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Pakistan Could Face Mass Droughts By 2025–Independent

September 17, 2017
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By Paul Homewood

 

h/t Patsy Lacey

 

From the failed Independent:

 

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Pakistan could face drought in the near future according to experts in the country, who have warned the country will approach the “absolute scarcity” level of water by 2025.

The Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources (PCRWR) made the grim forecast in a new report which claimed the country touched the “water stress line” in 1990 before crossing the “water scarcity line” in 2005.

An unnamed government official in the south Asian country told Pakistani media that urgent research is needed to find a solution – but warned of a lack of available government funds.

Pakistan has the world’s fourth highest rate of water use but is dependent on water from a single source – the Indus River basin in India – and rainfall has been steadily declining, with some experts claiming this is down to climate change.

An estimated million people live in Pakistan’s largest city, Karachi – but very few have running water after the land has gradually dried up, forcing many residents to queue for hours for supplies to be given to them.

Shamsul Mulk, former chairman of the Water and Power Development Authority in the country, said water policy is simply non-existent in Pakistan. Policymakers act like “absentee landlords” over water, he added.

“Because of this absentee landlordism, water has become the property of the landlords and the poor are deprived of their share."

Experts say that population growth and urbanisation are the main reasons behind the crisis. Some say the issue has been exacerbated by climate change and poor water management.

Energy sector expert Irfan Choudhry said the authorities appear to lack the political will to tackle the problem.

“There are no proper water storage facilities in the country. Pakistan hasn’t built new dams since the 1960s. What we see is political bickering over the issue. The authorities need to act now. We can store water for only 30 days, and it is worrisome,” Mr Choudhry told local media.

Some politicians have warned of “massive corruption” in the water sector with some seeking to profiteer from the scarcity of a vital resource.

Others blame India for the Pakistani water crisis and claim that New Delhi is failing to uphold the terms of the Indus Waters Treaty brokered by the World Bank in 1960 which regulates control of the rivers between the two nations.

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/pakistan-could-face-mass-droughts-173900389.html

 

Given that we keep hearing about floods in Pakistan, including one this summer, I would suspect that the real problem is increasing water demand, coupled with poor organisation.

This suspicion seems to be confirmed by the actual data from the Pakistan Met Office.

Below are the drought monitors from their last six annual reports:

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http://www.ndmc.pmd.gov.pk/index_files/Page327.htm

 

The vast part of the country has actually had wetter than normal weather since 2011. The only exception appears to be the extreme south west, most of which is not even in the Indus basin.

 

There is a possibility that rainfall is reduced over the border with India, at the extreme north of the Indus River basin in Kashmir. But there is no evidence of this either from the India Met Office data.

 

It looks like another case of “blame it on climate change”, which does not stand up to scrutiny.

 

FOOTNOTE

In true Independent style, the Independent is rehashing a story which was originally covered in May 2016, for instance here.

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10 Comments
  1. AndyG55 permalink
    September 17, 2017 9:51 am

    Ex-spurts say ?????

    Pakistan…. Beware of floods and pouring rain.., !!

  2. Dermot Flaherty permalink
    September 17, 2017 10:08 am

    Dave above beat me to it.

    This tells the same story –
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/a-disaster-in-the-making-pakistans-population-has-more-than-doubled-in-20-years/2017/09/08/4f434c58-926b-11e7-8482-8dc9a7af29f9_story.html?utm_term=.b835b3231410

    Population growth is the real challenge for the planet.

    • dave permalink
      September 17, 2017 10:50 am

      The headline has been replaced, as it overstated the rate of growth. However the new census figure of 208 million, which replaces my 198 million by – presumably – including more migrants from Afghanistan, just shows how enormous the whole issue is. Nobody takes the Platonic advice. When asked by a man how he could double his income the philospher (and sourpuss) replied “Halve your wishes!”

      The late Julian Simon used to argue that a bigger population would be its own resource. That may be so in the end, but the RATE at which the increased size is reached is crucial.

  3. dennisambler permalink
    September 17, 2017 10:28 am

    You always get the “baked earth” photos…

  4. frederik wisse permalink
    September 17, 2017 9:25 pm

    This is a general problem in the islamic world . Huge corruption as the own clan is considered to be the basis of all moral values in concert with a lacking social security is leading to a birth rate of approx 7 childs per family ,totally unsustainable in the long run at the same time giving the parents a false security that their children will take care of them when they are getting old . The disaster is preplanned especially when mother nature will not play along much longer with a sun going asleep right now .Right now a lot of these nations are dependent on the goodwill of first world nations , but what will happen if these countries and their organisations can no longer give the substantial contributions of the past ?
    This may take place earlier than anyone is expecting and shall we be made responsible for the lighthearted filosophies and indoctrinations within these primitive societies ? Sure it will be tried , but human tragedy and failure is quaranteed to happen .

    • Tim Hammond permalink
      September 18, 2017 7:46 am

      The real problem is in Islamic countries. In the rest of the world, development and growth led to reduced population growth automatically, as women became bettter educated and able to earn the same as men. In some Muslim countries however, development has reduced infant and general mortality significantly, but cultural and religious attitudes have prevented the education and general emancipation of women. Thus fertility rate remain high, and populations continue to grow.

  5. September 17, 2017 11:12 pm

    Reblogged this on WeatherAction News.

  6. CheshireRed permalink
    September 18, 2017 7:34 pm

    I actually *do not care one single miserable iota* what climate fate befalls Pakistan.

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