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February 2017 Weather In UK

March 6, 2017

By Paul Homewood

 

 

A quick look at UK weather last month.

 

 

UK Mean temperature - February

 

While the month was on the whole mild, mean temperatures were unexceptional.

The warmest February since 1910 came along in 1998, and the months in 1914, 1918, 1926, 1945, and 1961 were all milder.

 

What is particularly apparent is the absence of really cold Februarys in the last couple of decades. It is this which is pushing up the average, rather than temperatures becoming higher.

 

 

This becomes particularly apparent when we look at CET daily mean temperatures.

Apart from a couple of record mild days in 2004, we are not seeing any weather in February that we have not had before.

Indeed since 2004, there have only been 5 days in the top 50, which would be pretty much average.

 

image

 

 

If we contrast this with the lowest daily temperatures, we get a completely different picture.

No day since 1991 has made it into the 50.

And you have to go back to before 1960 to find the really cold days.

 

image

 

 

As far as temperatures go, it is clear that February weather in the UK has become much less extreme than in the past.

 

 

Precipitation

 

If we look at precipitation, we see something similar.

 

UK Rainfall - February

 

Apart from February 2014, precipitation in the last decade or so has fallen within a fairly tight band, neither unusually wet or dry.

Interestingly, if we just look at England, we find large variability on a regular basis throughout the record.

 

England Rainfall - February

 

 

SOURCES

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/actualmonthly

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html

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7 Comments
  1. Ian Magness permalink
    March 6, 2017 7:18 pm

    ..and of course, the Met Office made a major forecast in the autumn that late winter would be really cold in the UK. As ever with their astonishingly expensive array of supercomputers, it’s GIGO – garbage in, garbage out. It doesn’t matter how good the computers are, if the programmers are numpties, the output will be rubbish. In fact, when they make a major forecast of exceptional hot or cold weather months ahead, you just know that the opposite will pretty much always apply.

    • Tom Dowter permalink
      March 6, 2017 11:32 pm

      Obviously, since February was warmer than predicted, it must be evidence of global warming doncha know 😉

  2. Athelstan permalink
    March 7, 2017 12:33 am

    I don’t much care what it does at ~ 52º N in February, for sure, the nights are drawing out and the sun is on its way……………back, unless, the ice age – cometh again.

    We still don’t know what is the trigger for a return to THE cold…………………… but whatever it is, it is quick and that: man has nothing to do with it.

    Cheer up my hearties!………….. it may not happen – just yet, though yers just never know.

  3. Trofim permalink
    March 7, 2017 8:00 am

    But what about hours of sunlight, irrespective of cold? Is it me, or was it an usually grey bleak February? A lot of people seem to think so.

    • Trofim permalink
      March 7, 2017 8:30 am

      It’s OK, I’ve got my answer. The Met Office says last February most of the UK had 79% of it’s usual sunlight.

      • Gerry, England permalink
        March 7, 2017 1:50 pm

        This leads us into Svensmark cosmic ray cloud theory territory. More cloud would flatten out the temps by removing the highs and lows. Makes for a milder winter but extending into spring and summer might not be so good.

  4. Andy DC permalink
    March 7, 2017 6:38 pm

    It seems that severe winter cold in England is totally dependent on a weather pattern, namely getting an easterly flow off the cold land mass from Russia. Why that seems to not be happening is anyone’s guess, but it is hard to see how global warming would be a factor.

    At times it has been very cold in eastern and southern Europe, even down to Greece, the Balkans and southern Spain. Also the Middle East and north Africa. That cold, however has simply not backed up into the UK.

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