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Arctic Heatwave? It Was Warmer In 1985!

January 21, 2017
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By Paul Homewood

 

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-38417198

 

You might recall apocalyptic claims last month about record breaking heatwaves in the Arctic.

As I suggested at the time, such claims were nonsensical, and were based on no more than isolated incursions of mild air from lower latitudes, certainly not unprecedented events.

We now have the full satellite data for December from RSS, which proves that these assertions were no more than lies:

 

image

http://data.remss.com/msu/monthly_time_series/RSS_Monthly_MSU_AMSU_Channel_TLT_Anomalies_Land_and_Ocean_v03_3.txt

 

The average temperature in December was pretty much average for the last couple of decades, and colder than most years since 2001.

Whilst there was a run of particularly cold Decembers during the 1980s, it should be pointed out that last month was actually colder than December 1985.

 

I return to a point I have often made – somebody is setting up the media with this barrage of lies, as most journalists are much too naive to work these things out for themselves.

The question is who?

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41 Comments
  1. January 21, 2017 11:04 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism.

  2. The Old Bloke permalink
    January 21, 2017 11:13 pm

    And as there are no temperature recording stations anywhere north of 80 degrees North and that data used is satellite data and that satellite data collected the effects of the tectonic plate movements which created a line of active under water volcanoes, some only 50 meters under the surface, right on the edge of 80 degrees north and whose heat broke the surface to a north westerly wind which carried that heat over the Arctic and so was measured by the satellites.

  3. Ross King permalink
    January 21, 2017 11:16 pm

    We had an all-time record for Tent-Caterpillars in our garden a coupla years ago …. so what?
    Every day, someone, somewhere prob’ly has an all-time record on some metric or another.
    Is that an all-time record for snow in the Sahara recently? Did we hear about that record in the same breathless pronouncement, in tones suggesting the end of the World is nigh, that there’s a supposed record-breaking heat-wave at the N.Pole?
    I truly sympathize with the morons who believe this stuff; it’s the media sensationalists who shd be put against the wall and dealt-with, for totally unbalanced, biased reporting.

  4. January 22, 2017 12:38 am

    Reblogged this on Jaffer's blog.

  5. songhees permalink
    January 22, 2017 2:11 am

    @pplonia #Climate
    New book: ‘Human Caused Global Warming’.
    Available on Amazon/Indigo/Chapters.
    http://www.drtimball.com

  6. John F. Hultquist permalink
    January 22, 2017 4:43 am

    Every household should have a globe. If you don’t have one, go get one – I’ll wait.
    Okay.
    Cover the area north of the Arctic Circle with your hand(s). I can do this with one hand on my table-top globe.
    Latitudinally that takes in 23.5°.
    Move your hand(s) to the band from the equator to the Tropic of Cancer. That too takes in 23.5° of latitude. It takes about 8 “hands” to cover this area around the globe.
    The area just covered, and the next band north, say to 45° N., (about 7 hands) gets intense sun, evaporates a lot of water, and produces a dynamic atmosphere.
    Sometimes that dynamic atmosphere spills into the much smaller area (ignoring volume here) of the Arctic region.
    And … the temperature spikes, then drops – repeat!
    Holy cow!
    The DMI charts go back to 1958 and show these repeating spikes.
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

    • January 22, 2017 6:50 am

      I just checked my globe and it does put it into perspective. In order of size compared to the Arctic Ocean, the Indian Ocean is over 4 times as big, the Atlantic Ocean is over 5 times as big and the Pacific Ocean is over 10 times as big. In other words, the Arctic Ocean is less than one twentieth of the Earth’s total surface area of water.

      • Athelstan permalink
        January 22, 2017 7:58 pm

        The thing though, is this, what happens in the Arctic is significant of what?

        We know pretty much that, the sea ice extent fluctuates and that sometimes it’s lots and sometimes Sir Arctic fookwit Hempleman-Adams doesn’t get stuck and why oh why……………. doesn’t he like warmer weather, whatev?!

        As I oft’ rat on about, if one sees it [sea ice ref pages WUWT]… the general sea ice coverage in both hemispheres top and bottom….is just fine, indeed in recent years the Antarctic sea ice extent has hit record highs – now where’s Hempleman-Adams, Emily chucklebrother – telling us about that?

        “Albedo, and sea ice extent”! the alarmunists cry…. but how much bloody sunlight [Solar irradiance] hit’s the north and even if it is absorbed by water – then so bloody what, the earth’s dynamic climate is affected not one iota.

        Next?

        As the more sober scientists tend to point out, it’s more to do with Boreal weather patterns but far more likely is it – OCEANIC currents in and exiting the Arctic ocean basin, um and oh yeah and the sun goes off on one for six months. Thus and even if, as that precious plank Pete’ Wadhams tell us to the contrary…………….. in Winter and up t’ North……………there is always likely to be some sea ice knocking around – is there not? And Baffin Island is far more likely to witness the next ice advance rather than be exposed to Bermudas, ‘kiss me quick hats’ and candy floss.

    • mothcatcher permalink
      January 22, 2017 9:53 am

      My, what a big globe you have! Or is it small hands?

  7. January 22, 2017 6:39 am

    “The question is who?” I would put my money on Greenpeace, the number one port of call for the BBC on all matters ‘environmental’. Equal second favourites would be WWF-UK and Friends of the Earth. Then there would be individuals such as Bob (fast fingers) Ward and Richard Black (now director of the ECIU).

    • dave permalink
      January 22, 2017 9:41 am

      The BBC journalists are like the priests of the Middle Ages. They can’t read the Bible chained to the wall in the Church, but that doesn’t stop them telling you what’s in it.

    • dennisambler permalink
      January 22, 2017 12:50 pm

      The relatively recent addition of long time climate activist Jennifer Morgan onto the advisory board of the Grantham Institute, now gives Greenpeace a major input into the CCC via the Grantham members, Fankhauser and Hoskins. Her history is WWF, Climate Action Network, John Ashton’s E3G, she is now Greenpeace co-CEO, former advisor to Blair and Schellnhuber, (who is also on the Grantham Board). Stern is chairman of the LSE chapter, Sir Brian Hoskins holds the same position at Imperial Grantham, same advisory board.

      A few big money men for good measure:

      http://www.lse.ac.uk/GranthamInstitute/about/about-the-institute/advisory-board/

      • dennisambler permalink
        January 22, 2017 12:53 pm

        I forgot Ed Davey of course.

      • Athelstan permalink
        January 22, 2017 8:01 pm

        Oh no PotatoED! Good God, i wish to heavens that, I could forget about that utter twat.

  8. Mark Hodgson permalink
    January 22, 2017 8:50 am

    It doesn’t matter. The BBC had its headline, and the hope on their part will be that people remember the headline. As I commented at the time, shouldn’t the BBC report news WHEN it’s happened, not speculate about what might happen then fail to put the record straight when it doesn’t happen?

    • nigel permalink
      January 22, 2017 9:19 am

      My wife has a very effective method of getting me out of bed in the morning. She opens her I-Pad to a BBC channel, and turns up the volume. I am usually up and fleeing within sixty seconds. She just used the Andrew Marr show on me. HIS shouty, conceited, voice actually drives me to the bottom of the garden.

  9. Coeur de Lion permalink
    January 22, 2017 9:41 am

    Who is Victoria Gill? Is she pretty like Shuckburg and Humble?

  10. mothcatcher permalink
    January 22, 2017 9:43 am

    “….somebody is setting up the media with this barrage of lies…”

    I don’t think they need much setting up! Do you see/ read the Daily Express? Well, don’t bother beyond looking at the headlines. Every few days, there’s a dreadful storm coming, a record low, a scorching high, a raging flood, a deadly fog. Quite absurd, and totally unjustified. Nothing sells newspapers better than an exaggerated weather/climate headline.
    Just drop the DE a hint and they’ll put it in lights. The other UK papers are more subtle about it, but still willing. And of course the Guardian won’t even need a hint.

  11. joletaxi permalink
    January 22, 2017 10:21 am

    the right question should be”why”?

    I still wonder how that happened?

    a religion?
    it looks like

    in french
    on marche sur la tête

  12. January 22, 2017 10:53 am

    ‘most journalists are much too naive to work these things out for themselves’

    If they can’t tell when they’re being taken for a ride they’re not much of a journalist.

    • David Ashton permalink
      January 22, 2017 12:00 pm

      Many journalists do know they are being fed lies with regard to AGW, but their editors won’t accept anything which doesn’t comply with the religion, because the journal would be cut off from government inside information on other issues. This is the method used by all governments to control the message.

  13. Pierre Wolters permalink
    January 22, 2017 11:04 am

    Not the only question, the other one being “why?”

  14. Rowland H permalink
    January 22, 2017 11:16 am

    The tentacles of the Green Blob are stretching far and wide. Check out Climate Action Network.

  15. Malcolm permalink
    January 22, 2017 11:21 am

    It is a rhetorical age. Much like the artist putting in the ‘ground’ there is a core of fable and the fanciful; a focus on loss, be it innocence or material, and the assertion of an inevitability. When that basis is assembled all the work is done for you and against this background one can apply the tones of emotive, imaginative, evocative, excruciating, tormenting, sorrowful, pleading, beatific, hopeful, renewing, resurrecting, self-proclaiming, visionary words of a totally literary weight without any scientific responsibility (it has to be emotional, it has to seem authoritative and dramatic, there has to be a time line as in any television cookery competition so as to enforce a stress, an urgency), while Paul has only dry (well, not as wet, according to his statistics) words of science and disciplined, cold indifference to clamour of the adventurist and self-publicist.

    The scenario is quasi-religious and duplicates the essence of socialist doctrine. People without religion have to throw ourselves upon the tender mercy of others, trust something, identify with cause, be part of a congregation. If no God then no retributive power or healing hand, only the fallibility of humans, the naked human condition to which we have only human attribution, human responsibility, to any matter; there will be no divine judgement nor resurrection, we are in the cul-de-sac of hope and at the mercy of language, drama and exhortation. For socialism to work there has to be painted a client condition which will embody a plea for help, a determination to call working people unhappy, the deployment of a tide of misery to serve, upon which one can embroider the emotional narrative, imply simple answers and wander into the acclamation of virtue, sagacity, caring.

    To what degree are politicians willing to secure the endless supply of misery to which only they can minster? To what degree would it serve them to keep sink estates or crumbling cities as a ready made scenario on which to place their narrative? What more of life is understood by Prince Charles than myself? He has less clutter in his life and is therefore able to apply more time perhaps to the peripheral, has more time to grow his obsessions. This is increasingly the Metropolitan obsession too.

    • Fred Streeter permalink
      January 22, 2017 8:16 pm

      “People without religion have to throw our[them?]selves upon the tender mercy of others, trust something, identify with cause, be part of a congregation.”

      As a person without gods or religion, I consider this a sweeping generalization.

  16. Bitter&twisted permalink
    January 22, 2017 1:08 pm

    Bob (Porky-pies) Ward springs to mind.

  17. January 22, 2017 1:26 pm

    Should you hear of volcanoes erupting and massive earthquakes emanating from the east coast of the United States in the near future, here might be the reason.

    “The Hill” reports that Trump’s proposed budget would completely eliminate the Endowment for the Arts (NEA) and National Endowment for the Humanities (NEH) and would privatize the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (CPB).

    The Corporation for Pubic Broadcasting is the umbrella for PBS (Public Broadcasting Service) and NPR (National Public Radio). And that, boys and girls, is the equivalent to your BBC. It is the same nutty, Marxist-laden, climate changing, polar bear drowning, Arctic melting, bilge. Truth need not apply.

    Trump, making America great again.

    • January 22, 2017 1:59 pm

      Here is more good news:

      Less than an hour after the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump, the new administration outlined on the White House website its energy policy, which aims to focus on gas and oil, and reviving the coal industry.

      It also indicates the Climate Action Plan, introduced in 2013, will be scrapped.

    • January 22, 2017 8:43 pm

      We get some PBS in the UK (on the BBC Parliament channel, Sundays around noon), it is way better than the BBC, they allow callers from both sides to ask questions and give their views, it appears to be very even-handed and seemingly never gives or implies its own views, unlike the Biased Bleating Corporation (aka BBC).

      • Graeme No.3 permalink
        January 22, 2017 11:25 pm

        We get NPR “All things considered” from the ABC 5 days a week. It comes on the news channel in my car and I have to hit the off button, or change channels – a real traffic hazard.
        I have occasionally thought that “All things Left considered” would be a truer title, but I know that the ABC would ignore that.

  18. A C Osborn permalink
    January 22, 2017 1:42 pm

    No it comes from the UN via Obama, NASA & NOAA.

  19. Ian.j.vernon permalink
    January 22, 2017 3:25 pm

    Do you circulate your blog to journalists (who are lying ) or politicians. 

    It is so frustrating to read your blog using all official statistics and still no sense from anyone in power. Ian Vernon 

    Sent from Samsung tablet

  20. luberon boy permalink
    January 22, 2017 5:27 pm

    ‘ who is setting the media up with these lies ? ‘ and WHY ?

  21. Ben Vorlich permalink
    January 22, 2017 6:37 pm

    In order to continue the scare the actual real data can’t be used because it doesn’t support the narrative. However if you say it’s going to be the hottest/coldest/most wet/driest for somewhere where not many people live, Arctic, ANtarctic, Sahara, Gobi, Atacama and so on then you’re onto a winner.

    This is interesting because forecasts of disastrous weather events which fail to materialise come with monotonous regularity, last weeks East Coast floods for example. Despite all these failures people still believe the headlines. I can’t work it out.

  22. Athelstan permalink
    January 22, 2017 8:07 pm

    You’ll (I think) have to wait until tomorrow for Sunday’s episode but for those wondering where and who is haunting these days, Mike Hulme makes an appearance talking gobbledegook as per and Hudson all anodyne but tacitly banging the warmunist gong.

    Incidentally, this link……is only for those of you who have strong constitutions and a big sieve to be enable one to sift out the chaff.

  23. January 23, 2017 9:23 am

    January 2017 Arctic sea ice levels are matching January 2006 it seems.
    http://polarbearscience.com/2017/01/22/polar-bear-habitat-update-as-much-sea-ice-in-2017-as-2006-at-18-january/

    We await the relevant BBC news story. Anyone seen it?

    • nigel permalink
      January 23, 2017 10:05 am

      Slightly o/t, but…

      After a vigorous 2015 for tropical cyclones and an average 2016,
      2017 has started off with zero activity:

      http://models.weatherbell.com/tropical.php

      I await the relevant hours of BBC panic reporting.

      • A C Osborn permalink
        January 23, 2017 1:08 pm

        But the US has a Tornado that killed people, so that is what is in the news.
        The Swiss Snow avalanche was also in the news with very little mention of all the snow falling all over the place and record breaking cold.
        It is all a totally one sided story.

  24. stewgreen permalink
    January 23, 2017 4:44 pm

    Ooh Scary scary in the Yorkshire post Full page News-Vert from GreenBlob Corporation
    Global climate warning as the world gets warmer bylined Chris Bond Their Lefty Features Editor
    (previous effort “Was Typhoon Haiyan a product of our changing climate?”)

    “0.07 degrees Celsius higher compared with those in 2015. This might sound like a piffling amount.. even a slight increase can have a profound effect.”
    “Parts of the Arctic have experienced temperatures above freezing this winter when they should be well below zero”
    ..well weird weather depends on wind direction..There is no SHOULD

    “However, there are fears that Donald Trump may try and undo some of the work that has been agreed.”
    “even some formerly sceptical world leaders now recognise”
    strange that he doesn’t name them

    Quotes : Piers Forster Leeds U
    “storm Desmond that brought flooding to northern England in December 2015 was much stronger than it would have been without climate change”

    Grant Bigg, Sheffield U, “The number of people who think greenhouse gases are not responsible is really very small and continually decreasing.”

    Ends
    “Data show that 16 of the 17 hottest years on record have occurred in the 21st century.
    A report published in the medical journal The Lancet estimated that climate change causes around 18,000 deaths a day.”

  25. richard permalink
    January 23, 2017 5:07 pm

    Two Russian Icebreakers Are Currently Stuck in Sea Ice | Atlas Obscura
    http://www.atlasobscura.com/…/two-russian-icebreakers-are-currently-stuck-in-..

  26. January 23, 2017 10:08 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

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