off actually reading the draft Indian Government plan itself.
If he had, he would have learnt that the reason there is no new coal build planned for 2022-26 is that they are already constructing ample capacity to last through that period.
This, needless to say, does not mean that there will none built after 2027.
As so often with Harrabin, it is not what he tells you that is important, it is what he leaves out.
This is what the Draft National Electricity Plan actually says:
1) Current coal generating capacity is 185GW, to which we can add another 50GW already under construction.
Therefore coal capacity will increase by 27% in the next five years.
2) Generation from coal power plants will increase from 921 TWh to 1246 TWh by 2026/7, an increase of 35%.
Also, coal consumption for the power sector will increase from 600MT to 901MT, a rise of 50%.
3) Emissions of CO2 (purely from the power sector) will rise from 859MT to 1165MT by 2026/7, an increase of 36%.
4) Whereas Harrabin claims that “clean power will account for 56.5%” [by 2026/7], he omits to mention that:
a) This figure includes nuclear power
b) It refers to capacity, and not generation. (He really seems to have trouble understanding the difference!)
Far from providing 56.5% of India’s electricity, renewables are only expected to account for 24.2% by 2026/7.
Perhaps St Roger of Harrabin might like to check the facts with me next time, before he puts his foot in it again!