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Booker & The Arctic Ice Panic

May 7, 2017

By Paul Homewood




Booker on the latest Arctic scare:


Inevitably, when even satellite temperatures were showing 2016 as “the hottest year on record”, we were going to be told last winter that the Arctic ice was at its lowest extent ever. Sure enough, before Christmas, a report from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration was greeted with such headlines as “Hottest Arctic on record triggers massive ice melt”. In March we had the BBC trumpeting another study that blamed vanishing Arctic ice as the cause of weather which led to the worst-ever smog in Beijing, warning that it “could even threaten the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022”.


But last week we were brought back to earth by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), as charted by our friend Paul Homewood on his blog Notalotofpeopleknowthat, with the news that ever since December temperatures in the Arctic have consistently been lower than minus 20 C. In April the extent of Arctic sea ice was back to where it was in April 13 years ago. Furthermore, whereas in 2008 most of the ice was extremely thin, this year most has been at least two metres thick. The Greenland ice cap last winter increased in volume faster than at any time for years.

As for those record temperatures brought in 2016 by an exceptionally strong El Niño, the satellites now show that in recent months global temperatures have plummeted by more that 0.6 degrees: just as happened 17 years ago after a similarly strong El Niño had also made 1998 the “hottest year on record”.

This means the global temperature trend has now shown no further warming for 19 years. But the BBC won’t be telling us any of this. And we are still stuck with that insanely damaging Climate Change Act, which in this election will scarcely get a mention.



This all follows on from my report, Arctic Defies Fake News Stories, which can be seen here.

  1. May 7, 2017 8:12 am

    Well done Paul, but as long as the BBC continues with its fake news and as long as the Government is shielded from reality by the green civil servants, these truthful news items won’t get any traction.

  2. nigel permalink
    May 7, 2017 8:30 am

    “…won’t get any traction…”

    Remember those glazed eyes which always greet Professor Lindzen?
    The children have been lost to a cult.
    When they pass round the kool-aid – only pretend to drink it!

    • Sheri permalink
      May 7, 2017 5:29 pm

      Are you sure one cannot fake glazed eyes? Besides, aren’t most university students lost to cult nowadays? Safe space, puppies, crayons?

  3. May 7, 2017 9:40 am

    Kicking the can down the road: the potential ‘Arctic ice free’ date has slipped to the late 2030s it seems.

    That should allow the current generation of climate alarmists to retire before their prediction is tested.

    • Athelstan permalink
      May 7, 2017 9:54 am

      Nostradamus, he had it all figured and no one can touch him!

    • dave permalink
      May 7, 2017 11:45 am

      “Arctic region unravelling” (?)

      A tatty, old, wool-jersey caught on a nail – there is a new, highly scientific, model to be run through a computer!

      It is just fading beep-beeps from a once relevant newspaper group.

    • dave permalink
      May 7, 2017 11:48 am

      “…alarmists to retire…”

      Laughing all the way to the bank, of course.

    • dave permalink
      May 7, 2017 12:19 pm

      Warmish water from the Atlantic, pushing further north than heretofore, has been inhibiting growth at that edge of the sea-ice, during winter, for a decade or two. This is a local, limited, phenomenon which can have nothing to do with the bulk of the Arctic Ocean. Similarly with the open waters south and west of the Bering Strait which merge into the Pacific.

      • Sheri permalink
        May 7, 2017 5:33 pm

        Yes, I constantly point out that the Arctic warming faster (or cooling faster) than the rest of the world is LOCAL. It can’t be called the “canary in the coal mine” or any of that. Rules say to be evidence of global warming, it must be global. If not, it’s evidence of weather. That’s what the warmists say when one brings up the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age as in they claim it was local and does not count. I hold them to their rules—it must be global to count.

  4. Athelstan permalink
    May 7, 2017 9:51 am

    This means the global temperature trend has now shown no further warming for 19 years. But the BBC won’t be telling us any of this. And we are still stuck with that insanely damaging Climate Change Act, which in this election will scarcely get a mention.

    It’s a forlorn hope.

    Forlorn exercise, trying to argue by using science and logic with the dung beetles who crawl over the front benches in Westminster, even more so now that, the one bloke who could understand it all – one Peter Lilliey is retiring from the HoC.
    We beseech, surely mother theresa needs to ensure that he [Mr. Lilley] is guaranteed a peerage……..then at least one person will be able to explain to the pond life under the stones bottom feeding – in the other ‘house’ in simple terms – all about statistics and ‘puter modelling car crashes – as done by those climastrology freaks civil servants permeating in the Wet office.
    Ah but then, the green agenda is all about something completely different, energy of lack of it and what frugal amounts that will be generated at exorbitant prices – is the means to an end and as we hurtle ever faster down the tunnel – there is no light to find. It is, a bleak and bitter irony, we are being made to pay, cough up: to fashion our own industrial and economic oblivion. Economic catastrophe made real, and how the Marxists and all of our foreign competitors [the EUrabia and China] love that.
    Duped again, of course it won’t come to pass and truly because, there is little alternative on offer but even with those appallingly forlorn prospects, people very carefully need to consider how they cast their votes in this forthcoming GE.

    Did I say forlorn, perhaps I really meant desolate.

    • HotScot permalink
      May 7, 2017 5:06 pm

      My good man Athelstan.

      There is hope. During the forthcoming negotiation on Brexit, the dung beetles will be crawling over every detail, of every document they can lay their hands on to gain an advantage over Brussels.

      It will eventually occur to one particularly beady eyed little dung beetle that there is lots and lots of money to be saved by condemning climate change as a concocted farce. Then all they have to do is put the political machine into motion and, hey presto, the worm begins to turn.

      There are plenty of attention grabbing, overly ambitious, greedy, self serving dung beetles, quite happy to trample all over their ‘principles’, watching what Trump is doing. The politician in the UK that can be credited with dramatically reducing unemployment in one fell swoop will be idolised for generations.

      That is one hell of an incentive.

      • DNM permalink
        May 8, 2017 9:08 am

        Unemployment in the UK and the US is already pretty low. Making it lower ie down to what used to be known as full employment is not achievable with current levels of education and poor infrastructure in both countries. The kinds of jobs done by the poorest educated are either now automated or have left to much lower waged societies. Soon automation and AI will take many of the rest

    • HotScot permalink
      May 7, 2017 5:10 pm

      PS, my old man used to tell me never to worry about what a politician is saying. Worry about what he’s not saying.

      The longer the issue of excruciatingly expensive climate change goes unmentioned, the more certain you can be that when the dam breaches, every politician will be jumping on the bandwagon to condemn it as a global scam.

      The process is proceeding as we speak.

      • Athelstan permalink
        May 8, 2017 7:20 am

        I do so hope that, you are right Mr. HotScot, though I fear greatly that, the signs of disavowal of the great scam are as yet mere conjecture on our [realists] part.
        I shudder at the prospects, if, the CCA is not repudiated,………….. then, completely rescinded.
        Furthermore, what occurred in France yesterday, it fills me with dark forboding. Evidently, Macron is Germany’s man and as yet we are not out of and away from the Berlin Axis. The COP Paris emissions limitations discord is, awaiting full implementation and that means drawing up of some extemist and draconian legal straitjacket so designed to bind the likes of the eejits the likes of Green blob Britain into permanent darkness and Theresa May is seemingly fully committed, thus May and her Red tories are: part of the blumin problem.

        Donald J. Trump is our only hope but behind the scenes it remains to be seen if his daughter [Ivanka] fashion model and bizniz woman can swing him in the wrong direction, unelected though she is, her influence is great and she is a child besotted, a worshipper who prostrates herself before the Green highpriesthood – certainly no Christianity there.

        All is drift, the truth is damned and the Green blob is fighting back.

        I remain – a sceptic.

      • HotScot permalink
        May 8, 2017 10:54 pm


        I cant say I disagree with you entirely but listening to, and reading some of the comments on Macron today, it seems we have another maverick politician in our midst. One with no political baggage (like Trump) who, like Trump again, is a man determined to get his way, and has proven he can do it.

        By all accounts he’s also a pragmatist, and only barely left of Le Penn, and much further right than a socialist. Whilst he may support the EU, the UK will no longer be a part of it soon and with his financial background, he will recognise very well the damage to any business (which is what the EU is after all) when it loses 20% of it’s turnover (GDP in this case) virtually overnight.

        So what he’s saying for an election, may not be quite what he believes, and he does believe in people working hard and standing on their own two feet, and not many French politicians believe in that at all.

        Personally I think Ivanka Trump is a smokescreen. Given the job of pacifying the green liberal muppets with messages of hope, whilst Dad does the unspoken work in the background. Why would he employ her, and Tillersons services, when he has already swung the axe in the direction of the EPA? I suspect his delay in booting the Paris accord into touch is political expediency rather than hesitation or uncertainty.

        However, my personal opinion on Trump is that we cant rely on him to solve the problem of alarmists. For whatever reason, and I don’t think it will be Ivanka, he could change his mind overnight on a lot of matters, including the political wisdom of rampaging through the alarmists ranks. Perhaps he’s happy picking them off one by one and judging his next move by watching their reactions.

        My old man wasn’t often right, but he was very rarely wrong. The only political opinion he ever uttered was to say that what went unsaid by politicians, was more important than what they vocalised. And in my experience, he was dead right.

        ‘We’ll reduce unemployment’ (by raising the school leaving age to 18).

        ‘We’ll create more jobs’ (at the taxpayers expense).

        ‘We’ll lower taxes’ (but increase them through the CCA).

        ‘Drive diesels, they’re better for the environment’…………..ahem.

  5. AndyG55 permalink
    May 7, 2017 10:13 am

    Russian charts show “old ice” to be:

    12% higher than 2016
    41% higher than 2008
    26% higher than 2009
    30% higher than 2012
    65% higher than 2013

    MASIE shows day 125 sea ice extent above that of:

    2006, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2015 and 2016

    Historically, Arctic sea ice extent is HIGHER than it has been for some 90-95% of the last 10,000 years.

    The only real problem with Arctic Sea Ice …

    is that there is ALWAYS so darn much of it !!

    • AndyG55 permalink
      May 7, 2017 9:23 pm

      NSIDC day126.

      2017 extent is ahead of 2004, 2006, 2014, 2015, 2016.

  6. AndyG55 permalink
    May 7, 2017 10:15 am

    When you consider the “less cold” blob that was sitting over the Franz Josef region for most of the freeze season, Arctic sea ice is actually much higher in extent than it has any right to be.

  7. May 7, 2017 11:53 am

    Polar bears still dying though, getting paws stuck in re-freezing ice.

  8. tom0mason permalink
    May 7, 2017 2:04 pm

    Will the thirty year olds and younger of today get the message. For the majority of their lifetime they have been told propaganda that the ice of the Arctic is fast disappearing!

    Oddly there is still a great lump of ice at the North pole, sometimes more than before often less but it is still there.

    “…the report of my death was an exaggeration.”
    Mark Twain (see )

  9. Jack Broughton permalink
    May 7, 2017 6:57 pm

    Where is Wadham when you need him, he will explain how the ice will be all-gone by 2222 0r some such doom-laden date. Who needs real data?

  10. Ben Vorlich permalink
    May 8, 2017 8:54 am

    For an inyeresting alternative view check out Caleb’s website at Sunrise’s Swansong where he covers Arctic Sea Ice and climate. He has been the only person to regularly cover the persistent (the last year or so) low over the Arctic which has had some interesting effects.

    His latest offering

  11. May 8, 2017 11:23 am

    The junk science of “Global Warm…” er, ah, “Climate Change” is a direct by product of awarding grant monies to junk scientists. The scarier the paper, the bigger the grant is for ‘further study’ and the more politicians will use it to panic voters.
    A recent article on atmospheric oxygen levels revealed that atmospheric CO2 levels haven’t changed in 800,000 years. So much for man-made global warming.
    Junk science by lazy grant writers is a real threat to public health and well being.

  12. May 8, 2017 1:00 pm

    Reblogged this on Climate Collections.

  13. May 8, 2017 1:16 pm

    Joe Bastardi at Weather Bell presents some very fine Ice & Temp facts.

  14. Charlie Youle permalink
    May 8, 2017 9:25 pm

    There are many theories about, in part due to films such as The Day After Tomorrow. There was a lot “oh they got wrong” and the debunking of climate change as a myth, especially in America.

    Man made effects on the climate such as dumping huge quantities of exhaust from aircraft directly into the atmosphere is rarely even mentioned, we hear moans about diesels and yet the new so called healthy new petrol engines actually produce more particulate than diesels, not in the headlines, well there is a surprise.

    Kevin Long from has pointed out the lack of understanding of the big picture by mainstream global warming brigade or “antis” is because they concentrate on their front door, or the sensational headline grabbing stories. Our planet is influenced daily by the moon and it has long be understood that the moon has effect on water, tides, etc. Kevin Long has been looking into this effect on weather, while it may not be obvious but has cycles like the sun, his Rapid Cooling Forecast makes interesting reading.

    Mr Long is not the only one of course; Theodore White, an astrometeorologist made predictions three years ago about the changes in sun and solar activity. Not only does Theodore look at the sun but he goes bigger to weather in the solar system, again rarely do we see this mentioned in studies.

    There are a number of solid sources such as NASAs Cyrosphere research ( and so called fringe sources pointing to a change in climate which will chill the bones. We are being distracted by the main stream press with smoke and mirrors, we need to dig deeper, as has already been pointed out is not just about the Artic or Antarctic, it is global. The weather in New Zealand has this year meant bees have not been pollenating, which in turn effects everything from crops to honey production.

    The DMI report adds to the growing evidence that maybe Roland Emmerich’s leap of imagination may be just out of time, but it does show that Andrew Weaver’s statement that a new ice age is impossible would have to be questioned……

    Perhaps we can learn from our ancestors in the view we have of the world, we must remember all thing are connected to all things…from the butterfly to the stars.

    • Charlie Youle permalink
      May 9, 2017 6:25 pm

      I am also going to add these links which shows clearly current trends. It makes more sense of the data than some other sites.
      It is important to correctly understand the current picture so here is DMI animation, remember ice extent is not the same as ice thickness. It is the old ice that is thinning and this a concern, new ice however is thickening and this is being seen by some as change in the way ice is being formed and perhaps a change in global temperatures during the October to March season.

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