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Bad Weather Proves Climate Change, Says WMO

March 22, 2017

By Paul Homewood

 

image

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html

 

From the “A bit of bad weather proves climate change “ Dept.

An unbelievably crass piece from the failed Independent (and doubtlessly the BBC and the rest of the dismal MSM):

 

There is “no room for doubt”. The astonishing weather experienced by the world last year and advances in climate science demonstrate conclusively that fossil fuel emissions are causing global warming – and something must be done about it.

That was the reaction from scientist after scientist to a new report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), which documented record-breaking droughts, heatwaves, rainfall, melting of sea ice and a host of tangible signs observed in 2016 that the Earth’s climate has changed.

Amid fears that Donald Trump will withdraw the United States from the Paris Agreement on climate change, the Secretary-General of the WMO said it was “vital” to slash carbon emissions and prepare for increasingly dangerous weather.

Writing in the report’s foreword, Petteri Taalas said: “The influence of human activities on the climate system has become more and more evident.

“This influence is increasingly being demonstrated by attribution studies for some of the most critical weather and climate extremes, in particular extremes related to heat.

“It is vital that [the Paris Agreement’s] implementation becomes a reality and that [it] guides the global community in addressing climate change by curbing greenhouse gases, fostering climate resilience and mainstreaming climate adaptation into national development policies.”

The WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2016 pointed to multiple signs that our planet’s weather is getting more extreme, including:

•    the record average temperature for the year of about 1.1C above pre-industrial levels;

•    millions of people going hungry after crops failed in parts of Africa as rainfall fell up to 60 per cent below average;

•    flooding that displaced hundreds of thousands of people in south-east Asia;

•    record low levels of sea ice in both the Arctic and Antarctic;

•    the wettest ever winter on record in Scotland and China’s wettest year;

•    France’s driest July and August and the record driest winter and spring that helped produce Canada’s worst-ever wildfire at Fort McMurray, Alberta;

•    extreme temperatures which saw records fall from Santiago in Chile, which hit 37.3C, to Svalbard in the Arctic, which was 6.5C warmer over the year than the average between 1961 and 1990;

•    devastating wildfires in Tasmania amid a prolonged drought;

•    and then devastating floods in Tasmania after the drought ended and the island experienced it wettest May to December on record.

Climate scientists have been forecasting just such an increase in bad weather driven by the rising global temperature, with a huge amount of extra energy now being trapped in the atmosphere as a result the greenhouse gases humans pumped into the atmosphere.

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-real-extreme-weather-wmo-world-meteorological-organization-global-warming-a7640376.html

 

The Independent’s readers are a pretty naive lot, but even some of them can see through this nonsense, judging by some of the comments.

 

The first thing to remember is that the WMO has been at the centre of the global warming scam since its inception, when the IPCC was set up. As part of the UN, it is just another politicised agency and nothing it says can in any way be regarded as reliable.

As is usually the case with these sort of “we’re all going to die” articles, the banner picture is of a drought in Africa, this time Somalia.

But as the UN itself reported in 1973, before the warming scam was dreamt up, droughts were widespread across Africa and Central Asia.

 

 

 

image_thumb80

UNESCO Courier Magazine – August 1973

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/03/23/a-colder-climate-in-the-1970s-brought-widespread-drought/

And as HH Lamb explained in the same edition, it was the result of the Earth cooling:

 

image_thumb83

image

 

Taking each of the WMO bullet points in turn, we can see just what a dishonest statement it is:

 

1)  The record average temperature for the year of about 1.1C above pre-industrial levels

Why is there no mention of the fact that satellite measurements of atmospheric temperatures prove that last year was statistically no warmer than 1998?

Even if the figure is right, so what. Why should the Earth’s climate be any worse now than it was 10 years ago, or 50, or 150?

 

2)  Millions of people going hungry after crops failed in parts of Africa as rainfall fell up to 60 per cent below average.

Where is the context that proves this is in any way unusual or unprecedented?

Why is there no mention of studies, such as this by McCabe & Wolock in 2015, that there has been no trend in global droughts in the last century.

Not to mention HH Lamb’s evidence that global cooling leads to worse droughts.

 

3) Flooding that displaced hundreds of thousands of people in south-east Asia

In 1971, the Red River floods left 100,000 dead in North Vietnam.

In the same year, Orissa in India was hit by a cyclone which left 10,800 dead, and 180,000 were affected in the Kuala Lumpur floods, reckoned to be the worst floods since 1926.

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2011/09/21/is-our-climate-becoming-more-extreme/

 

What is so special about 2016?

 

4)  Record low levels of sea ice in both the Arctic and Antarctic

Arctic sea ice extent at minimum has changed little since 2007. The lowest extent was in 2012.

 

osisaf_nh_iceextent_monthly-09_en

 http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover_30y.uk.php

 

Although ice extent has been low this year, the trend in Antarctic sea ice extent has been strongly upwards since 1979:

 

s_plot

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/

 

 

5) The wettest ever winter on record in Scotland and China’s wettest year.

It goes without saying that there are a lot of countries in the world, which makes such claims disingenuous.

While it may have been Scotland’s wettest winter (since 1910), in England & Wales the wettest spring was 1782, the wettest summer was 1912, and the wettest year was 1872.

In the US, the wettest year was 1973, whilst in Australia it was the following year of 1974.

Such one off “records” are meaningless.

 

6)  France’s driest July and August and the record driest winter and spring that helped produce Canada’s worst-ever wildfire at Fort McMurray, Alberta

They’re getting desperate now, having to resort to individual months!

In the UK, the driest July was in 1955, and August was 1947. The driest summer was 1995.

 

No figures are available for last year yet, but Canada’s National Forestry Database show no long term trend in wildfires:

chart

http://nfdp.ccfm.org/dynamic_report/displayGraph_e.php?chart_type=column&agency=CA&displayCol=5&startRow=1

 

It is also ludicrous to describe the Alberta wildfire as the “worst ever”. The Chinchaga firestorm in 1950 was probably ten times as big.

 

7) Extreme temperatures which saw records fall from Santiago in Chile, which hit 37.3C, to Svalbard in the Arctic, which was 6.5C warmer over the year than the average between 1961 and 1990.

If record temperatures mean anything, it must have been much hotter in the 1930s, when 36 US State temperature record highs were set/tied. In contrast, only two such records have been set since 2000.

As for the Arctic, long running temperature records, such as Akureyri, Iceland, consistently show that temperatures were just as high as now back in the 1930s and 40s.

To claim that Svalbard is warmer than the average between 1961 and 1990, is deceitful, as that period was a much colder interlude. Svalbard, in any event, only has data since 1977.

 

 

image

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/stdata_show.cgi?id=620040630000&dt=1&ds=5 

 

8) Devastating wildfires in Tasmania amid a prolonged drought.

The summer of 2016 was not unusually dry. By far the driest summer was in 1960.

 

rain.tas.1202.61692

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/index.shtml#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries

 

9) and then devastating floods in Tasmania after the drought ended and the island experienced it wettest May to December on record.

May to December? This is what is known as data mining.

Annual records for Tasmania show that last year’s rainfall was not the highest, that being 1956. More significantly, rainfall has always been highly variable there, and large swings from extremely dry to extremely wet are common.

 

rain.tas.0112.8494

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/index.shtml#tabs=Tracker&tracker=timeseries

 

 

There are, of course, many things that the WMO forgot to mention.

For instance, low hurricane activity:

 

C1-g6y0UQAA08Fk

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2017/01/21/2016s-record-warmth-brought-record-crop-yields-fewer-storms/

 

Or the fifth year running of below average tornado activity:

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2016/torngraph-big.png

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2016/torngraph-big.png

 

Or the fact that the great US droughts of the 1930s and 50s are, for now, a thing of the past:

 

multigraph

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/

 

Indeed, you could write a book about all of the bad weather that did not happen last year!

All that the WMO has done is write a list of the things that did.

 

Sadly, many are unable to see through this deception.

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30 Comments
  1. March 22, 2017 11:45 am

    I am proud to be a member of the anti-science denier brigade. I deny anti-science. Roger Harrabin says I am, so it must be true.

    Well worth a read: http://blog.dilbert.com/post/158549646496/how-leonardo-dicaprio-can-persuade-me-on-climate

    • Al Shelton permalink
      March 22, 2017 12:10 pm

      Right on Phil.
      That was one of the first things I noticed… Hah!.
      The real anti-science people are showing their ignorance.

      • Graeme No.3 permalink
        March 22, 2017 8:44 pm

        To paraphrase a former President of the USA If it looks like a scam, and they behave like it is a scam, then it is a scam.

  2. March 22, 2017 12:05 pm

    Again, the wizards are confusing “climate” with “weather” and hoping no one notices.

  3. rwoollaston permalink
    March 22, 2017 12:20 pm

    Great post Paul. The timing of this report from the GWPF couldn’t be better: http://www.thegwpf.org/the-worlds-first-state-of-the-climate-survey-based-on-observations-only/

    Note the phrase ‘…based on observations only!”

    • Keitho permalink
      March 22, 2017 1:15 pm

      That is a great read. Pity the hysterical gang won’t read it.

  4. March 22, 2017 12:27 pm

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News and commented:
    Pick a year, any year and you’ll always find extremes. Try 1876 or 1877for example;
    https://craigm350.wordpress.com/?s=1876&submit=Search

    https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/03/17/a-bit-windy-in-1877-as-well/

  5. March 22, 2017 12:37 pm

    I might agree with “Bad Weather Proves Climate Change” if they insert the word “Natural” in front of “Climate Change” in the title. This link sums up the rationale. http://www.breadandbutterscience.com/Weather.pdf

  6. CheshireRed permalink
    March 22, 2017 12:40 pm

    A really great piece Paul, smacking a legitimate target right between the eyes with oh, you know…actual evidence! The WMO ‘study’ and fawning Indy puff piece were textbook climate change propaganda, with cherry-picked weather events passed off as ‘climate’. On every single point you reveal their position to be pure unadulterated BS. Not so long ago sceptics who posed weather-related challenges to AGW was slapped down by alarmists with a shrill ‘climate is 30 years, anything less is just weather – schoolboy error’! Yet here they are relying on individual weather events to prop up their utterly failed theory. It shows how truly desperate alarmists have now become. 10/10 and a gold star for your response.

    • Nordisch-geo-climber permalink
      March 22, 2017 12:43 pm

      Agree totally, Paul you deserve a medal for your pragmatic and analytical attention to detail.

  7. March 22, 2017 12:46 pm

    “Millions of people going hungry after crops failed in parts of Africa as rainfall fell up to 60 per cent below average.”

    Could the hunger have something to do with part of the Aid Budget being siphoned off for you know what, and maybe Oxfam skimming off part of its donations for political lobbying, causing some people to stop donating. Famine relief is no longer in fashion, Saint Bob (Geldof) et al now focused on the fight against populism and “denial”.

    • Gamecock permalink
      March 22, 2017 1:29 pm

      Or people not learning how to manage their crops because of Aid Budget.

    • A C Osborn permalink
      March 22, 2017 1:36 pm

      Actually it has just as much to do with the almost continuous wars that are going on out there.
      Groups like Al Shabab, Al Qaeda & Boko Haram are causing mayhem out there preventing the Farmers from irrigating, planting & harvesting their crops.

  8. tom0mason permalink
    March 22, 2017 1:33 pm

    “That was the reaction from scientist after scientist to a new report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), which documented record-breaking droughts, heatwaves, rainfall, melting of sea ice and a host of tangible signs observed in 2016 that the Earth’s climate has changed.”

    New game!
    New game!
    Weather is climate.

    Worse heatwaves!
    It snowed in the Sahara!

    More drought!
    California and Australia’s drought ended!

    Sea ice melted!
    Sea ice increased!

    Record hot temperatures.
    Coldest winter months in Siberia, North America, China, etc…!

    Sea levels are rising!
    Sea level rise is slowing!

    Dorset nearly had a summer!
    Australia had a record breaking grain harvest!

    Price of air increased.
    Price of carbon dropped… 😉

    UN climate-change fund at a record high.
    UN spending on perceived climate-change effects at all time low! 😦

    • tom0mason permalink
      March 22, 2017 1:44 pm

      Good game!
      Good game!

      Our survey says …
      [Uhhh-aaarrrr!]
      Weather is NOT climate…

      “And the scores on the doors.”

      WMO and UN-IPCC; -10
      Nature; 10 million.

  9. March 22, 2017 1:38 pm

    Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
    Top post. Nice work Paul.
    WMO, up to their ears in man-made “Global Warming” hysteria and alarmism since they teamed up with climate criminal Maurice Strong’s UNEP in the 1970’s, later implementing the eco-political UN IPCC.

    Maurice Strong, “The Creator, Fabricator And Proponent Of Global Warming” hysteria.

    https://climatism.wordpress.com/2013/09/17/the-creator-fabricator-and-proponent-of-global-warming-maurice-strong/

  10. Kathleen Burch permalink
    March 22, 2017 1:46 pm

    It is tragic that so many people are duped by those who lust for power and riches and control people by terrifying them. Meanwhile,;we continue to amass unsustainable debt and neglect REAL, solvable problems.

  11. March 22, 2017 1:56 pm

    They are assuming what they’re trying – and so far, failing – to prove, which isn’t science.

    Greater climate extremes in the current period, even if true, could be due to natural factors but they show little if any interest in that, preferring to claim any changes whatsoever ‘must’ be due to humans.

    That would imply such extremes haven’t happened before, but they usually have.

  12. NeilC permalink
    March 22, 2017 2:16 pm

    If only the WMO studied historical weather they would realise all of their ramblings have happener before, naturally, and will happen again, naturally.

    Thanks Paul, good post.

  13. Tim Hammond permalink
    March 22, 2017 2:32 pm

    We should embrace this nonsense. When say Antarctic ice hits a new record high then that obviously proves the opposite of what a record low proves.

    And the same with all the rest – presumably an average year will also prove the climate change is neither happening nor is it man-made.

  14. Galvanize permalink
    March 22, 2017 4:26 pm

    Great post, Paul.

    Cherry picking of the highest order picked apart by evidence.

  15. Athelstan permalink
    March 22, 2017 9:58 pm

    There is “no room for doubt”. The astonishing weather experienced by the world last year and advances in climate science demonstrate conclusively that fossil fuel emissions are causing global warming – and something must be done about it.

    That was the reaction from scientist after scientist to a new report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), which documented record-breaking droughts, heatwaves, rainfall, melting of sea ice and a host of tangible signs observed in 2016 that the Earth’s climate has changed.

    From Wiki: “The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is a specialized agency of the United Nations.”

    Lord in Heaven! honestly, is there anyone [sane bod] in the world who would set store in these pathetic allegations, its weave thread of hyperbole, ill considered non sequiturs a thin cloth made up by this [WMO] – inane bunch of shills, green wankerati, dupes and pscientists………………………….

    FFS, need I say more?

  16. Svend Ferdinandsen permalink
    March 22, 2017 11:24 pm

    I have also seen that they claim the sea was higher than ever before, and implicit because of climate change.
    This statement would be correct for every year from any reliable sea level measurement has begun. It is rising with the same speed as it has forever.

  17. grumpyoldman22 permalink
    March 23, 2017 8:41 pm

    This nonsense just proves you can’t teach a mug. It is disappointing the sheeple seem to follow these mugs. Still hopeful our grandkids will see this turn of century bs as failed political lies.

  18. Reisen permalink
    March 25, 2017 5:03 am

    I don’t think the Independent or its readers care. It just gives them excuses to welcome more Somali refugees and that deporting the criminal ones is a violation of their human rights. They can now cite the drought and famine as excuses not to leave the country.

Trackbacks

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